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  #3841  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2023, 2:13 AM
Crawford Crawford is online now
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Originally Posted by tech12 View Post
The portion of the Central Valley that'll be served by HSR has over 6 million people.
Population is irrelevant. US has 330 million, Switzerland has 9 million. Guess which has vastly better conditions for HSR?
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and is already served by one of the busiest Amtrak routes in the US (the San Joaquins, which goes from Bakersfield to Oakland, and stops at every Central Valley city in between them).
There's one Amtrak line that has real ridership. So "one of the busiest Amtrak routes" is a meaningless statement. It's saying there's more than one train a day. Also, Phase I isn't serving Oakland, so who cares? If it did, it would make sense.
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Two of the metros it'll serve have existing commuter rail lines to the Bay Area (ACE in Stockton and Capitol Corridor in Sacramento),
Nope, neither city is served in Phase I.
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and there is bus service throughout the central valley.
There's bus service in every podunk metro. Who cares?
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Sacramento even has a light rail system.
Ok, but irrelevent. No Sacramento service.
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So the central valley already has better public transit than a significant portion of the country.
No, it has terrible public transit, and extremely high auto share, and extremely weak cores, and extremely low walkability and bikeability and very low incomes and minimal corporate base and agricultural economic base and few professional jobs. It has nothing you need for HSR. There's nothing that works in Paris-Brussels that would work in Tulare-Bakersfield. Phase I won't deliver much ridership, and I bet you everyone leading CAHSR knows it.

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Also, the goal of the project is not just to improve transit, but to revitalize the central valley cities.
Ding, ding ding. We have a winner.

This is why Phase I is so crazy. They're basically doing it first bc CV is poor and Hispanic, so they can brag about equity, economic justice and the like. Is it a transit project, an economic development project, a reparations project? You see it in the promotional language.

If, once CAHSR were running, they wanted to throw the CV a bone and put a station there, fine. It would be a waste of money and time, but it wouldn't threaten HSR in the U.S. But putting it first is extremely risky for U.S. HSR. It's a dream scenario for the anti-transit GQP.
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  #3842  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2023, 2:22 AM
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They have to build it in the CV (40 to 60 miles wide), so might as well hit the population centers and these people do use the trains already there to get to SF, Sac, and LA. They might not be connected to HSR, but they are connected to regular rail.
When the initial project finishes, people from these areas will use it and people outside of these areas will also use it.
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  #3843  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2023, 3:12 AM
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Originally Posted by Crawford View Post
If, once CAHSR were running, they wanted to throw the CV a bone and put a station there, fine. It would be a waste of money and time, but it wouldn't threaten HSR in the U.S. But putting it first is extremely risky for U.S. HSR. It's a dream scenario for the anti-transit GQP.
You greatly overstate what California's nascent high speed rail system means to the U.S. as a whole. The vast majority of the nation was never going to have high speed rail regardless of California's experience. And if there was a viable high speed rail system in some other state that was certain to get built but for California's laggardly construction timetable and budget overruns, then name it. California is the only state trying to build high speed rail today only because other states are not trying at all.
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  #3844  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2023, 5:00 PM
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This is why Phase I is so crazy. They're basically doing it first bc CV is poor and Hispanic, so they can brag about equity, economic justice and the like. Is it a transit project, an economic development project, a reparations project? You see it in the promotional language.
As believable as this sounds for CA, I'm not sure it's accurate... or at least it's not the primary reason for Phase I to be in the CV. From my viewpoint, Phase I is located where it is because it's the low hanging fruit of the CAHSR system and allows for tangible results to be shown as soon as possible. The hope being that we get the CV segment up and it motivates everyone to keep pushing on the project so we can connect the major metro areas. Had we started with the most challenging parts of the CAHSR system, those being the segments connecting the major metros to the CV, the cost and time may have killed the will to complete the system as a whole.
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  #3845  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2023, 5:14 PM
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Originally Posted by Crawford View Post
There's one Amtrak line that has real ridership. So "one of the busiest Amtrak routes" is a meaningless statement. It's saying there's more than one train a day. Also, Phase I isn't serving Oakland, so who cares? If it did, it would make sense.
I agree that the ridership is objectively not great, but the San Joaquins actually doesn't get much of its ridership from the Bay Area or Sacramento. You could cut off both of the branches after Stockton and it wouldn't lose much. The top city pairs along the route mostly start and end in the same Central Valley cities you're doubting. Sort of counter-intuitive.

