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  #1221  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 4:48 PM
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Originally Posted by casper View Post
That sleeping bus service has little to do with sleeping. I could not sleep in that environment.

VIA rail has some fairly nice sleeper compartments for the Canadian service. For example, leave Saskatoon at 10:00 pm arrive in Edmonton at 8:00 in the morning. That is a more appropriate distance for a sleeper service.
VIA rail between Saskatoon & Edmonton is an overnight service but it actually only takes about ~6 hours, thankfully not 10 hours. It's a 5 hour drive so doubling that time on a sleeper train would be a hard sell.

I think difference to travel distances & population densities and ability to build infrastructure will determine the difference modes of transportation in the country. Car will always be main mode within Saskatchewan, but into neighbouring provinces it will always be not only car, but mix of also bus, plane & train. Trans continental or cross broader will be dominated by flights. much the same in Alberta, BC and Manitoba.

Alberta has a big case for HSR between Calgary & Edmonton though, since there is 3.5 million people in the 300km corridor right now and 5 million people in the next decade. 300km/hr HSR that would beat flight times (let alone security/waiting at gate) in the prime HSR corridor and would be 3 times faster than car or bus.
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  #1222  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 4:53 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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@saskscraper

Calgary-Edmonton. Absolutely. I'd also include Regina-Saskatoon with a more conventional speed regular service. With say DMUs. But out west, Calgary-Edmonton is such a no-brainer. Both cities have transit for last-mile solutions. They are the right distance apart. And only a handful of intermediate stops would be needed. There's a ton of air traffic, which clearly shows there's a market. And the optics would be great for a province constantly pushing oil which the rest of the world views negatively. They could actually show that they are doing something positive with that oil revenue.
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  #1223  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 4:59 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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Originally Posted by TorontoDrew View Post
I'd add another 1.5 hrs to that as really even for domestic you should arrive a good hour or more before your flight for security and baggage checking. Also if you check your bag you could wait up to 20 mins or more for it to get to the carousel.
I was being generous and assuming business travel. Porter let's you check in up to 30 mins prior I believe. And realistically, no day tripping business traveler is taking luggage.

For any non-business traveler the train starts looking even better. You won't have status to bypass busy security lines at the airport or get priority check-in. So you have to show up 1-1.5 hrs earlier. And then yes, add 20-30 mins for luggage retrieval because Canadian airports are some of the slowest at offloading luggage in the world and since you don't have status, your bag isnt coming out first either.
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  #1224  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 5:03 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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Originally Posted by itom 987 View Post
I guess Toronto and Montreal aren't far enough apart to make the sleeper services work. Once a train stops, everyone has to leave. In an automated vehicle it will park at your destination and you can continue sleeping till you wake up. The joys of ownership!

If an automated car works on a long drive, then this is even more efficient and faster:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Car_shuttle_train

Anybody who's taken the Eurotunnel between the UK and France knows this. Why sleep in my car, when I can sit in it for 2 hrs on a high speed train and be dropped off with my car in my destination city? Doesn't even require an automated car.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JJa8utubRoE
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  #1225  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 5:31 PM
milomilo milomilo is offline
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
If an automated car works on a long drive, then this is even more efficient and faster:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Car_shuttle_train

Anybody who's taken the Eurotunnel between the UK and France knows this. Why sleep in my car, when I can sit in it for 2 hrs on a high speed train and be dropped off with my car in my destination city? Doesn't even require an automated car.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JJa8utubRoE
The Eurotunnel Shuttle isn't actually high speed, by Euro standards - it's more of a freight train with a max speed of 160km/h. It also doesn't take you to your destination city, it takes you to Calais or Folkstone as the terminal infrastructure is enormous. It's the Eurostar which is high speed, a completely separate operation.
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  #1226  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 5:42 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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Originally Posted by milomilo View Post
The Eurotunnel Shuttle isn't actually high speed, by Euro standards - it's more of a freight train with a max speed of 160km/h. It also doesn't take you to your destination city, it takes you to Calais or Folkstone as the terminal infrastructure is enormous. It's the Eurostar which is high speed, a completely separate operation.
I know. I've taken both. My point is that for whatever benefits the automated car or just a car in general has, the train can improve on them. No reason we can't have Toronto-Ottawa-Montreal high speed car shuttle.

