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  #2061  
Old Posted Dec 11, 2025, 3:13 PM
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Happy birthday, SkyTrain!

Hands down, the best regional rapid transit system in the country.
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  #2062  
Old Posted Dec 11, 2025, 9:01 PM
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I wonder if the city and Whitecaps do get an agreement on a stadium / entertainment district at Hastings Park, does that speed up a Skytrain line in that area? North Shore or spur off another line?
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  #2063  
Old Posted Dec 11, 2025, 9:15 PM
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Originally Posted by cjones2451 View Post
I wonder if the city and Whitecaps do get an agreement on a stadium / entertainment district at Hastings Park, does that speed up a Skytrain line in that area? North Shore or spur off another line?
It would certainly be noted as a major contribution to ridership demand but I don't see the province fast tracking the project due to this.
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  #2064  
Old Posted Dec 11, 2025, 10:14 PM
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I wonder if the city and Whitecaps do get an agreement on a stadium / entertainment district at Hastings Park, does that speed up a Skytrain line in that area? North Shore or spur off another line?
North Shore BRT is underway already, if anything this might see a station added, anything beyond that would be overkill at this time. IMO, they should relocate Kootenay Loop to Cassiar/Bridgeway and upzone all of the low density east of Highway 1.
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  #2065  
Old Posted Dec 12, 2025, 6:16 AM
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Burrard Peninsula ATP envisions an express overlay to the 16 from 29th to the PNE; think PNE specials made year round
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  #2066  
Old Posted Dec 13, 2025, 6:04 PM
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Originally Posted by Migrant_Coconut View Post
Signal priority means very little: the opening target time is apparently 46 minutes end-to-end, or 13km/h average.

Most RapidBuses manage 20km/h+. Finch West with signal priority will be fighting to keep up with a RapidBus without it. And the RapidBus doesn't cost billions.

Glad we avoided that turd sandwich here.

And yet there are still people on this board who think it is a good idea to have a streetcar running through Downtown/South False Creek/Arbutus. The selection of LRTs in North America is an entirely vibe-based decision to look European, ignoring that the primary goal of transit users is to get from A to B quickly and reliably. LRTs and streetcars fail to achieve that. If you want transit that is not grade separated and is slow, we have that; they're called buses.

"Oh but LRTs have higher capacity than buses." Capacity is not ridership, and if your system is slow, ridership will suffer.

"Oh but this city has LRTs that have average speeds up to 30 km/h +." Yes and that's only because it's mostly grade-separated. If only that had fully committed to grade separation, the trains could be automated and even faster for about the same money.

LRT: All the billions of a Subway with the speed and reliability of a bus!
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  #2067  
Old Posted Dec 13, 2025, 7:17 PM
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And yet there are still people on this board who think it is a good idea to have a streetcar running through Downtown/South False Creek/Arbutus. The selection of LRTs in North America is an entirely vibe-based decision to look European, ignoring that the primary goal of transit users is to get from A to B quickly and reliably. LRTs and streetcars fail to achieve that. If you want transit that is not grade separated and is slow, we have that; they're called buses.

"Oh but LRTs have higher capacity than buses." Capacity is not ridership, and if your system is slow, ridership will suffer.

"Oh but this city has LRTs that have average speeds up to 30 km/h +." Yes and that's only because it's mostly grade-separated. If only that had fully committed to grade separation, the trains could be automated and even faster for about the same money.

LRT: All the billions of a Subway with the speed and reliability of a bus!
LRT is billions but not the billions of a subway. The Ontario line's latest cost estimate is about $27 billion for a route that is 15.6km meaning - assuming the cost doesn't increase further - it will be just over $1.7 billion per km. Meanwhile, the final cost of the Finch line is estimated to be just over $3.5 billion for a 10.3km route meaning it costs less than 20% as much per km. More than it should have which is the case for all major transit projects in Ontario (and much of the western world) lately. But calling it, "All the billions of a Subway" is factually incorrect.

And the ridership on the Finch corridor was already very high before the LRT, back when it was served by slow buses. So clearly that slowness didn't drive ridership down enough to avoid the need for a capacity upgrade. And the speed, once running at full design speeds, will be slower than some express bus routes because it will have more stops which is something the community requested during the public consultation phase. For comparison, the R1 King George Blvd rapid bus route is almost exactly the same length as Finch but has 12 stops compared to Finch's 18. In other word, Finch is a local route upgraded to improve capacity, comfort, and efficiency. It is not an express route. That's a characteristic of the design of that specific line and not of LRT as a technology. If it had 1/3 fewer stops then obviously it would be a lot faster.
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  #2068  
Old Posted Dec 13, 2025, 9:49 PM
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Originally Posted by Nouvellecosse View Post
LRT is billions but not the billions of a subway. The Ontario line's latest cost estimate is about $27 billion for a route that is 15.6km meaning - assuming the cost doesn't increase further - it will be just over $1.7 billion per km. Meanwhile, the final cost of the Finch line is estimated to be just over $3.5 billion for a 10.3km route meaning it costs less than 20% as much per km. More than it should have which is the case for all major transit projects in Ontario (and much of the western world) lately. But calling it, "All the billions of a Subway" is factually incorrect.
$3.5 billion over 10km = $350M/km, which is about the same as the fully elevated Surrey-Langley Skytrain on a per kilometre basis ($375M/km), and is a better comparison than the Ontario Line since both SLS and Finch are on suburban stroads, whereas the Ontario Line is through downtown.

