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  #6301  
Old Posted Nov 22, 2018, 8:23 PM
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Originally Posted by fredinno View Post
Maybe through the ALR part. Not through Green Timbers; both because of the tree-cutting, and because of the fact there's too many roads, too close together, there.
Green Timbers is already fragmented from the 96 and 100 ave widening, and the new RCMP headquarters building. No point of saving a few more hundred trees when Fraser Hwy is backlogged by traffic west of 148th. That part of the road needs to be widened, regardless if SkyTrain is centre median or not.

If it was a Provincial Park, this will be a different story.

Quote:
Originally Posted by fredinno View Post
Hey, we needed the road projects; Port Mann was one of the most congested corridors in Canada...
The 401 in Toronto is the busiest corridor in North America, but only because of the sheer number of vehicles in the Golden Horseshoe and it's complex design (including the infamous Basketweave). The original Port Mann was a four lane bridge that was suffering due to it's constrained design, like the rest of the other bridges in Metro Van.

Quote:
Originally Posted by fredinno View Post
Internationally, Surrey is a footnote.

Fort Langley alone probably has more tourists visiting it than the entirety of North Surrey. There's nothing particularly impressive or noteworthy to justify the tourist demand.
Eh, Fort Langley is kinda "meh".
     
     
  #6302  
Old Posted Nov 22, 2018, 8:29 PM
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Originally Posted by Firebrand View Post
A lot of comments seem to shun smaller town centers because Newton is the biggest one, so it deserves SkyTrain and not Fleetwood, Cloverdale or Langley.
TBF, Newton needed the Skytrain more than Fleetwood.

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Originally Posted by Galaxy View Post
The people complaining also don't see that once the extensions for UBC are done and the Surrey/Langley extension is also complete that this BRT line would probably be next up as a contender for a future Subway using Skytrain technology and therefore the residents in the area will get a better technology that benefits them in the long run.
And when it that? 2040? There's plenty of other corridors that could use work, like North-Van Lonsdale.

It's no guarantee, especially since Translink themselves admitted that BRT is sufficient for all corridors on the L-line capacity-wise until the 2040s, when BRT to Newton will start reaching capacity.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Firebrand View Post
What TransLink could do is have the outermost two lanes be dedicated bus lanes only between at the start of service to 7:00 pm at weekdays. You could also have multiple bus routes using the same lane, not just the 96, and allow driving permits at certain times of the day. You can't do that on two pairs of tracks.

King George Blvd is much easier to implement because it is wide enough to accommodate bus lanes without disrupting car traffic.

The enhanced 96 can also expand beyond Guildford, and can connect it to Coquitlam Centre if demand is there. It can also extend beyond Newton as shown by the map. Since it's essentially an upgraded B-Line, some trips can interline with other routes, especially the 319, which could use some help with 60fters. All of these added features won't be seen with the LRT.
Honestly, I think the only solution that would be viable without causing outrage would be to make the section on 104th an HOV lane, like on Hastings.

Extending the 96 to Carvolth Exchange is a better deal in my opinion- how many people need to go from Guildford to Coquitlam? Maybe to Lougheed Station, though. Plus, there's already a Skytrain most people from Newton and White Rock already transferred too if they want to go to Coquitlam.

It's also an awkwards turn in the reverse direction.



Or just do both. Both sounds good too.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Migrant_Coconut View Post
Keeping in mind that this all depends on being able to build two $2-3B SkyTrain routes every decade. Every addition to the network multiplies TransLink's spending power, but in the meantime, we need to make sure the province and feds keep delivering.
In the 80s, we had the Expo Line built.
In the 90s, we had the Phase I and II Expo Extensions to Surrey City Central.
Neither of these I could find cost estimates on. Any help would be appreciated.
In the 00s, the Millennium Line was completed to VCC-Clark for $1.8 Billion 2018 CDN.

In the 2010s, the Canada Line was completed for $2.24 Billion in 2018 CDN, and the Evergreen Extension for 1.55 Billion in 2018 CDN, increasing by 2.1x over the previous decade.

