Quote:
Originally Posted by iheartthed
I got pretty close on NYC. Dallas and Houston landed exactly where expected. And I was pretty far off on Chicago and L.A., but happy to be wrong there.
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Austin Estimate: 995,484
Austin Count: 961,855
Error: 3.5%
Austin Metro Estimate: 2,295,303
Austin Metro Count: 2,283,371
Error: .5%
San Antonio Estimate: 1,567,118
San Antonio Count: 1,434,625
Error: 9.2%
San Antonio Metro Estimate: 2,590,732
San Antonio Metro Count: 2,558,143
Error: 1.3%
Dallas Estimate: 1,343,266
Dallas Count: 1,304,379
Error: 3.0%
Fort Worth Estimate: 927,720
Fort Worth Count: 918,915 (please verify—I cannot find a second news source verification of this online, so correct me if wrong please).
Error: 1.0%
DFW Metro Estimate: 7,694,138
DFW Count: 7,637,387
Error: .7%
Houston Estimate: 2,316,120
Houston Count: 2,304,580
Error: .5%
Houston Metro Estimate: 7,154,478
Houston Metro Count: 7,122,240
Error: .5%
Can I just point out that you also said Austin was going to be a miss and that San Antonio would reach the estimate. If Dallas’s 3% miss is a success to you, Austin’s estimate was also a success. San Antonio’s was a big swing and a big miss. Personally, I think both Dallas and Austin are misses being outside the 99% confidence intervals.
Texas Estimate (Balance): 9,626,108
Texas Count (Balance): 9,544,064
Error: .8%
Clearly the error wasn’t elsewhere.
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