Quote:
Originally Posted by BlackDog204
Well if you want to go by that metric, the Conservative are definitely NOT soaring. I came across a poll where they were up 48-19 in early January. Just over two months later, they are trailing 44-38. Not only have they floundered a 29-point lead, but they have also lost 10 percentage points. How on Earth is that "soaring?"
|
The polling intentions of voters respective to election results from the past 2 elections popular vote results.
Cons won popular vote last election with 34%. They are currently polling at around 37%
Libs won the last election with popular vote of only 31.8% of popular vote.
So… 37% 2025 polling results > 34% con 2021 election popular vote > 31% Lib 2021 election results.
I understand the point spread they have lost in current polling. But I’m not talking about that. I am talking about current polling respective to past election results.