The plan is the 2020s will see the $2.83 Billion Broadway Subway, and the $1.6 Billion Surrey Expo Extension (Phase III), increasing by 1.16x over the previous decade.
(not entirely fair, due to the Olympics providing extra funding, though. Unless Vancouver bids for 2034, we're unlikely to see that again...)

Let's average it out and say 1.6x increase in overall money availability (adjusted for inflation) for Rapid Transit is realistic.


Quote:
Originally Posted by BirchTrain View Post
Yeah part of it would literally go through an area even more prone to flooding than the ALR Fraser Hwy passes through.

It would probably go underground through City Centre and maybe Newton, and elevated the rest of the way. The southern terminus could be White Rock Beach, but NIMBYs might force it to stop at the current White Rock Centre bus exchange. Hopefully there will be a gondola connection to the beach.
I doubt there would be Skytrain to White Rock until the 2050s. The demand is even lower than Skytrain to Langley, and the economics of that were considered somewhat dubious due to low usage compared to the rest of the line. (they could short half the trains, but the point still stands, of its comparatively low usage).

But really, getting to the White Rock Beach on a Skytrain from 152d to the White Rock Pier would likely be impossible without boreing. The slopes as you get down to the shore on Martin St. are steep AF.

On the flip side, it could be the location for our own version of this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Angels_Flight


Quote:
Originally Posted by Migrant_Coconut View Post
Question: Are P&Rs really that useful? On paper it makes a lot of sense, but if you're already driving, wouldn't it be better for you to just keep driving?
Yes. It's a good place to drop off people if you're carpooling or dropping off your kids onto the bus system.


Carvloth Exchange, for example, allows you to avoid the 20 minute tour of Walnut Grove and Fort Langley the 562 does.

[QUOTE=Firebrand;8387736]Green Timbers is already fragmented from the 96 and 100 ave widening, and the new RCMP headquarters building. No point of saving a few more hundred trees when Fraser Hwy is backlogged by traffic west of 148th. That part of the road needs to be widened, regardless if SkyTrain is centre median or not.

If it was a Provincial Park, this will be a different story.
Making it elevated would also allow a greenway to be built under the Skytrain, so there's more reasons to just go full elevated here.


Quote:
The 401 in Toronto is the busiest corridor in North America, but only because of the sheer number of vehicles in the Golden Horseshoe and it's complex design (including the infamous Basketweave). The original Port Mann was a four lane bridge that was suffering due to it's constrained design, like the rest of the other bridges in Metro Van.
"One of.
Quote:
Eh, Fort Langley is kinda "meh".
REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!!!!!!!!!








Last edited by fredinno; Nov 22, 2018 at 8:43 PM.
     
     
  #6303  
Old Posted Nov 22, 2018, 8:39 PM
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You'd think these people would just take the L.
     
     
  #6304  
Old Posted Nov 22, 2018, 10:50 PM
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Those thinking Newton needs it before other areas don't, I think, actually look at a map. Newton has the highest population of any specific area in Surrey just because of its total size.

For example, Newton is 48 square km in size with a 2017 population of 141,450. In contrast, Fleetwood is 20 square km in size with a 2017 population of 63,810.

When you do the math, that works out to:

Newton: 2947 people per square km
Fleetwood: 3190 people per square km

So they are roughly similar in my eyes and Fleetwood technically has a higher population concentration whereas Newton is more spread out with a lot of single family homes.

So you can't JUST go by population. Distance is also a big factor too. Like I just said, Fleetwood is more dense and smaller so a SkyTrain line running through would actually service more people per 100 meter circles around the stations than in Newton.

Especially along King George. Other than Newton Center itself, King George is very low density. It is increasing, but it is low. Fleetwood from basically 158 through to 164th is all medium density townhouses and condos stacked next to each other along Fraser Highway.

