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Old Posted Jun 16, 2026, 4:33 PM
Dominion301 Dominion301 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2014
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thenoflyzone View Post
I get the angst with YUL. Believe me. But #10 spot is currently held by YTZ, at over 2 million passengers/year.

You’re dreaming if you think YHU, with only domestic flights, will handle that kind of traffic.

Yes, the terminal building can handle 4 million pax. Doesn’t mean PD will invest the seats required to make it happen. Certainly not with YUL having a monopoly on international flights.

Just for context, YQB has never handled over 2 million passengers. And you think YHU will? Never. Not with the current restrictions it has.

Because of YHU? lol. Highly unlikely. This is nothing like the YUL/YMX split days. Domestic travel to/from Quebec is peanuts. YHU won’t dent YUL’s numbers in the slightest.
I bet the YHU terminal was deliberately overbuilt for domestic-only ops in the hopes that the YHU airport authority, doing the dirty work for PD, at some point launches a court challenge to end the ADM's monopoly non-domestic flights for Greater Montreal. I'd be shocked if they didn't configure the terminal with this in mind to make it easy and low cost to add a customs area, perhaps with a small addition, and to install a movable wall to make one of the bag claim belts international.

Based on their current YHU schedule, Porter (after factoring in cancellations) will offer roughly 1.15 million seats at YHU for the full calendar year 2027. At an 80% LF, that'd translate into 920,000 pax handled. Add in Pascan and that's around 950K pax in full year 1. 950K pax puts it next in line behind YQR who currently come in at around 1.2 million pax/year, but above YQT who are around 800K/year.

So YHU will put an even smaller dent into YUL than YTZ puts into YYZ. It might cut 3 to 5 points of growth off of YUL's domestic numbers over the next couple of years, but it certainly won't cause YUL's traffic to suddenly drop.

Quote:
Originally Posted by hehehe View Post
If PD doesn't work out at YHU, I hope their shiny new terminal doesn't sit there empty lol
Well there's always Pascan with their half dozen flights a day. That would make for a lot of lonely loading bridges though, lol.
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