Quote:
Originally Posted by Rocket252
My question is what will be required for us to land that FRA flight - passenger loads /freight volumes/metal/population size/perceived competition from another source?
My personal opinion is nothing will happen untill AC is pushed by competition.
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For YEG to land the FRA route an airline (lets be realistic its oinly AC or LH) would have to get a viable slot pair. Currently there are no slot pairs at FRA at viable times. Even AC844/845 slot times are getting a little out of hand (leaves a little too early for anything but Western Europe connection points).
In this instance LH holds the appropriate slots but AC holds the appropriate aircraft (763 or 788). The two airlines would have to make YEG-FRA a priority among all other North American options, so LH would have to discontinue an FRA-North America flight with no other possibilities for UA or AC to use the slot elsewhere. This is essentially how YYC got their LH frequency, the airline decided to give YYC a try because another American city lost its second daily service (IIRC BOS was sacrificed on the bean counter alter). In the YYC instance LH did not have the right aircraft to service the market as the 343 had too much front cabin (First and Business) product.
If AC got a hold of an extra slot pair that could work for Western North American departures, their first choice is to launch YVR-FRA (as stated to me be their current Chief Commercial Officer), second choice betwen a second YYC-FRA and YEG-FRA. I believe YYZ-FRA and YUL-FRA are well handled. As for a tie breaker between second choice, my guess would be to go with a second YYC-FRA as the market size is known to be able to handle 2 daily flights, plus 2 dailies 2-4 hours appart would solve the current issue of 844/845 not having good connections in FRA.