https://web.archive.org/web/202011120218...engers.org/site/assets/files/3477/39.pdf
This is the 2019 data, so no Covid effects...
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  #3846  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2023, 5:22 PM
hughfb3 hughfb3 is online now
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You greatly overstate what California's nascent high speed rail system means to the U.S. as a whole. The vast majority of the nation was never going to have high speed rail regardless of California's experience. And if there was a viable high speed rail system in some other state that was certain to get built but for California's laggardly construction timetable and budget overruns, then name it. California is the only state trying to build high speed rail today only because other states are not trying at all.
To add to this, I would also argue that the only reason Brightline West is going to be a true High Speed Electrified Rail is BECAUSE California is already building a High speed rail to tie into... unlike the stand-alone Florida High-er speed diesel Brightline rail
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  #3847  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2023, 6:17 PM
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To add to this, I would also argue that the only reason Brightline West is going to be a true High Speed Electrified Rail is BECAUSE California is already building a High speed rail to tie into... unlike the stand-alone Florida High-er speed diesel Brightline rail
It needs to be electric to travel through the planned Burbank-Palmdale tunnel or tunnels, aside from the fact that electric passenger trains have much better performance characteristics aside from a higher potential maximum speed.

The Brightline Florida tracks can't be Class 9 (like CAHSR and Las Vegas) without full grade separation. That's not possible without building an almost continuous 70-mile viaduct from Miami north to Palm Beach.
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  #3848  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2023, 7:06 PM
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Originally Posted by jmecklenborg View Post
It needs to be electric to travel through the planned Burbank-Palmdale tunnel or tunnels, aside from the fact that electric passenger trains have much better performance characteristics aside from a higher potential maximum speed.

The Brightline Florida tracks can't be Class 9 (like CAHSR and Las Vegas) without full grade separation. That's not possible without building an almost continuous 70-mile viaduct from Miami north to Palm Beach.
yes, but the part along 528 out to Orlando could have been pretty easily.

As it is, isn't most of the streetch between Miami and Palm Beach limited to 79mph anyway? It's not even a particularly fast train along there at all. It's big speeds are heading east to Orlando and even those are relatively limited.
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  #3849  
Old Posted Apr 14, 2023, 11:04 PM
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Build HSR website

The High Speed Rail construction website has been recently updated .
https://buildhsr.com/

The interactive map now shows which sites have been completed, and which are still under construction.

Overall it seems to be an improvement. Hope they can keep it updated!
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  #3850  
Old Posted Apr 15, 2023, 7:09 PM
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Originally Posted by jmecklenborg View Post
It needs to be electric to travel through the planned Burbank-Palmdale tunnel or tunnels, aside from the fact that electric passenger trains have much better performance characteristics aside from a higher potential maximum speed.

The Brightline Florida tracks can't be Class 9 (like CAHSR and Las Vegas) without full grade separation. That's not possible without building an almost continuous 70-mile viaduct from Miami north to Palm Beach.
Speaking about that, CalTrain electrification can also count for CAHSR construction since the trains will be using the line.
Not just in the CV...
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The High Speed Rail construction website has been recently updated .
https://buildhsr.com/

The interactive map now shows which sites have been completed, and which are still under construction.

