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Originally Posted by roger1818
I don't get the outrage that some of the Montreal-Toronto Trains will bypass Ottawa. I suspect that it will only be a few trains a day, at times when there is enough demand to support separate Montreal-Toronto and Ottawa-Montreal trains. They will likely also charge a premium for the express trains and those on a budget will travel through Ottawa. As long as Ottawa has frequent service to both Toronto and Montreal, what does it matter if not all trains stop in Ottawa? That sounds pretty entitled to me.
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I think it’s a legitimate concern. I am wondering too, about how they sustain “high frequency” by splitting the service. We will have this strange situation where the highest frequency portion of service is Toronto-Peterborough-Smiths Falls. And both the multi-million resident eastern metros have half the frequency of that stretch.
It also seems a bit cost-inefficient to me. They could easily spend the money they are spending on the bypass on VIA’s own corridor to speed it up and/or allow station skipping (double or triple track portions). I get that doing this might be more expensive than just building the bypass. But surely with the expanded budget, there’s room for exactly this kind of investment?
I guess we’ll see what their plans are in the Fall with the RFP. But on the face of it, I think those of us in Ottawa are right to be a little bit concerned.
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Originally Posted by roger1818
HSR would be significantly more expensive as it would require a straighter route, meaning both expropriation costs and dealing with the obstacles that caused the route to not be straight in the first place. It also requires a fully fenced off, grade separated corridor. There just isn't the political will to spend that amount of money. While half the population is inside the Corridor, that means half of the voting public are outside the Corridor, and are apathetic to rail service in the corridor. In democracies with HSR, the vast majority of the population has easy access to the trains (either directly or indirectly).
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I don’t think all those complaining about HSR really understand how much it would cost. The Ecotrain study was $21B in 2009 for 300 kph electrified HSR for the full Quebec-Windsor corridor. That would be something like $26 billion today. And probably $30-35 billion in current year dollars by the time it was built in 15-20 years. More than that, the $15B it would take just to build 300 kph electric HSR between Toronto, Ottawa and Montreal would get it killed at the earliest available opportunity by a conservative government pushing austerity. And though they are complaining about the price tag of HFR, it just might have more of a chance than full HSR.
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Originally Posted by roger1818
On top of that, countries with HSR also started with, and continue to have, strong intercity (not high speed) rail service that is more heavily used than the high speed trains that get all the glory.
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Higher speed rail (HrSR) also known as High Performance Rail (HPR) is term you are looking for. Services that run at or just below 200 kph and are frequent (hourly or better). Europe and Asia have tons of these kinds of services. And they actually comprise the majority of services and carry the majority of passengers. But Canadians who go on vacations and only travel between major cities don’t often realize this.
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Originally Posted by roger1818
HFR is a significant improvement over the status quo. Building it will demonstrate to Canadians that trains can be frequent, reliable and most of all, well used (things they aren't today). Once they see what can be done, there will be more appetite for HSR.
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Yep. It will change they way people look at trains. And maybe even car dependency at the periphery. You won’t need a car anymore to travel between the largest cities of the Corridor at least.
Looking at how HSR evolved elsewhere, I think once this thing actually starts running the demand for extensions and upgrades will be substantial. Just look how much HSR Spain built that was economically inefficient, almost entirely driven by politics after the first few lines were built.