Quote:
Originally Posted by Nouvellecosse
The drop in NDP poll numbers has little to do with their ideas not being popular. It's mainly a result of first past the post which tends to lead to consolidation caused by people voting strategically against something they don't want rather than for something they do. If people are "thirsty for centrists" it's to counter the threat of the CPC which is probably farther right than it's ever been. They're very much hard right yet are polling several times higher than the NDP which immediately nullifies the idea that centrist ideas have taken over. And they scare the bejeeses out of a lot of people who would much prefer to vote for something better but don't want to risk it, particularly given the high stakes political climate.
And regardless, political parties should be making their case and fighting to gain support support for their ideas not blowing where ever they think the wind is taking them. Most voters can sniff out that lack of authenticity a mile away.
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Sorry, but most voters aren’t closely watching the polls in their local riding and voting “strategically.”
If keeping wise to changing social, geopolitical and economic conditions and shifting one’s political party to better handle those factors is a bad move as you have suggested, then the Liberals wouldn’t be leading right now, because that is exactly what they have done. By the end of last year they had essentially become NDP version 2, and they were looking at a complete collapse with a CPC majority win. AKA, the political and social climate in Canada had changed. Most people wanted some form of a correction from the excess hard left policies made over the last decade, especially those in the last few years.
The CPC offered a hard correction from those increasingly less popular policies under Trudeau.
Then came Trump, which did poison the well for right wing politics somewhat, b it that wasn’t the final nail for the CPC.
The final nail has been the lurch to the centre under Carney by the Liberals, now seemingly offering a more gentle correction from those precious hard left policies.
And wow! Look at that! It has worked! Before the CPC were the only choice for any correction, for some it was a hard pill to swallow, but one they would take (myself included) but the Liberals caught on to this and have made some wise campaigning choices, and now I (and many others like me) would vote for Carney.
But the NDP are still doubling down on what most people don’t want.
So sorry, Charlie!
Now, if the Liberlas keep that more centrist position they are advertising, only time will tell.
A lot of people I know are relieved that we now have what looks to be a soft correction choice over a more turbulent hard correction option.
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