Overall it seems to be an improvement. Hope they can keep it updated!
What's up with phase 2 out in So Cal? They haven't decided on a route yet?
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Last edited by TWAK; Apr 15, 2023 at 7:26 PM.
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  #3851  
Old Posted Apr 15, 2023, 7:34 PM
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What's up with phase 2 out in So Cal? They haven't decided on a route yet?
Correct. They are expending zero effort phase 2 at this point. Their hands are full with phase 1, which is Anaheim to SF.
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  #3852  
Old Posted Apr 15, 2023, 9:04 PM
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I mean why would they? I don't wanna be pessimistic as I love this project, but they don't even have the money for phase 1.
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  #3853  
Old Posted Apr 15, 2023, 9:22 PM
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Yeah, it will absolutely be a Big F-ing Deal when phase 1 is complete! They don't need any phase 2 burdens to slow it down.
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  #3854  
Old Posted Apr 16, 2023, 8:33 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mattropolis View Post
The High Speed Rail construction website has been recently updated .
https://buildhsr.com/

The interactive map now shows which sites have been completed, and which are still under construction.

Overall it seems to be an improvement. Hope they can keep it updated!
And not all of those look to be up to date either. For example, the Avenue 12 Grade Separation (which is listed as “active”) was described as “almost complete” as of December 2020, and the uploaded photos from April 2022 show it finished.
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  #3855  
Old Posted Apr 16, 2023, 11:17 PM
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This is the best information I can find about status of CaHSR's various grade separations and such:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constructi...-Speed_Rail#Construction_package_details

And, in fact, it shows Ave 12 complete and open to traffic.
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  #3856  
Old Posted Apr 17, 2023, 1:46 AM
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Correct. They are expending zero effort phase 2 at this point. Their hands are full with phase 1, which is Anaheim to SF.
If I remember correctly, they can't start on Phase 2 and until Phase 1 is physically complete (and possibly operating), per the language of the 2008 ballot issue.

I also seem to recall that 4th & King counts as "San Francisco", so they don't necessary need to have the tunnel to the Transbay Terminal complete and in operation.

Last edited by jmecklenborg; Apr 19, 2023 at 4:23 AM.
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  #3857  
Old Posted Apr 19, 2023, 12:58 AM
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If I remember correctly, they can't start on Phase 2 and until Phase 1 is physically complete (and possibly operating), per the language of the 2008 ballot issue.

I also seem to recall that 4th & King counts as "San Francisco", so they don't necessary need to have the tunnel to the Transbay Terminal complete and operation.
On the second point, I think the downtown extension is actually responsibility of the Transbay Joint Powers Authority. So makes sense.
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  #3858  
Old Posted Apr 19, 2023, 1:39 AM
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Yeah I don't think CAHSR cares all that much whether they stop at 4th and King or STC. Sure it would be nice, but as long as they stop in SF they're fine.
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  #3859  
Old Posted Apr 21, 2023, 2:20 AM
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**Somewhat off topic and not an update**
Brightline just revealed their Orlando station which is a partnership between the airport authority that built the station and Brightline who outfitted it with their aesthetic and services. Check out their forum. It looks amazing and the services offered are what most impressed me about this recent reveal. I’ve visited the Miami Central Brightline Station a few times and it is fantastic.

I think it will be great to have Brightline West open in California by 2028 to be a friendly competitor that might help to give officials an immersive experience of what quality service and amenities in high speed rail stations and aboard trains can be like. Maybe Metro’s Union Stations amenities and quality of service will improve. Looking forward to seeing the Rancho C Station in person in less than 5 years.
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  #3860  
Old Posted Apr 21, 2023, 2:26 AM
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**Somewhat off topic and not an update**
Brightline just revealed their Orlando station which is a partnership between the airport authority that built the station and Brightline who outfitted it with their aesthetic and services. Check out their forum. It looks amazing and the services offered are what most impressed me about this recent reveal. I’ve visited the Miami Central Brightline Station a few times and it is fantastic.

I think it will be great to have Brightline West open in California by 2028 to be a friendly competitor that might help to give officials an immersive experience of what quality service and amenities in high speed rail stations and aboard trains can be like. Maybe Metro’s Union Stations amenities and quality of service will improve. Looking forward to seeing the Rancho C Station in person in less than 5 years.
Wait, is Brightline in Florida real HSR? I thought it ran at-grade and wasn't electrified.
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