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Old Posted Sep 3, 2024, 8:17 PM
adamuptownsj adamuptownsj is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2020
Location: Saint John NB
Posts: 1,995
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Originally Posted by TitleRequired View Post
As your reminder, I ran through the candidate list, out of curiosity.

Agree that there isn't much of depth here. Mariah Darling has yet to be elected anywhere and is a single issue candidate. Joanna Killen hasn't shown to be an effective municipal councilor and business person (rip slocum and ferris...); how would her being elected as an MLA change her effectiveness?

Mind you it does set up a interesting left wing vote split.
I disagree. Killen is widely loathed, especially in comparison to Norton and in association with Harris, and Darling is a last name and a 2021 style social justice candidate. If anything, they allow the Liberal candidates to pivot to the centre more easily. Compare and contrast with Simon Ouellette in Fredericton South-Silverwood, who actually has a resume, a campaign organization, and will plausibly hold a good chunk of Coon's 2020 voters.

I've got Lancaster as a PC hold, albeit by reduced margins from 2020's 54-22 win, and Harbour as a narrow Liberal flip... although I had it painted as a likely Liberal flip three months ago.
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