Also 160kph is substantially faster than what VIA gets on most of its journey today.
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  #1227  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 5:47 PM
MalcolmTucker MalcolmTucker is online now
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
I know. I've taken both. My point is that for whatever benefits the automated car or just a car in general has, the train can improve on them. No reason we can't have Toronto-Ottawa-Montreal high speed car shuttle.

Also 160kph is substantially faster than what VIA gets on most of its journey today.
Why have a car shuttle when automatted cars and smartphones will make private vehicles for anything but specialized functions an anachronism? Just seamlessly rent at both ends.
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  #1228  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 5:58 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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Hi
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Originally Posted by MalcolmTucker View Post
Why have a car shuttle when automatted cars and smartphones will make private vehicles for anything but specialized functions an anachronism? Just seamlessly rent at both ends.

I was addressing itom 987's argument that people will not use HSR because they want to drive their own cars. See the previous page.

I agree with you. Automated cars will probably end car ownership as we know it. Even the automakers think this and have bought stakes in car sharing companies.

The days when people spend $20 000 for an asset that gets 1-2 hrs of use a day and depreciates rapidly will come to an end.
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  #1229  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 6:05 PM
milomilo milomilo is offline
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
I know. I've taken both. My point is that for whatever benefits the automated car or just a car in general has, the train can improve on them. No reason we can't have Toronto-Ottawa-Montreal high speed car shuttle.

Also 160kph is substantially faster than what VIA gets on most of its journey today.
It would be a very inefficient way to move people and a waste of the infrastructure, and would be very hard to beat just driving there at 110km/h time wise. The only reason it exists between the UK and France, and the same for the ferries operating the English Channel, is because there is no road between the two countries. If there was, everyone would just drive because it would be faster, cheaper, and more convenient.

No need to reinvent the wheel here, the solution isn't rocket science. Just keep building new passenger railways, both high speed and high frequency.
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  #1230  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 6:46 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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Originally Posted by milomilo View Post
No need to reinvent the wheel here, the solution isn't rocket science. Just keep building new passenger railways, both high speed and high frequency.
Absolutely agree. Just wanted to point out the flaw in itom 987's post. Obviously anything that benefits personal vehicles only gets improved on with rail transport.

But, like I said, I agree that personal vehicle ownership will change massively with automation. And the synergy between HSR and automated vehicles is massive, with automated vehicles being the ultimate last mile solution.
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  #1231  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 6:47 PM
milomilo milomilo is offline
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
Absolutely agree. Just wanted to point out the flaw in itom 987's post. Obviously anything that benefits personal vehicles only gets improved on with rail transport.

But, like I said, I agree that personal vehicle ownership will change massively with automation. And the synergy between HSR and automated vehicles is massive, with automated vehicles being the ultimate last mile solution.
Fair enough then!
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  #1232  
Old Posted May 23, 2017, 8:26 PM
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All this discussion over self-driving cars and postulating over their potential impact has me wondering, were there similar debates when automobiles emerged in the 1890s and 1900s? Were people trying to figure out how they'd integrate into the built form, into culture, etc? And were they accurate at all?
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  #1233  
Old Posted May 24, 2017, 12:25 AM
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Originally Posted by SaskScraper View Post
VIA rail between Saskatoon & Edmonton is an overnight service but it actually only takes about ~6 hours, thankfully not 10 hours. It's a 5 hour drive so doubling that time on a sleeper train would be a hard sell.
This implies that the trains are on time, which I don't think they ever are. Several hour delays are frequent on the Canadian and it'll never be a viable means of transportation while that continues.
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  #1234  
Old Posted May 24, 2017, 1:45 AM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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Originally Posted by EpicPonyTime View Post
This implies that the trains are on time, which I don't think they ever are. Several hour delays are frequent on the Canadian and it'll never be a viable means of transportation while that continues.
And this is the biggest challenge with Canadian trains. They get stuck behind freight and so their on time performance 🞵🞵🞵🞵🞵.

Compare this say Renfe in Spain:

Quote:
a) If there is a delay between 30 and 119 minutes or more, we will compensate you for the inconvenience with 25% of the price of the ticket.

b) If there is a delay of 120 minutes or more, we will compensate you for the inconvenience with 50% of the price of the ticket.
https://www.renfe-sncf.com/rw-en/prepare-your-trip/after-travelling/Pages/compensation-policy.aspx

They own their tracks. And they can guarantee on-time performance to the point where they can offer refunds if late. They have a 99% on-time performance.

