Quote:
Originally Posted by adamuptownsj
I disagree. Killen is widely loathed, especially in comparison to Norton and in association with Harris, and Darling is a last name and a 2021 style social justice candidate. If anything, they allow the Liberal candidates to pivot to the centre more easily. Compare and contrast with Simon Ouellette in Fredericton South-Silverwood, who actually has a resume, a campaign organization, and will plausibly hold a good chunk of Coon's 2020 voters.
I've got Lancaster as a PC hold, albeit by reduced margins from 2020's 54-22 win, and Harbour as a narrow Liberal flip... although I had it painted as a likely Liberal flip three months ago.
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Do you think the Liberals have any chance in Saint John Portland? It's the only other SJ seat besides Harbour that 338Canada has as "PC leaning" rather than "safe' or "likely"
FWIW they have zero seats in SJ as going Liberal as of this point in time.
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