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Posted Jun 29, 2022, 5:09 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Oct 2014
Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Posts: 1,357
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Urbanthusiat
Did a little number crunching of BLS data to see how Philly's post-covid recovery compares to other cities in the Northeast. Turns out, the number's actually look pretty solid for Philly (and eastern PA as a whole). Below is a list of MSA's sorted by nonfarm employment in May '22 over the MSA's peak nonfarm employment since January 2012 for MSA's with employment > 100k. Four Pennsylvania MSA's crack the top 10 with Harrisburg being the only MSA in the northeast that's actually currently at peak employment, with Allentown coming in at #2, York #5, and Philly at #7. I also looked at the longer term trend and compared today to January 2012. Believe it or not, in the last 10 years, Philly MSA has actually (barely) added more total jobs than the DC MSA (298,700 vs 298,400), but that's not the common narrative. As a percentage Philly does even better than DC. I also looked at job growth relative to the entire set and looked at the "% Chg Wgt" which is the relative change in weight each MSA has compared to the set over the last 10 years (e.g. 0% = growth proportional to the set). Philly had a rate of 0.8% which means it grew slightly faster than the set as a whole.
MSA | % of Peak | January 2012 Total | May 2022 Total |10-yr Total Chg | % Chg Wgt
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA | 100.0% | 315 | 357.1 | 42.1 | 2.8%
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ | 99.4% | 336.8 | 385.6 | 48.8 | 3.8%
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA NECTA | 98.3% | 536.8 | 598.6 | 61.8 | 1.1%
- Trenton, NJ | 97.9% | 238.8 | 281.6 | 42.8 | 6.9%
- York-Hanover, PA | 97.8% | 175 | 187.4 | 12.4 | -2.9%
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD 97.7% | 1284.7 | 1415.8 | 131.1 | -0.1%
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD | 97.6% | 2667.5 | 2966.2 | 298.7 | 0.8%
- Worcester, MA-CT NECTA | 97.6% | 261.7 | 286.9 | 25.2 | -0.6%
- Springfield, MA-CT NECTA | 97.6% | 304.9 | 337.1 | 32.2 | 0.3%
- Boston-Cambridge-Nashua, MA-NH NECTA | 97.4% | 2443.5 | 2784.5 | 341 | 3.3%
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV | 97.1% | 2994.9 | 3293.3 | 298.4 | -0.3%
- Portland-South Portland, ME NECTA | 97.1% | 185.2 | 212.8 | 27.6 | 4.2%
- New Haven, CT NECTA | 96.9% | 267.6 | 293 | 25.4 | -0.7%
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ | 96.5% | 130.5 | 136.6 | 6.1 | -5.1%
- Lancaster, PA | 96.3% | 222.7 | 253.4 | 30.7 | 3.2%
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA | 95.9% | 8636.7 | 9734.9 | 1098.2 | 2.2%
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre--Hazleton, PA 95.8% | 249.4 | 257.9 | 8.5 | -6.2%
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY | 95.7% | 428 | 459.2 | 31.2 | -2.7%
- Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT NECTA | 95.5% | 547.4 | 570.8 | 23.4 | -5.4%
- Pittsburgh, PA | 95.4% | 1130.5 | 1150.7 | 20.2 | -7.7%
- Manchester, NH NECTA | 95.3% | 101 | 113.2 | 12.2 | 1.6%
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls, NY | 95.0% | 530.7 | 545.4 | 14.7 | -6.8%
- Syracuse, NY | 94.9% | 303.6 | 308.1 | 4.5 | -8.0%
- Rochester, NY | 94.5% | 505.9 | 519.1 | 13.2 | -6.9%
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT NECTA | 94.3% | 391.1 | 395.3 | 4.2 | -8.3%
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV | 94.3% | 98.5 | 103.3 | 4.8 | -4.9%
- Reading, PA | 93.6% | 165.5 | 172.5 | 7 | -5.5%
- Utica-Rome, NY | 93.4% | 124.9 | 121.5 | -3.4 | -11.8%
- Erie, PA | 93.1% | 127.8 | 123.1 | -4.7 | -12.6%
- Burlington-South Burlington, VT NECTA | 93.0% | 116.1 | 119.7 | 3.6 | -6.5%
- Salisbury, MD-DE | 93.0% | 132.6 | 164.7 | 32.1 | 12.6%
- Norwich-New London-Westerly, CT-RI NECTA | 90.4% | 126.4 | 121.5 | -4.9 | -12.8%
- Binghamton, NY | 89.8% | 104.6 | 97.8 | -6.8 | -15.2%
- Barnstable Town, MA NECTA | 82.4% | 87.9 | 101.9 | 14 | 5.1%
Fortunately, BLS breaks out Philly into multiple different parts better than most MSAs, so I was able to look do the same analysis on the region. South Jersey is the only part of the MSA that's at peak employment right now.
Philly MSA Component | % of Peak | January 2012 Total | May 2022 Total |10-yr Total Chg | % Chg Wgt
- Camden, NJ Metropolitan Division | 100.0% | 493.7 | 564.6 | 70.9 | 2.8%
- Montgomery County-Bucks County-Chester County, PA Metropolitan Division | 98.3% | 979.2 | 1086.1 | 106.9 | -0.3%
- Wilmington, DE-MD-NJ Metropolitan Division | 96.5% | 326.6 | 359.2 | 32.6 | -1.1%
- Philadelphia County, PA | 95.4% | 650.5 | 723.9 | 73.4 | 0.1%
- Delaware County, PA | 94.0% | 217.5 | 232.4 | 14.9 | -3.9%
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Very interesting, thanks for sharing.
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