Quote:
Originally Posted by YOWetal
Leading Ontario by one point is far from a majority. The Conservatives probably have 75 Seats west of Ontario so a tie in Ontario makes it very likely the Conservatives win a minority or with a decent result in Quebec and Atlantic Canada they could still get a majority. The Liberals would need a huge win in Quebec even to get to a plurality along with a strong result in Atlantic Canada.
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No, he's leading nationally by 1 point. Likely up more than 5 in Ontario with those numbers. Likely in-line with what Mainstreet and Ekos are showing in Ontario.