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Originally Posted by Nouvellecosse View Post
And the ridership on the Finch corridor was already very high before the LRT, back when it was served by slow buses. So clearly that slowness didn't drive ridership down enough to avoid the need for a capacity upgrade. And the speed, once running at full design speeds, will be slower than some express bus routes because it will have more stops which is something the community requested during the public consultation phase. For comparison, the R1 King George Blvd rapid bus route is almost exactly the same length as Finch but has 12 stops compared to Finch's 18. In other word, Finch is a local route upgraded to improve capacity, comfort, and efficiency. It is not an express route. That's a characteristic of the design of that specific line and not of LRT as a technology. If it had 1/3 fewer stops then obviously it would be a lot faster.
You can't throw around the word "efficiency" when the route is practically the same as a bus route that costs billions more.

On the ridership comparison, even the the project's own projections say this is a failure. They project about 51,000 daily riders by 2031 compared to the bus's 42,600 riders, which is really bad ridership growth for rail. Usually when a rail line goes in, the rail has ridership that doubles or triples the old bus routes (for example the Canada Line and Evergreen extensions). And no, there isn't a saturated transit ridership market, as evidenced by Toronto's heavy car traffic. There is a lot of room for growth and projects like these do nothing to boost ridership.

So we have the same ridership as the bus, the same speeds of a bus, slightly tighter stop spacing, at the cost of a Skytrain.
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  #2069  
Old Posted Dec 13, 2025, 10:02 PM
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Originally Posted by Nouvellecosse View Post
LRT is billions but not the billions of a subway. The Ontario line's latest cost estimate is about $27 billion for a route that is 15.6km meaning - assuming the cost doesn't increase further - it will be just over $1.7 billion per km.
Whereas a subway here is $518m/km, so you're basically just confirming what everybody already knows: that Metrolinx is good at throwing money down a hole.
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  #2070  
Old Posted Dec 14, 2025, 6:06 AM
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Originally Posted by Nouvellecosse View Post
LRT is billions but not the billions of a subway.
Maybe not quite, but it's sure more billions than a bus route that can provide competitive service.

If you're going to sink a lot of money into a transit route that has grown beyond the capacity of buses (and that's a lot of capacity, just look at the 99 B-Line), then you should at least get a decent service upgrade for your dollars.
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  #2071  
Old Posted Dec 14, 2025, 6:56 PM
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Whereas a subway here is $518m/km, so you're basically just confirming what everybody already knows: that Metrolinx is good at throwing money down a hole.
Yes.. but our subway is 'toy train' like where Toronto is in the big leagues.

Ron.
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  #2072  
Old Posted Dec 14, 2025, 9:42 PM
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- snip -
They don't need thrice the money to move twice the people.

Nor does Finch West need the same amount of money to move 1/6th the passengers at 1/2 the speed. Metrolinx just 🞵🞵🞵🞵🞵.
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  #2073  
Old Posted Dec 14, 2025, 11:02 PM
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You can't throw around the word "efficiency" when the route is practically the same as a bus route that costs billions more.

On the ridership comparison, even the the project's own projections say this is a failure. They project about 51,000 daily riders by 2031 compared to the bus's 42,600 riders, which is really bad ridership growth for rail. Usually when a rail line goes in, the rail has ridership that doubles or triples the old bus routes (for example the Canada Line and Evergreen extensions). And no, there isn't a saturated transit ridership market, as evidenced by Toronto's heavy car traffic. There is a lot of room for growth and projects like these do nothing to boost ridership.

So we have the same ridership as the bus, the same speeds of a bus, slightly tighter stop spacing, at the cost of a Skytrain.
I sure can use the word efficiency because that is the correct term to use. Just limiting the discussion to the passenger experience ignores that the upgrade helps to reduce operational costs since an extremely busy bus route requires so many more drivers, and labour tends to be the biggest operational cost. Plus buses are very damaging to roads, so a high frequency bus route also costs the municipality in additional maintenance costs. So the additional capital expense isn't just upgrading capacity but also saving money in other areas. By being more efficient.

