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Originally Posted by lokyin
According to the previous report, ridership will be up to 16% lower with only a downtown Surrey station on our side (compared to having stations in both downtown Vancouver and Surrey).
And not just ridership but also potential economic gains, we'd want a station in or close to downtown Vancouver (Waterfront or Pacific Central), otherwise we're not attracting business, tourism, and the real major draws of the benefit in a project like this.
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Note however that the options that end in Surrey also have fewer stations and are more minimalistic in general. But yeah, glad the Surrey terminus options are gone. Whoever even thought that was a good idea? It's not THAT hard to get HSR into Downtown.
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Originally Posted by xd_1771
Oops! So much for the wild claims by certain community groups that we have rights to just use the existing SRY track right away
How else to even interpret "materially interfere"? This seems like it.Rights to use the ROW but not the same track (without an agreement with SRY). Of course, any new track, to not interfere with the SRY, would require a degree of separation (i.e. as much as possible not crossing over the SRY track), which will almost certainly cost a lot of money
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Well, the Surrey-Newton area might be able to operate without new tracks at WCE frequencies by the sound of things. But the section that actually matters the most is Cloverdale-Langley, and needs its own tracks- which alone screws over Zwei's claims of 30-minute service. I mean, for real, how are the rail operators going to get to Deltaport without it? It's literally the only rail connection there from the Fraser Valley.
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Originally Posted by BCPhil
That 15 minute headways on a single track is for bidirectional service. I think that would be overkill. 30 minute peak direction headways seem to suffice currently, off peak I don't see why you would have to do it more often than every hour. I think you could pull that off with a minimal amount of capital investment and end up providing a very valuable, attractive and dependable service.
Positive train control really should be in place by now in Canada, but once it is, inserting passenger trains onto freight tracks will be much easier while not taking much freight time away.
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WCE right now has 30 min headway, which isn't exactly frequent. 15 would actually make it at least somewhat frequent (Portland considers 15 min headways frequent, Vancouver 10 min). The report noted they may only need 1 track built for 10 min headways bidirectional west of Queensbrough.
Note that freight trains tend to operate off peak.
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Originally Posted by BCPhil
Well, the Amtrak does it in fairly decent time. The train travels from Pacific Central to Bellingham in 1:56 minutes, the Greyhound coach does it in 2:20 minutes. Bolt bus goes to a different part of Bellingham (a closer part) in 2 hours.
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I actually did some rudimentary calculations using average speeds from here:
https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/translink-2017-ridership-statistics-part-1. From Scott Rd. Station to Buena Vista Rd on Skytrain via the proposed B-line corridor on KGB, it takes about 34.8 minutes.
From Scott Rd. Station to White Rock Pier via a WCE-style Rail, it'd take...34.7 minutes.
Literally exactly the same amount of time, and Commuter Rail runs into the problem of having to deal with having to slow to a crawl at White Rock because of the dumbasses who constantly walk the tracks, so it's actually likely a bit slower, unless there's no stations built in North Delta or Crescent Beach.
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Originally Posted by Migrant_Coconut
Eh, windy enough to take an extra half-hour to Langley over the Fraser extension, despite being touted as faster.
15 minutes and 10-car trains should theoretically bring capacity up to Canada Line levels, but would the ridership match that? The FVX isn't even maxed out yet.
Sure. The point then was that it's not a race, and that we're not lagging behind... and swimmer was referring to twinning the Waterfront-Coquitlam stretch, by buying properties or reclaiming land if need be; all that for one track would definitely be wasteful, especially since the Evergreen makes that part a redundancy.
30% commuting into the metro, or 30% using transit? The first has a bit too many variables (Highway 7, for example) to attribute the result to one peak-hour commuter train.
I acknowledge the hole, while observing that it's the Tri-City "downtowns" that got the overhaul, not the WCE stations; one could just as easily point to the former 97 B-Line, or the Regional Centre plan. Port Haney has three or four townhouses by the station, which is good, but does not TOD make.
Already stated my support for an Abbotsford extension and Coq-Mission twinning... once the priority projects like UBC/Langley/Hastings/North Van are finished (or if it can be done as a side project). Given the relative distances, growth of Langley, and the apparent slowness of getting even SFH rezoning, I will remain skeptical about the commuter suburb part.
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Using the WCE average speed of 55km/h, a possible speed of the commuter rail connection would be about 28.6 minutes from Scott Rd. to Langley Center (assuming a spur built underground from the SRY line to Langley Center- purely for theoretical reasons- realistically, the line's Langley Station would be at 200St/Willowbrook Mall).
Skytrain is expected to go 27 min on the routing. From a glance, it at least appears time-competitive. If you're not using the LRT plans Zwei always suggests, and only go for the T. Centers.
The WCE uses 12-car trains. Though, mind you, that's kind of pedantic. The WCE carries about 10,000 passengers a day (lower due to the Evergreen Line and peak-only operation). The Canada Line carries closer to 150,000 passengers a day- which makes sense, considering it carries over 2.8x as many people an hour and works practically all-day.
So it's definately impossible to make it a replacement for Skytrain, not because of time or even cost (that'd probably still be cheaper even if you had to build a new rail), but capacity. Shouldn't matter for Abbosford though, simply because distances are so long, laying that much Skytrain track simply isn't worth it for demand- and you still want to protect your high-speed transit from the freeways inevitably filling up with cars- and from their speed limit.
We are lagging behind on Commuter Rail. But then again, Seattle uses LRT for its metro, so
There was 1 new high-rise on the Lower North Road during the period the 97 was running there. I know, because I went there a lot as a kid in the early 2010s and late to mid 2000s. Not much changed until the Evergreen Line.
Upper North Road is considered part of the Lougheed T. Center.
Compare that to the drastic growth of Inlet Center and Coq. Central, which had the WCE as well.
It's not EXACTLY on the WCE stations. But towers being built a couple blocks away from the stations is nothing new when it comes to TOD in this region.
More like 3-4 mid rise apartments. It's not really that impressive- but we're talking about Central Maple Ridge here. Without the WCE, you're simply not going anywhere fast.
Trailer Parks are 'affordable' housing in a sense, though. The likely "Abbosford T. Centre" is at the intersection of Hwy 1 and 11- an area so spacious with strip malls, warehouses, and parking lots, it's kind of hard to see how anyone could screw it up that badly (I guess there was Surrey for a long time?)
In any case, Abbostford set up a new city-wide plan in 2016 that aims to have 75% of all growth as infill/redevelopment (same as Metro Van), and has its own designated 'downtown', 'municipal centers' and everything. It's all fairly detailed, especially since they could just keep sprawling up Sumas Mtn indefinitely if they wanted to. Though, the main downtown isn't on the tracks, one of the secondary ones is- though I'd think Commuter Rail would bring a change to any densification plans anyways, like hope New West's Downtown moved from Uptown to the Waterfront because of the Expo Line.
https://municipal.qp.gov.bc.ca/civix/document/id/coa/coabylaws/ocp22
https://municipal.qp.gov.bc.ca/civix/document/id/coa/coabylaws/ocp21
https://municipal.qp.gov.bc.ca/civix/document/id/coa/coabylaws/ocp71
https://www.abbotsford.ca/business_and_d..._and_studies/official_community_plan.htm
They're also pretty focused on maintaining and establishing new Industrial lands. So,
Is it just a case of Cargo Cult Urbanism?
https://www.planetizen.com/node/64935 Maybe- but industrial services and people are already moving deep into the Fraser Valley *despite* horrible commute times.
Though, objectively, BRT is the most likely option, and the one BC Transit seems to be leaning towards.