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  #11161  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 6:01 AM
EdmTrekker EdmTrekker is offline
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Wrong thread. Sorry.
     
     
  #11162  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 8:23 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by YYCFlier View Post
Not stagnant, more cuts. Most of the YVR frequency increases are coming from YYC being cut.
Yeah that guy doesn’t get it does he.
These are huge cuts at YYC by AC - nothing stagnant at all.
I also don’t think Porter’s new flights to YYZ are relevant here.
Also, Lynx and Flair are still trying to figure out what they’re going to do.

It’s all about Westjet at YYC these days.

Looks like AC transborder keeping one daily LAX (7M8), one daily EWR (223) and twice weekly HNL (7M8) this winter.
Also CUN looks like the only AC sun route as well.

Last edited by Johnny Aussie; May 26, 2023 at 8:48 AM.
     
     
  #11163  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 8:26 AM
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Originally Posted by hehehe View Post
Yup PHX was cut and shifted to YVR. YHZ was cut too I think?

Please AC, please keep LAX/EWR/LHR/FRA. YYC please throw money at AC to keep these routes if they want to cut them lol
YYC would be foolish to throw money at AC - that would piss off Westjet.
Just have to accept this was really inevitable
     
     
  #11164  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 11:50 AM
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DTW starts this afternoon. First outbound is about 83% sold.
     
     
  #11165  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 1:31 PM
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Could DTW go year round? Although I'd assume WS would rather up YYC-ATL next winter?
     
     
  #11166  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 1:36 PM
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If AC cuts their FRA and LHR routes one has think at what point does WS consider taking on more 787s to fill that hole, FRA especially would be a big loss but I don’t see us losing it for the time being.
     
     
  #11167  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 3:10 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by People_talking View Post
If AC cuts their FRA and LHR routes one has think at what point does WS consider taking on more 787s to fill that hole, FRA especially would be a big loss but I don’t see us losing it for the time being.
Both FRA and LHR are probably much more lucrative than any experimental route the 787s would be used on at YVR/YUL/YYZ IMO
     
     
  #11168  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 3:31 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by People_talking View Post
If AC cuts their FRA and LHR routes one has think at what point does WS consider taking on more 787s to fill that hole, FRA especially would be a big loss but I don’t see us losing it for the time being.
FRA is not O&D. FRA exists because of a JV between AC and LH, and FRA is their biggest hub. WS would not take up that route. Most pax, I would guess, connect in FRA elsewhere in Europe.

It's the same reason we have EWR - mostly JV traffic with United.
     
     
  #11169  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 3:32 PM
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Originally Posted by ace.yyc View Post
I don't personally think DTW has the volume to sustain through winter, at least not for now. Could be wrong, but it's just so easy to hit damn near everything through ATL.
I can't see DTW going year round either. Why hit a NE US airport in winter when you could connect in ATL? I would expect they'd keep a 2nd ATL flight over DTW. WS is, as it is, highly seasonal at YYC.
     
     
  #11170  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 3:37 PM
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BNA will probably go year round 2x weekly I'd assume? The night flight to ATL going year round does sound more realistic than DTW going year round.

Even if subsidised though YWG-ATL 5x weekly seems quite ambitious to say the least.
     
     
  #11171  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 3:43 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hollywoodcory View Post
DTW starts this afternoon. First outbound is about 83% sold.
First Inbound is about 90% sold.
     
     
  #11172  
Old Posted May 26, 2023, 8:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by YYCFlier View Post
FRA is not O&D. FRA exists because of a JV between AC and LH, and FRA is their biggest hub. WS would not take up that route. Most pax, I would guess, connect in FRA elsewhere in Europe.

It's the same reason we have EWR - mostly JV traffic with United.
FRA is massive connection point to India as well for Calgary. And a fair amount to Pakistan through other hubs as a 2 stop.

Some days the flight is 30-40% connection to the Indian sub continent.
     
     
  #11173  
Old Posted May 27, 2023, 4:00 AM
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As AC continues to wind back at YYC perhaps Eurowings Discover will take over AC flying? Who knows right?
     
     
  #11174  
Old Posted May 27, 2023, 4:05 AM
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Did anyone else notice the flight number for the new YYC-ATL redeye is WS1992? Nice little dig on the Atlanta Braves at the hands of the World Series winning 1992 Blue Jays.

Last edited by Nick; May 27, 2023 at 4:17 AM. Reason: a word
     
     
  #11175  
Old Posted May 27, 2023, 4:46 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnny Aussie View Post
As AC continues to wind back at YYC perhaps Eurowings Discover will take over AC flying? Who knows right?
Highly doubt it unless there's something that's somehow more profitable than YYC-FRA that AC could put the frame on.
     
     
  #11176  
Old Posted May 27, 2023, 5:31 AM
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I guess time will tell. Until then it’s very clear what AC’s intentions are in YYC.
     
     
  #11177  
Old Posted May 27, 2023, 6:21 AM
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Originally Posted by Johnny Aussie View Post
I guess time will tell. Until then it’s very clear what AC’s intentions are in YYC.
For sure. The only routes I can see staying are FRA/LHR/EWR and of course YYZ/YUL/YVR but practically anything else that's still running is at risk of being chopped.

Taking a quick look it looks like AC will have max 33 flights a day to YYC next winter if HNL/LAX stick.

Last edited by hehehe; May 27, 2023 at 6:45 AM.
     
     
  #11178  
Old Posted May 27, 2023, 11:27 AM
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Originally Posted by hehehe View Post
For sure. The only routes I can see staying are FRA/LHR/EWR and of course YYZ/YUL/YVR but practically anything else that's still running is at risk of being chopped.

Taking a quick look it looks like AC will have max 33 flights a day to YYC next winter if HNL/LAX stick.
YYC barely holding on as AC's #4. One more cut and it'll drop down to #5.

Preliminary weekly flight count for W23:
YYZ 1889
YVR 960
YUL 959
YYC 237
YOW 234

I manually remove all overcounts for YVR/YYC/YOW, likely there are some over count from YYZ and YUL due to equipment change but not yet removed in the schedule.

Before COVID, YYC is normally about half of YVR/YUL and 1.5x of YOW/YHZ.
     
     
  #11179  
Old Posted May 27, 2023, 12:35 PM
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Mainline LHR/FRA/YVR/YYZ/YUL/YOW/EWR/LAX and less than daily CUN/HNL a total of ~ 23-24 per day
Jazz YEG/YMM/YQU/YLW/YWG and less than daily YXT a total of ~ 9 per day

Probably not 100% finalised either

Westjet will be pleased of course!

Last edited by Johnny Aussie; May 27, 2023 at 12:46 PM.
     
     
  #11180  
Old Posted May 27, 2023, 3:23 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nname View Post
YYC barely holding on as AC's #4. One more cut and it'll drop down to #5.

Preliminary weekly flight count for W23:
YYZ 1889
YVR 960
YUL 959
YYC 237
YOW 234

I manually remove all overcounts for YVR/YYC/YOW, likely there are some over count from YYZ and YUL due to equipment change but not yet removed in the schedule.

Before COVID, YYC is normally about half of YVR/YUL and 1.5x of YOW/YHZ.
Wow Vancouver more AC flights than Montreal- Air Montreal !!
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