Quote:
Originally Posted by Vin
Switzerland is highly mountainous and has 8 mil inhabitants, with towns and villages spread out all over the country and regions. We have about 2.5 mil here in the Lower Mainland. At a third of Switzerland's population, we should be able to have at least one complete train line into the valley right?
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There are a few things working in Switzerland's favour:
1. Switzerland has a number of medium-sized cities (by NA standards). Zurich, Geneva, Basel, Bern and Lausanne range from 400k to 1.3 million inhabitants. Since Switzerland is small, and since most of those cities are in a straight line on the Swiss plateau, they lend nicely to generating a TON of inter-city trips. Compare that to mainland BC where we essentially have Metro Vancouver, the Fraser Valley, and the Okanagan. Most of Metro Vancouver is well served (not perfectly) by buses and Skytrain, and those other regions are either two far away, too sprawling, or have too small a population to generate significant trips.
2. As Migrant mentioned, Switzerland also sees a lot of international train travel. A line from Zurich to St. Gallen, which has a 165k people (still larger than any of the valley cities) may not be justified on its own, but a train from Zurich to Munich with St. Gallen halfway in the middle makes too much sense. What large city is on the other side of Abbotsford to make a Valley train a slam dunk?
3. Switzerland has 130 fewer vehicles per 1,000 people than Canada. That might not seem like a lot, but it makes a difference in how people move around.
4. The development pattern of Switzerland is significantly different from Canada. And I'm not talking about the large cities. I lived in an Austrian town of 7k people for a year. This farming town was compact and walkable. Even the nearby dairy farmers walk or ride their bikes into town, because the rural areas are served by bike paths and sidewalks. Basically, towns of <15k people in Switzerland generate trips on the railways. But do you think anyone living in Aldergrove would catch a train to Murrayville?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tvisforme
The City of North Vancouver did grow by 7.5% between 2016 and 2021, but that growth rate is based on a 2021 population of only 59 576 people. The North Shore as a whole - both North Vans plus West Van - gained less than 3 000 people from 2020 to 2021.
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The North Shore will probably never get another vehicle crossing to Vancouver. And even expanding the existing crossings will be difficult (if the Lions Gate Bridge was six lanes, how would all that traffic travel into downtown? and do we really see the TCH on both sides of the harbor being widened to support a large IWM?). So adding rapid transit is really the most feasible way to add transportation capacity for the North Shore. Also, the North Shore's sprawl will be physically constrained by the forest and topography. So looking into the future, North Vancouver will be a very dense city if it wants to continue growing.