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  #281  
Old Posted Nov 27, 2018, 10:05 AM
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Originally Posted by misher View Post
High prices and a booming demand allowed us to afford to pay the wages needed to get construction done. Now how are we going to pay for it to increase even more with prices dropping, more restrictions on development, and developers dropping out. Prices are going to have to rise again just because supply stops outpacing demand again.
Eh, if this wasn't the NDP, we could always hire more foreign workers.

But wages will decrease as RE investment demand decreases, because those in trades would have to accept lower wages. That is assuming boomers in the trades don't just decide to retire, though.

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Originally Posted by cleowin View Post
4000 sq ft Lots, the houses they build on those are generally 2000-2100 sq ft at the most, not including basement.

Also, you're describing what majority of pro-development people tend to argue, that the only concern should be building more and more housing, with little regard to the community neighbourhood needs and preferences. I dont know about you, but many people who have lived in the Fraser Valley didn't expect this type of development to occur, and while development is needed, I dont think replacing all these lots with High Density should be the only solution, but that's just my two cents. These 468-900 sq ft Condo's that developers are praising as 'Family friendly' and 'affordable' are nothing but that. Let's take a look at Alexander Square, Willoughby for example, a 468 sq ft 1 Bed, 1 Bath condo is selling for $313,000. Couples and bachelors are about the only people who would comfortably live in that space, and you're looking at still $1000-1500/month for a mortgage payment, which is insane. Then if you want an actual family orientated condo unit, you're looking at nearly $665,000 for a 3 bedroom unit. I could go onto REW.ca and find older townhomes or even newer ones with 3-4 bedrooms for less than that. I'm sorry, but Condo's should be no more than $399,999 for a 3 bedroom, and they should still be 'affordable' options for young people and couples, but no way is a family that needs space to grow is going to opt for a Condo over a house, and with a diminishing supply of houses, in favour of high or mid-density homes, I don't see how that's fair to the people who live here. Also, look at townhome complexes, usually filled with tons of families in crowded road spaces, causing problems for residents, strata councils, strata fees, etc, all headaches that don't make townhome or condo living pleasant. You can tell people all you want that we should move to a small town, or a smaller community elsewhere, but everyone has a right to a home, and people who decide to live in the burbs should be able to afford a simple house. All development does is create a hotter market in the long-term. High supply may be the 'affordable solution' to our real estate market, but lack of buyers will drive down prices. If you encourage development, more people are going to buy which in turn is going to drive up prices, regardless of the supply. So no, I think development needs to slow down rapidly, start with houses, once that fills, build townhomes, once those fill, build low-rise condo's, once that fills, high-rise, etc.
LeftCoaster already stated most of what I wanted to say, but I wanted to point out that if we had built Willoughby out as SFH, not Townhomes, there would be no room left there, and we'd be building out into the Salmon River Uplands, or South Brookswood now.


SFH are not a sustainable solution when your Metro Region is 5.3x (!) smaller than your 'sister city' of Seattle, while being only 1.3x smaller in population. There's only one way to grow, and it's not outwards. Even though we still have quite a bit of greenfield land, it's going to disappear quickly if we don't conserve it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seattle_metropolitan_area
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metro_Vancouver_Regional_District

The SFH in Vancouver is dead. The sooner we get over that idea, the better.


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Originally Posted by LeftCoaster View Post
Get out there and make your voice heard.

Work with groups like abundant housing, they will be serious advocates through this process.

Council knows the next election is always around the corner and housing affordability will still be a big issue then so don't consider the NIMBY's as a forgone conclusion.

I know I'll be voicing my support for more transit, density and housing options at every possible point in the process.
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  #282  
Old Posted Nov 27, 2018, 5:56 PM
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Originally Posted by fredinno View Post


SFH are not a sustainable solution when your Metro Region is 5.3x (!) smaller than your 'sister city' of Seattle, while being only 1.3x smaller in population. There's only one way to grow, and it's not outwards. Even though we still have quite a bit of greenfield land, it's going to disappear quickly if we don't conserve it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seattle_metropolitan_area
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metro_Vancouver_Regional_District

The SFH in Vancouver is dead. The sooner we get over that idea, the better.
Agreed.