In terms of ridership projections, it's also important to remember that Finch will just be a small part of most people's journeys since its main purpose is the connect people in the northwest of the city to line 1 which goes to many other places. By comparison, the Canada Line is a main trunk route that other transit routes connects to. Not really a useful comparison. We would need to compare the LRT's projected ridership growth with the projected growth for other mode options on the same corridor to make any relevant claims as to how future ridership would compare.

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Originally Posted by Migrant_Coconut View Post
Whereas a subway here is $518m/km, so you're basically just confirming what everybody already knows: that Metrolinx is good at throwing money down a hole.
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Originally Posted by BaddieB View Post
$3.5 billion over 10km = $350M/km, which is about the same as the fully elevated Surrey-Langley Skytrain on a per kilometre basis ($375M/km), and is a better comparison than the Ontario Line since both SLS and Finch are on suburban stroads, whereas the Ontario Line is through downtown..

My response was to someone who seemed to write off LRT as a technology by claiming that it it was as expensive as a subway but no better than a bus. But instead of people simply acknowledging that this obviously wasn't true, people are changing the subject to all this stuff that's irrelevant to the actual point.

The SLS is not a better comparison because it's not in Greater Toronto. The cost of a subway in BC is completely irrelevant to what technology Toronto should be using. The only thing that's relevant is what Toronto would be paying and getting in return for different modes. Unless of course you think that if they chose subway instead of LRT that they somehow would have gotten BC subway prices.

It's true that building in a dense central area can increase costs, and I thought about using the Scarborough subway extension as a comparison since it's not downtown. But it's also completely underground whereas the Ont. line has significant surface and elevated sections. Also,the Scarborough extension hasn't made nearly as much progress so it's harder to predict what the actual final cost will be.

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Originally Posted by aberdeen5698 View Post
Maybe not quite, but it's sure more billions than a bus route that can provide competitive service.

If you're going to sink a lot of money into a transit route that has grown beyond the capacity of buses (and that's a lot of capacity, just look at the 99 B-Line), then you should at least get a decent service upgrade for your dollars.
An upgrade to capacity is an upgrade to service. Not just because you can provide service to more people but also since you can provide a better experience to the existing riders. Not only is it uncomfortable to be stuffed into packed buses, but sometimes people even have to wait for another vehicle because no one else can get on which causes frustration and increased journey times. And I'm not sure the 99 B-line is the best example of how a bus route can successfully handle higher capacity when the busiest part of the route is currently being upgraded to a higher capacity mode. And while it's great that the Broadway extension will include higher speeds, that might not have been feasible with significantly higher infrastructure costs. And no, high costs aren't just a Metrolinx problem. High transit infrastructure costs have become an issue in many different places to the point where RM Transit and other creators have made entire videos on it.

Fact is, surface LRT is cheaper than subway and has advantages that buses lack. That doesn't mean it's appropriate for every application or that we can't criticize instances where it's a poor choice. But there are some cases where it's a good choice, so claiming that it's just a bad technology based on the higher costs in a place where all modes are costlier isn't accurate.
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  #2074  
Old Posted Dec 14, 2025, 11:06 PM
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My response was to someone who seemed to write off LRT as a technology by claiming that it it was as expensive as a subway but no better than a bus.
In Vancouver, the above statement is almost entirely correct. Both the Broadway and Surrey-Langley tram proposals offered the same service as the B-Line express buses they aimed to replace, in exchange for capital costs that were closer to the alternative SkyTrain options.

Your argument seems to be more light metro (which Eglinton is close to but isn't) over heavy metro; street-running trains do fine as a rich man's bus, but often fail as a poor man's rapid transit without proper separation.
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  #2075  
Old Posted Dec 14, 2025, 11:27 PM
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In Vancouver, the above statement is almost entirely correct. Both the Broadway and Surrey-Langley tram proposals offered the same service as the B-Line express buses they aimed to replace, in exchange for capital costs that were closer to the alternative SkyTrain options.

Your argument seems to be more light metro (which Eglinton is close to but isn't) over heavy metro; street-running trains do fine as a rich man's bus, but often fail as a poor man's rapid transit without proper separation.
My argument is that providing additional capacity and reduced operating costs is an upgrade that can be worthwhile as long as it has a better cost-benefit ratio than the alternatives. Even when it's more expensive than it should be. It sounds like you're referring to is a case where there's an alternative that has a better cost-benefit ratio. I 100% agree that it's a different situation in BC due to the cost differences so I'm not suggesting that BC should have LRT instead of Skytrain in any of those cases.

