Well, if nothing else it should be an interesting campaign.
There have been no polls released to the public since March and given the precarious financial state of local media we may not see a lot in the 3 months we have left to go.
I suspect that in spite of Higgs' seeming efforts to alienate a large swath of the more moderate wing of his party it may still be closer than some people think.
It will be interesting to see if the PC's resort to trying to whip up anti French sentiment in the Anglo sections of the province by trying to paint Holt and the Liberals as tools of the SANB as well as linking them to the former governments of Brian Gallant or Shawn Graham. I hope not as the last election's Anglo/French seat and support divide was not healthy for the province.
The efficiency of the PC vote and the traditional English/French split that has become more pronounced in recent elections means the Liberals will need a pretty substantial lead in the popular vote to win a majority. I'm not saying they can't do it but it's far from a slam dunk.
A near tie in the seat count still wouldn't surprise me.
I still doubt there will be many votes decided by Holt's gender. I think it's more a case of Higgs vs not Higgs.
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