Now would be a hell of a good time to start a lobbying group for relaxed height restrictions. In my perfect world, the city would review and adjust the view cones every 5 years or so. But the view cones could even be used as a tool to trade with the NIMBYs.

Imagine this scenario:

"Don't want multi-housing re-zoning? Well then we are going to scrap a few view-cones. Want to save your view cones? Then shut-up and let us re-zone."

I'd kill to watch them squirm over my cruel scenario .

Last edited by scryer; Nov 27, 2018 at 5:59 PM. Reason: Emphasized my hatred for NIMBY's and the council's need to be tough...
     
     
  #283  
Old Posted Nov 27, 2018, 7:24 PM
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Originally Posted by scryer View Post
Agreed.

Now would be a hell of a good time to start a lobbying group for relaxed height restrictions. In my perfect world, the city would review and adjust the view cones every 5 years or so. But the view cones could even be used as a tool to trade with the NIMBYs.

Imagine this scenario:

"Don't want multi-housing re-zoning? Well then we are going to scrap a few view-cones. Want to save your view cones? Then shut-up and let us re-zone."

I'd kill to watch them squirm over my cruel scenario .
I wouldn't go there, lest it quasi-legitimize view cones in the first place.
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  #284  
Old Posted Nov 27, 2018, 9:15 PM
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I wouldn't go there, lest it quasi-legitimize view cones in the first place.
I would be against view cones and protecting detached housing if I believed we had close to maximized our existing density.

But I know we haven't, we still have a ton of areas where commercial is 2-3 levels. Even downtown you will see this.

Viewcones honestly do improve the views. If you've been to that restaurant in QE park it looks pretty awesome, so my personal opinion is why touch them when we don't have to (right at this moment).

Rather than fight the battles with the detached house and viewcone groups, I believe the best choice moving forward is to drastically increase FSR in places of low conflict and other things that while smaller will help like decreasing parking requirements. We have enough low-density land in East Downtown, along Hastings, along Kingsway, along Broadway, Marpole, etc. that we can keep construction occupied for the next 30 years+ without touching a single detached house or viewcone. I belong we could build towers ontop of much of our industrial land and maintain warehouses below in areas like Granview and South East Marine. Hell we could build towers ontop of all our car dealerships like is planned for the Toyota downtown.

Maybe this viewpoint is contentious, but for me if possible I'd rather 90% of the population be happy with our density choices than have a fight where 60% of it shove it down the other 40%'s throat. Someone is going to be unhappy no matter what is done, so lets set our goals (increasing density) and find the way to do it while making the least amount of people upset. We can look at what happened to Chinatown as an example of what happens when we try to densify and a significant minority opposes it. I think most of us would be totally fine with those 7/11's, ramen places, pizza by the slice, and others along major streets closing down for a few years while they build a tower ontop.

And instead of charging for extra density, I think the CoV needs to take a long look in the mirror and instead charge extra to any building that doesn't build enough density. Perhaps a new high density zoning carrying carrying a fixed charge to build based on the square footage of the land instead of variable based on density? That way developers are encouraged to build high while the city received a fixed amount from each lot that it can use to pay for social or rental housing.

Vancouver needs to start looking at the next 50-100 years. It makes much more sense to build high now in half of Vancouver and leave the low for later then build a ton of medium everywhere we will just have to down later.

Last edited by misher; Nov 27, 2018 at 9:35 PM.
     
     
  #285  
Old Posted Nov 28, 2018, 12:13 AM
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Originally Posted by misher View Post
I would be against view cones and protecting detached housing if I believed we had close to maximized our existing density.

But I know we haven't, we still have a ton of areas where commercial is 2-3 levels. Even downtown you will see this.

Viewcones honestly do improve the views. If you've been to that restaurant in QE park it looks pretty awesome, so my personal opinion is why touch them when we don't have to (right at this moment).

Rather than fight the battles with the detached house and viewcone groups, I believe the best choice moving forward is to drastically increase FSR in places of low conflict and other things that while smaller will help like decreasing parking requirements. We have enough low-density land in East Downtown, along Hastings, along Kingsway, along Broadway, Marpole, etc. that we can keep construction occupied for the next 30 years+ without touching a single detached house or viewcone. I belong we could build towers ontop of much of our industrial land and maintain warehouses below in areas like Granview and South East Marine. Hell we could build towers ontop of all our car dealerships like is planned for the Toyota downtown.

