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Old Posted Aug 14, 2024, 2:01 PM
adamuptownsj adamuptownsj is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2020
Location: Saint John NB
Posts: 1,996
Quote:
Originally Posted by sailor734 View Post
Curious as to if there are any ridings where vote splitting between Greens and Liberals could give the PC's a win?
Definitely several, but a lot will hinge on Green candidate quality.

Holt's own seat of Fredericton South-Silverwood and the open Saint John Harbour are top of the list by default. Hard to say until we get a couple more polls and Green candidates.

It's not like a post-election 'add the red and green votes together and that's what the Liberals would have won without vote splitting' analysis is of much value. Sure, seats where PCs win by ~3 points and the Greens get 15% would absolutely be vote splitting causing Liberal losses. Less so with seats where the PC margin and the Green total are in the same ballpark.
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