Hopefully, VIA can show how reliable trains can be with HFR when that happens.
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  #1235  
Old Posted May 24, 2017, 2:04 AM
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
There are 80 flights a days between Toronto-Ottawa and Toronto-Montreal. And only Porter has them on aircraft with less than 100 seats. This is the most profitable market for all airlines in Canada, despite the competition. So I am not in the least worried about viability. All that happens is that airlines downsize to 100 seaters and slightly reduce frequencies. Look at any other market with high speed rail. Flying has not stopped. Just scaled down a tad. Moreover, see Pearson's plan for a rail hub. They want to reduce short haul flying to open up more international destinations which airlines also find more profitable.
Fair enough, at least the Ontario market may be big enough to handle extra options, I can’t say the same for Alberta though.

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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
Never knew you could hop on Air Canada or Westjet or the Greyhound any time you like.
You got my point wrong, reread what I said.

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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
That's right, 75% of ALL travel between those cities goes on rail.
Quote:
From article: Amtrak says that over the past five years, its share of the Washington-New York market has grown to 75 percent, up from 35 percent a little more than a decade ago. Its top producer — Acela — runs near capacity and annually produces $550 million in revenue while spending $360 million.
Given the competition, low-cost carrier Southwest Airlines is eliminating service between Baltimore-Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport and two New York metropolitan airports, LaGuardia and Newark.
WRONG The article states 75% of Washington-to-New York traffic. This article is only deals with air and rail traffic, automotive traffic is NOT mentioned in this article for an obvious reason, there is no accurate way tell how many people drive from Washington to New York. Furthermore, that article just proved my point about market splitting making services unviable. What if the airlines invent a new plane that ends up being more efficient than a train? Bye bye HSR and we are left with a scar on the landscape.

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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
Have you driven the 401 intercity at 2am? I have. Not much traffic. Actually, almost none, other than tractor trailers. Guess what? Most people still like traveling when they aren't tired and there's light out. The only time they don't is when it's an emergency. And for that, people will still be driving. Nobody here is saying 100% migration to rail. This is a strawmen you're putting up.
You just proved my point again. No one uses the road at 2am which makes it great for travelling in a driverless car while you are sleeping. More people travelling at night means fewer people travelling during the day.

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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
I urge you to sleep in your car tonight. Tell us how comfortable that is tomorrow and tell me if you'd be able to function at a high level right off the bat.
We are not talking about today, we are talking about the future. You're challenging me to sleep for a night in a 2017 model car? 🞵🞵🞵

I would rather sleep in something more practical like this:

I wouldn’t be surprised if the seats would be able to turn into a bed.

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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
You think we're insane and you're proposing that people sleep for 8 hrs in a car seat? Over a 3 hr train ride and their actual bed or hotel bed? You must not travel much if you think this way. And you definitely don't travel for business if you believe this. I've got off a plane in business class with a bed and gone into meetings and it's still a horrible zombie like experience. I much rather prefer them sending me economy a day earlier and giving me a night in a hotel (cheaper for them too).
I have travelled by train in China and it was great, I had plenty of room to sleep at night and had a chair with table to sit and watch the scenery go by all day. I didn’t feel like a zombie after 25 hours on the train. Keep in mind that it would be possible to get just as much room in an automated car. I have also ridden on a Chinese sleeper bus. The photo I showed you is a typical Chinese sleeper bus, it looks cramped because it is sized for the average Chinese person, european people are larger. So yeah, it was a little cramped but still more comfortable than sleeping on a plane. It would be very easy to reconfigure for larger people. I have taken transit from Gatwick airport in London to my relatives place after visiting Greece; it was cramped, everyone was stuffed like canned sardines we were carrying our backpacks and there was a handle from a child’s stroller jabbing at my back. One of the worst experiences in transit I ever had.

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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
I'm doing graduate work in energy studies through an engineering program on military exchange with the US. Energy flow charts like the one above tell you where you can invest to make improvements.
This information really wasn't need for this debate but it tells me that you are a student. Students are learning and tend to make mistakes. If you call my arguments 'strawman', then I call your rebuttals swiss cheese.
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  #1236  
Old Posted May 24, 2017, 2:32 AM
milomilo milomilo is offline
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There are plenty of ways to pick apart your fantasy, but to start with one of the most obvious ones, you expect people to replace their car with an automated motorhome? Sounds pretty pricy, what amenities does this have? If it is to be comparably comfortable to sleeping in your own bed it's going to need a big comfortable mattress, washroom facilities, sanitation, enough room to stand up and get changed - it must be pretty big. The suspension system is going to have to be incredibly good as well and it must be capable of refuelling itself without waking you up. I hope it's reliable too, I'd hate to be woken up to a tire blowout at 3 in the morning in winter.

