Posted Apr 10, 2025, 11:07 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: White Rock BC
Posts: 11,986
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Never say never but I just don't see a path forward for the Tories because their voting base is too unproductive.
Even after the debates and PP does well, it won't really change much. It maybe enough to sway those very tight races into the Tory camp but the reality is that regardless of the debates Carney is going to completely sweep GV, GTAH, O/H, and GM. When you also consider he is going to get 25 seats in AC and nearly all the urban votes in SWO and Winnipeg, where is the path forward?
The Tories, with a few exceptions on the Prairies, has basically become the Party of rural voters in an urban nation. It is going to take a some time and a lot of policy changes to get back some of that suburban vote but it certainly won't happen in this election. At this point, the very best the Tories can hope for is to hold the Liberals to a minority gov't.
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