Quote:
Originally Posted by CanSpice
I honestly don't understand. I understand that people feel like there's a massive crimewave in downtown Vancouver, and I also understand that people are under-reporting crimes, and that this has been building gradually for some time.
But how do you explain the extreme drop over a two month period between February and April of 2020? Like, as people "get used" to crimes and stop reporting them, if that was the actual cause of the stats showing what they currently do, then the stats would gradually be going down over time, wouldn't they? They wouldn't have a massive and sudden drop like that. People in the downtown core all of a sudden decided to stop reporting crimes all at the same time?
I'm not saying "ah just look at the stats", I'm saying "explain the stats in a way that makes sense", because "people underreport crimes" doesn't make sense as a way of explaining the apparent dichotomy between the statistics and the anecdotes.
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February 2020-April 2020 is roughly the timeline for our actual lockdowns.
Downtown was a boarded up zombie zone for 6-8 weeks.
The day time population dropped, and with that a precipitous drop in reporting.