Clayton heights too has more concentration of population along Fraser Highway than Newton does along any major road. Honestly you have to look at things other than population numbers, you have to understand the design of a neighborhood, distances, and densities.
     
     
  #6305  
Old Posted Nov 23, 2018, 12:09 AM
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Originally Posted by fredinno View Post
In the 80s, we had the Expo Line built.
In the 90s, we had the Phase I and II Expo Extensions to Surrey City Central.
Neither of these I could find cost estimates on. Any help would be appreciated.
In the 00s, the Millennium Line was completed to VCC-Clark for $1.8 Billion 2018 CDN.

In the 2010s, the Canada Line was completed for $2.24 Billion in 2018 CDN, and the Evergreen Extension for 1.55 Billion in 2018 CDN, increasing by 2.1x over the previous decade.
All cost are per-km at the year of construction:

Expo Line Phase 1 (WF-NW) 20.4km, $82.7M
Expo Line Phase 2 (NW-SR) 2.9km, $101.7M
Expo Line Surrey Extension (SR-KG) 4.4km, $57.0M
Millennium Line (CO-VC) 19.9km, $61.7M
Canada Line (WF-AP/BP) 19.2km, $107.0M
Millennium Line Evergreen Extension (LH-LA) 10.9km, $128.4km
     
     
  #6306  
Old Posted Nov 23, 2018, 1:17 AM
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Originally Posted by nname View Post
All cost are per-km at the year of construction:

Expo Line Phase 1 (WF-NW) 20.4km, $82.7M
Expo Line Phase 2 (NW-SR) 2.9km, $101.7M
Expo Line Surrey Extension (SR-KG) 4.4km, $57.0M
Ok, thanks. Is that in back-then dollars, or 2018 dollars?


Perhaps if you can find the original sourcing too, I can estimate the numbers adjusted to inflation based on cost estimates when they were built.
     
     
  #6307  
Old Posted Nov 23, 2018, 4:24 AM
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Extending the 96 to Carvolth Exchange is a better deal in my opinion- how many people need to go from Guildford to Coquitlam? Maybe to Lougheed Station, though. Plus, there's already a Skytrain most people from Newton and White Rock already transferred too if they want to go to Coquitlam
I think it is better for the 96 to go to Coquitlam rather than Carvolth. Taking the SkyTrain requires 2 transfers and cross zone boundaries. Contrast that to a 96 B-Line extension, which would have a single rapid bus ride.

If an express connection to Carvolth is required, I would suggest increasing the frequency of the 509.
     
     
  #6308  
Old Posted Nov 23, 2018, 4:30 AM
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Originally Posted by Firebrand View Post
I find that claim from that comment a bit farfetched. The reason you didn't see overhead in the pictures was because the sales pitchers knew that the wires would make the train look ugly.
All of the recent renderings, such as in tybuilding’s linked video (https://youtu.be/xfTDT8UMBIA), showed overhead wires. Perhaps there was a secret plan to have DMUs running, but it would’ve had a massive backlash, so they wouldn’t risk losing the relatively small support base for the project. I stand by what I said in my first post.
     
     
  #6309  
Old Posted Nov 23, 2018, 6:25 AM
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Migrant_Coconut Migrant_Coconut is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jhausner View Post
Those thinking Newton needs it before other areas don't, I think, actually look at a map. Newton has the highest population of any specific area in Surrey just because of its total size.

For example, Newton is 48 square km in size with a 2017 population of 141,450. In contrast, Fleetwood is 20 square km in size with a 2017 population of 63,810.

When you do the math, that works out to:

Newton: 2947 people per square km
Fleetwood: 3190 people per square km

So they are roughly similar in my eyes and Fleetwood technically has a higher population concentration whereas Newton is more spread out with a lot of single family homes.

So you can't JUST go by population. Distance is also a big factor too. Like I just said, Fleetwood is more dense and smaller so a SkyTrain line running through would actually service more people per 100 meter circles around the stations than in Newton.

