Quote:
Originally Posted by Surrealplaces
There won't be a a lot of draw from the US for YYC to GRU, but there will be some draw for closer cities like MSP or SEA. Most US passengers will go to another American hub to go to GRU, but depending on schedules and prices some may end up going through YYC even if it's not the most efficient route. Every overseas WS flight from YYC that I've taken always has a few Americans. For GRU, hard to say, we'll see.
True. Most of the draw will come from Western Canada as a whole. The population of the 4 western provinces isn't much less than Ontario which serves GRU via YYZ, and is more than Quebec + Maritimes, which serves GRU from YUL so the population is there. It's tight but I think it's enough.
They won't though. It's only a better feed for people coming from southeast Asia, but those people don't need to go through YVR for that, they have dozens other hops. AC would need a larger source of Canadian passengers.
Is it a good fit for WS out of YYC? maybe not, but it's a better fit WS from YYC than AC from YVR.
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MSP or anything east... well you just need to plot the route on a map to see what's the issue of that.
DL would want to feed the passengers to their ATL hub, and AC will try to compete aggressively to feed into their YYZ/YUL hub, plus AA through DFW or UA through ORD. Comparing the distance, through ATL or ORD is almost the same as direct flight, through DFW is +7.5%, through YUL is +8%, and through YYC for WS is +37%!!!! No matter what WS do, there's no way to compensate the extra fuel burn for that...
As for Asian connection... SE Asia is probably too much of a detour through NA and going through Middle East is a much shorter route. It's all about Japan, Korea, and part of China...
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