Quote:
Originally Posted by MonctonRad
It should be noted that three of the counties that you have appropriated into "Acadian New Brunswick" are in fact majority English speaking (Westmorland, Miramichi & Victoria). I would posit that by including these counties in your statistical base that you are introducing bias. Perhaps you should redo your analysis based only on the four majority francophone counties and you might discover that things aren't quite as dismal as you purport...........
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Westmorland and Victoria are nearly half Francophone. And Westmorland alone contains 30% of the native French speakers living in these 7 counties, as well as its largest urban center, so it would be very strange not to include it. As if we didn't include Montréal in the figures for Québec...
As for Northumberland, it is in its large majority English speaking, but located right in the middle of Acadia, and it contains some significant French-speaking populations.
In any case, even if we removed these 3 counties (but again, what's the point of looking at the evolution of French speakers in New Brunswick if we don't even include the region of Moncton in it?

), it wouldn't change things much in terms of the evolution.
Between 2011 and 2021 the percentage of people with French as their mother tongue in those 4 counties went from 80.9% to 79.4%, and the percentage of those for whom French is the main language spoken at home in these 4 counties went from 79.0% in 2011 to 77.0% in 2021.
So a decline even in the heartland-most part of Acadia, which contains only 62% of the native French speakers from Acadia (the other 38% living in Westmorland, particularly the Moncton area, as well as Northumberland and Victoria).
At the level of the entire New Brunswick, the decline of French speakers is of course worse. The percentage of native French speakers in New Brunswick went from 35.9% at the 1951 census to 31.3% at the 2021 census, with a big drop of more than a percentage point in the last 10 years, from 32.5% in 2011 to 31.3% in 2021. And the percentage of those for whom French was the language most spoken at home was only 27.7% in 2021, which shows where things are going. In a matter of a few years, the Francophones will be only a quarter of New Brunswick's population, and there's no reason why the decline would stop there.