Especially along King George. Other than Newton Center itself, King George is very low density. It is increasing, but it is low. Fleetwood from basically 158 through to 164th is all medium density townhouses and condos stacked next to each other along Fraser Highway.

Clayton heights too has more concentration of population along Fraser Highway than Newton does along any major road. Honestly you have to look at things other than population numbers, you have to understand the design of a neighborhood, distances, and densities.
Correctomundo. West Van's got twice as many people as Langley City, but obviously there's no plans for a SkyTrain there yet.
     
     
  #6310  
Old Posted Nov 23, 2018, 6:36 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fredinno View Post
In the 80s, we had the Expo Line built.
In the 90s, we had the Phase I and II Expo Extensions to Surrey City Central.
Neither of these I could find cost estimates on. Any help would be appreciated.
In the 00s, the Millennium Line was completed to VCC-Clark for $1.8 Billion 2018 CDN.

In the 2010s, the Canada Line was completed for $2.24 Billion in 2018 CDN, and the Evergreen Extension for 1.55 Billion in 2018 CDN, increasing by 2.1x over the previous decade.

The plan is the 2020s will see the $2.83 Billion Broadway Subway, and the $1.6 Billion Surrey Expo Extension (Phase III), increasing by 1.16x over the previous decade.
(not entirely fair, due to the Olympics providing extra funding, though. Unless Vancouver bids for 2034, we're unlikely to see that again...)

Let's average it out and say 1.6x increase in overall money availability (adjusted for inflation) for Rapid Transit is realistic.
Specifically we've had one SkyTrain extension built every seven years; assuming the Ten Year Plan becomes the new normal, we'd be ramping up to two or three extensions every seven years. I'm not worried about the money so much as cheapskates, snake oil LRT salesmen or another transit referendum.

Quote:
Originally Posted by fredinno View Post
Yes. It's a good place to drop off people if you're carpooling or dropping off your kids onto the bus system.


Carvloth Exchange, for example, allows you to avoid the 20 minute tour of Walnut Grove and Fort Langley the 562 does.
Don't get me wrong, I understand the merits of spacious drop-off points just fine. It's Superstore-sized parking lots that don't always make sense.
     
     
  #6311  
Old Posted Nov 23, 2018, 6:47 PM
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Originally Posted by fredinno View Post
You'd think these people would just take the L.
You see, not everyone is a transit fanboy who only wants the joy to ride a new SkyTrain line to Langley. Some people are practical.

Ron.
     
     
  #6312  
Old Posted Nov 23, 2018, 7:42 PM
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Originally Posted by NewfBC View Post
You see, not everyone is a transit fanboy who only wants the joy to ride a new SkyTrain line to Langley. Some people are practical.

Ron.
-Newton residents, probably.
     
     
  #6313  
Old Posted Nov 23, 2018, 8:14 PM
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Originally Posted by BirchTrain View Post
All of the recent renderings, such as in tybuilding’s linked video (https://youtu.be/xfTDT8UMBIA), showed overhead wires. Perhaps there was a secret plan to have DMUs running, but it would’ve had a massive backlash, so they wouldn’t risk losing the relatively small support base for the project. I stand by what I said in my first post.
I was referring to the Facebook comment who said something about train running on diesel. He doesn't have a legit source to prove them, but there were earlier renderings, particularly low-budget ones, showing the LRT with no overhead. If you go a few hundred pages back in this thread, there were pictures of these low-budget renderings.

But the LRT is done now, so there's no point of arguing over it.
     
     
  #6314  
Old Posted Nov 23, 2018, 8:40 PM
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Consider also all the Skytrain traffic that will feed into the Fleetwood spine. It is not just about Fleetwood itself. Skytrain has a way of drawing traffic to it if it is supported by the city and proper planning. I can see the Fraser Hwy extension gradually drawing more and more traffic to it as commuting patterns change.
     
     
  #6315  
Old Posted Nov 23, 2018, 9:14 PM
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Originally Posted by Migrant_Coconut View Post
Specifically we've had one SkyTrain extension built every seven years; assuming the Ten Year Plan becomes the new normal, we'd be ramping up to two or three extensions every seven years. I'm not worried about the money so much as cheapskates, snake oil LRT salesmen or another transit referendum.