But let's say you've overcome all those challenges. Where an earth do you park all these things? Parking is already at a premium in desirable places, and this 'thing' won't even fit in a parkade.

Please stop entertaining us with this delusion. Sorry to pick on you, but this kind of nonsense has a habit of rubbing off on people and they start thinking it's true.
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  #1237  
Old Posted May 24, 2017, 2:36 AM
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
And this is the biggest challenge with Canadian trains. They get stuck behind freight and so their on time performance 🞵🞵🞵🞵🞵.

Compare this say Renfe in Spain:

https://www.renfe-sncf.com/rw-en/prepare-your-trip/after-travelling/Pages/compensation-policy.aspx

They own their tracks. And they can guarantee on-time performance to the point where they can offer refunds if late. They have a 99% on-time performance.

Hopefully, VIA can show how reliable trains can be with HFR when that happens.
VIA does this in the Quebec-Windsor corridor. 50% compensation if train is more than 1 hour late.
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  #1238  
Old Posted May 24, 2017, 2:49 AM
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Another thing about automated vehicles is that I assume that few car-sharing companies will be keen to let people book their vehicles for long distances.

Why would a car share company want you to take a car on a 6 hour one way journey when it could probably make 20 separate and more lucrative transactions within the same city during that time? At least if you drive from Toronto to Montreal there is the possibility that the car can be put into service in Montreal. If you drive to a remote destination, the viability of that car to do anything other than wait several days for your return trip or deadhead to the nearest major city is basically zero. I'm sure a car-sharing company will let you do this, but you'll pay through the nose. It'll be priced at a level to actively discourage long-distance traveling (car share companies already do this with exorbitant day charges and charging you for the full time that you travel out of the "home zone").


HSR and automated vehicles capture totally different markets that they can't really compete in alone. HSR will deal with the long distance, high-capacity travel, and automated vehicles will deal with the "last mile" within the origin and destination city. If anything, I think that the demand for HSR will go up with automated vehicles.
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  #1239  
Old Posted May 24, 2017, 3:10 AM
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Originally Posted by milomilo View Post
There are plenty of ways to pick apart your fantasy, but to start with one of the most obvious ones, you expect people to replace their car with an automated motorhome? Sounds pretty pricy, what amenities does this have? If it is to be comparably comfortable to sleeping in your own bed it's going to need a big comfortable mattress, washroom facilities, sanitation, enough room to stand up and get changed - it must be pretty big. The suspension system is going to have to be incredibly good as well and it must be capable of refuelling itself without waking you up. I hope it's reliable too, I'd hate to be woken up to a tire blowout at 3 in the morning in winter.

But let's say you've overcome all those challenges. Where an earth do you park all these things? Parking is already at a premium in desirable places, and this 'thing' won't even fit in a parkade.

Please stop entertaining us with this delusion. Sorry to pick on you, but this kind of nonsense has a habit of rubbing off on people and they start thinking it's true.
There is just as much fantasy going on with HSR as there is with automated cars.
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  #1240  
Old Posted May 24, 2017, 3:17 AM
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Originally Posted by hipster duck View Post
Another thing about automated vehicles is that I assume that few car-sharing companies will be keen to let people book their vehicles for long distances.

Why would a car share company want you to take a car on a 6 hour one way journey when it could probably make 20 separate and more lucrative transactions within the same city during that time? At least if you drive from Toronto to Montreal there is the possibility that the car can be put into service in Montreal. If you drive to a remote destination, the viability of that car to do anything other than wait several days for your return trip or deadhead to the nearest major city is basically zero. I'm sure a car-sharing company will let you do this, but you'll pay through the nose. It'll be priced at a level to actively discourage long-distance traveling (car share companies already do this with exorbitant day charges and charging you for the full time that you travel out of the "home zone").
I think car share companies will give automated car manufacturers the opportunity to show everyone what automated cars are capable of doing. It is a good way to introduce a new product to market.
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