Quote:
Originally Posted by HamiltonBoyInToronto
I find it hard to believe that the lower city has the lowest population it has had in a century....there are soo many new developments and an influx of out of towners ... I believe that the lower city is growing and growing quickly
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Well it does. It's because the residential neighbourhoods keep emptying out. Less and less rooming houses, more and more single detached dwellings occupied by 1-2 people with no kids. It means a declining population even if the built form remains the same.
For every new development that builds new units, there are two more houses that used to be split into a duplex that gets converted back to a single detached dwelling. Or two more basement suites removed and the space added to the primary residence. Or an apartment block that used to house immigrant families with 3-4 people a unit that empties out and is replaced by single people or a couple.
You add it all up and you get an overall shrinking population. Even in the 2016 census, the population of the lower city was down from the 2011 census.
The census recorded a net loss of 135 units in the lower city between 2011 and 2016, for example. During that same time, the population dropped even more, by 3,430 people.
I suspect this may have reversed by the 2021 census, but we will have to see. And even if it has, it will be a very long time before the lower city returns to the population it had in the 1950's.
https://www.hamilton.ca/sites/default/fi...vate-dwellings-community-2001-2016-2.pdf
This document shows the historical lower Hamilton population from 2001 to 2016. It has declined from 187,730 in 2001 to 176,815 in 2016. So about 9,000 less people lived in the lower city in 2016 than they did in 2001.
Presuming no further losses, which would be an incorrect assumption, you would need about 5,000 new apartment units to make up for the loss in the last 15 years. Yet alone the last 50.