Quote:
Originally Posted by DavidK93
Here's my predictions for the large metros.
Toronto -10,000
Montreal -10,000
Vancouver +/- 0
Calgary +20,000
Ottawa -5,000
Edmonton+10,000
Calgary will probably see the biggest gain because they've had strong inter-provincial migration and on the international immigration side far less non-permanent residents. Edmonton will be in similar shape. It's the inter-provincial numbers that will keep those two cities in the growth column. Toronto, Vancouver and Montreal have relied heavily on international immigration with a really high percentage of non-permanent residents, but Vancouver will weather the drop a bit better and will come out somewhere around even.
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Montreal is not going to lose more people than Vancouver. A huge percentage of the temporary students and workers are South Asian. Vancouver and Toronto have massive South Asian communities, far more than Montreal. Considering many of those people are being forced to return to their countries, it will definitely be Vancouver and Toronto experiencing the bulk of the loss of population.
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