FWIW, I've always wished Eglinton had been light metro. Unlike with Finch, I do think the wrong technology was chosen in that case, mainly due to so much of it being underground. I don't think light metro would have been much more - or maybe even any more - expensive since the extra cost to elevate what are now street-running sections may have been offset by not needing such large stations. The trains could have been shorter with light metro due to the high service frequency it enables, while not needing drivers would have greatly reduced the long term operating expenses.
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  #2076  
Old Posted Dec 14, 2025, 11:35 PM
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My argument is that providing additional capacity and reduced operating costs is an upgrade that can be worthwhile as long as it has a better cost-benefit ratio than the alternatives. Even when it's more expensive than it should be...
Not wrong. So I'd be very interested in seeing the cost-benefit ratios of the alternatives, because so far it doesn't seem like street-running local-service trams had the highest one.

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FWIW, I've always wished Eglinton had been light metro. Unlike with Finch, I do think the wrong technology was chosen in that case, mainly due to so much of it being underground. I don't think light metro would have been much more - or maybe even any more - expensive since the extra cost to elevate what are now street-running sections may have been offset by not needing such large stations. The trains could have been shorter with light metro due to the high service frequency it enables, while not needing drivers would have greatly reduced the long term operating expenses.
Not sure why (NIMBYism, weather, IDK), but Toronto seems to be allergic to el-rail for some reason.
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  #2077  
Old Posted Dec 14, 2025, 11:53 PM
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The only possible alternatives are to continue with buses for which the only benefit is to avoid the cost and inconvenience of upgrading the corridor. I suppose they could have just upgraded the bus route by adding bus lanes but that wouldn't have offered much in terms of crowding or efficiency. Or speed for that matter since LRT has dedicated lanes and isn't much faster than the bus was. So the only other alternative is going underground which we know is astronomically expensive in Toronto so probably would not have been worthwhile for a secondary feeder route.

Elevated might have a better cost-benefit ratio (and what I might prefer depending on cost), but that wasn't an alternative since there's no suitable corridor for it. NIMBYs go to war when you try to run elevated rail over the street in residential areas, part of why underground was chosen for phase 2 of Eglinton which has a much wider corridor than Finch. So I can't think of any feasible alternative where the LRT wouldn't likely have the best cost-benefit ratio.
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  #2078  
Old Posted Dec 15, 2025, 2:14 AM
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...I'm not sure the 99 B-line is the best example of how a bus route can successfully handle higher capacity when the busiest part of the route is currently being upgraded to a higher capacity mode.
That's EXACTLY my point. There was no need to throw money out the door on an intermediate capacity transit system like LRT (which would itself have to be replaced) because Vancouver was able to provide enough capacity with buses to bridge the gap until the ridership justified the construction of a grade separated solution.

I just see it as very, very difficult to find a use case where LRT is the right solution because you need more than buses but less than grade separation, especially when any route that needs more than buses is almost certainly going to need grade separation before the capital cost of building an LRT line can be recouped.
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  #2079  
Old Posted Dec 15, 2025, 2:47 AM
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To clarify, the main controversy in Metro Van is the idea that if we need a tram and decide to build one, demand on that corridor will almost immediately climb to SkyTrain levels... meaning the tram will already be obsolete and we have to build the SkyTrain anyway (and probably should've done so at the start). Only time will tell whether that's the case for Finch West.
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  #2080  
Old Posted Dec 15, 2025, 6:24 AM
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LRT is not needed. Automated buses will soon be able to platoon and match the capacity and operating costs of rail. Ground level, traffic separated BRT would certainly be far cheaper than rail. Even an underground BRT is still cheaper than rail, if you believe Google AI's research...

Quote:
An underground BRT would be substantially cheaper to build than a conventional underground subway (heavy rail metro) system, with some estimates suggesting it can be an order of magnitude less expensive in terms of capital costs.

The primary reason for the cost difference lies in the infrastructure requirements and the nature of the vehicles:

Underground BRT:

-Underground BRT Tunneling Requires a simpler, potentially smaller tunnel diameter to accommodate single buses or articulated buses.

-Can use standard diesel/electric buses or hybrid buses, often without complex overhead catenary or third rails in the tunnel.

-Stations are simpler and less expensive to construct and maintain.

-Paved roadbed (asphalt or concrete) for rubber tires. Uses standard buses, potentially utilizing existing depots.

Subway (Heavy Rail):

-Requires a larger, more robust tunnel structure to accommodate heavier, longer trains with electrified third rails or catenary systems.

-Requires installation of rails, specialized roadbeds, and switches.

-Requires expensive electric power systems (third rail or overhead lines) for continuous operation.

-Stations are complex, often larger, and more expensive to build, light, secure, and clean.

-Requires specialized, more expensive rail vehicles and dedicated maintenance depots with rail connections.
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