Don't get me wrong, I understand the merits of spacious drop-off points just fine. It's Superstore-sized parking lots that don't always make sense.
The money is important, it dictates how much of those 2 lines is going to be built. Both the Broadway subway and Phase (IV?) Expo Extensions are truncated due to funding.

Carvloth's lot is pretty much always over 85% full. Langley Central Park & Ride isn't, possibly because people using transit there don't use cars.
It depends on the location.

Quote:
Originally Posted by NewfBC View Post
You see, not everyone is a transit fanboy who only wants the joy to ride a new SkyTrain line to Langley. Some people are practical.

Ron.
Oh, no, is it you, Ron, from Daily Hive?
     
     
  #6316  
Old Posted Nov 24, 2018, 5:47 PM
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This morning I passed a 96 B-line articulated bus going east bound on 104th ave around 7:30am and there were 2 people on the bus. How do you justify running a frequent street car with that kind of traffic?

That said, the Expo extension might be in a similar situation at the same time in the morning. Translink could tinker with the size of the trains and frequency based on demand. I still think that Skytrain is a better bang for the buck.
     
     
  #6317  
Old Posted Nov 24, 2018, 5:50 PM
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Originally Posted by Trainguy View Post
This morning I passed a 96 B-line articulated bus going east bound on 104th ave around 7:30am and there were 2 people on the bus. How do you justify running a frequent street car with that kind of traffic?

That said, the Expo extension might be in a similar situation at the same time in the morning. Translink could tinker with the size of the trains and frequency based on demand. I still think that Skytrain is a better bang for the buck.
Well, for one if you want a bus going west bound at 7:45 AM that probably has more people on it you need at some point a bus to have gone east.
     
     
  #6318  
Old Posted Nov 24, 2018, 6:41 PM
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Funny thing I noticed:

Expo was originally supposed to be on the ground, before being converted to elevated.

Millennium was originally supposed to be LRT.
Quote:
Its history began back in 1995, when
NDP Premier Mike Harcourt and Glen
Clark, minister responsible for transit,
announced that a street-level light rail
line would be built along Broadway
and Lougheed Highway to Coquitlam
Centre. An 18-month review of rapidtransit alternatives began in January
1998, with Clark as Premier.
Province’s unilateral move
predates TransLink
To everyone’s surprise, the study
ended suddenly in June when Clark’s
government announced the decision to
build an elevated SkyTrain line between
Broadway Station and Lougheed Mall,
with a budget of $1.24 billion. The
provincial government said add-ons
such as overpasses and tunnels
made SkyTrain a more feasible option,
despite opposition from municipalities
that favoured light-rail
Then Canada- then Evergreen- and now this.


Metro Vancouver has a really strange history of Mayors wanting LRT, then not getting LRT because of some outside political force... Any guess why?
     
     
  #6319  
Old Posted Nov 24, 2018, 7:52 PM
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Answer off my head: The mayors were too “regionalistic”. That is, they only care about their cities and not the entire Metro Vancouver as a whole.
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My Proposal of TCH Twinning in Northern Ontario
Disclaimer: Most of it is pure pie in the sky, so there's no need to be up in the arm about it.
     
     
  #6320  
Old Posted Nov 24, 2018, 9:32 PM
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Originally Posted by Dengler Avenue View Post
Answer off my head: The mayors were too “regionalistic”. That is, they only care about their cities and not the entire Metro Vancouver as a whole.
This is why the transit model for Metro Van is messed up. The Mayors don't think as a group but rather whose turn is it to get the next project. Surrey should never have been allowed to even start the LRT nonesense. The argument was, "It's Surrey's turn now"!!! from Watts and Hepner.

It's game playing. Vote for me and I will vote for you. Decisions should be based on sound transportation principles and the region as a whole.
     
     
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