Maybe this viewpoint is contentious, but for me if possible I'd rather 90% of the population be happy with our density choices than have a fight where 60% of it shove it down the other 40%'s throat. Someone is going to be unhappy no matter what is done, so lets set our goals (increasing density) and find the way to do it while making the least amount of people upset. We can look at what happened to Chinatown as an example of what happens when we try to densify and a significant minority opposes it. I think most of us would be totally fine with those 7/11's, ramen places, pizza by the slice, and others along major streets closing down for a few years while they build a tower ontop.

And instead of charging for extra density, I think the CoV needs to take a long look in the mirror and instead charge extra to any building that doesn't build enough density. Perhaps a new high density zoning carrying carrying a fixed charge to build based on the square footage of the land instead of variable based on density? That way developers are encouraged to build high while the city received a fixed amount from each lot that it can use to pay for social or rental housing.

Vancouver needs to start looking at the next 50-100 years. It makes much more sense to build high now in half of Vancouver and leave the low for later then build a ton of medium everywhere we will just have to down later.
I agree with you for the most part, like with the viewcones. I think they could still cut them in half without much damage to the Skyline. If anything, a bit of cutting into the viewcones makes a more interesting view.

Except people complain no matter where it's put. The businesses in Broadway are complaining because they're being gentrified out due to the new Skytrain extension.
The areas of (relative) low conflict are pretty much mostly limited the commercial/public land districts, and parts of Cambie.
Vancouver can continue like this for probably the next two decades TBF, there's still some open land on Broadway and Cambie, but beyond that? Hastings is too far away currently from transit for intensive development. The rest of the prime land is on residential land that refuses to be vacated, like Commerical-Broadway.

In other words, the NIMBYism means we're running into artificial shortages of land (esp. residential) close to the City Centre, increasing prices, and forcing people to commute longer, from the more development-friendly suburbs.
This is a much less efficient transportation pattern.

Going mixed industrial is a great solution that is unfortunately mainly limited to Industrial/Commercial, and is limited to effectively medium density (otherwise lease rates on the industrial section would get too high). The only place I've seen where that's been done is Mt. Pleasant and the Flats, due to being located right next to Downtown and Skytrain.

Adding this factor means that there's actually a lot more room for commercial than residential, at least proportionally to the norm.




Developers are already maxing out (and sometimes going over) the viewcones. My worry is that your proposal would just result in 'walls' of glass buildings, rather than interesting variations of tower structures, small bits of parkland, etc.


When the West End of all places, right next to the CBD, is zoned 4 stories, something is seriously screwed up in Vancouver.




Honestly, I wish Vancouver never merged with Point Grey. It's different culturally from Vancouver Central proper (along with South Vancouver, to an extent).
Point Grey was always supposed to be a higher-end district from its inception, and is a likely source of mush of the NIMBYism, which then manifests itself if the polls.




Or maybe the NIMBYism will largely end in 20 years after a lot of the boomers die out.

Last edited by fredinno; Nov 28, 2018 at 12:32 AM.
     
     
  #286  
Old Posted Nov 28, 2018, 12:26 AM
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Originally Posted by fredinno View Post
I agree with you for the most part, like with the viewcones. I think they could still cut them in half without much damage to the Skyline. If anything, a bit of cutting into the viewcones makes a more interesting view.

Except people complain no matter where it's put. The businesses in Broadway are complaining because they're being gentrified out due to the new Skytrain extension.


Developers are already maxing out (and sometimes going over) the viewcones. My worry is that your proposal would just result in 'walls' of glass buildings, rather than interesting variations of tower structures, small bits of parkland, etc.

Going mixed industrial is a great solution that is unfortunately mainly limited to Industrial/Commercial, and is limited to effectively medium density (otherwise lease rates on the industrial section would get too high). The only place I've seen where that's been done is Mt. Pleasant and the Flats, due to being located right next to Downtown and Skytrain.

Adding this factor means that there's actually a lot more room for commercial than residential, at least proportionally to the norm.

It's true, Vancouver can continue like this for probably the next two decades, there's still some open land on Broadway and Cambie, but beyond that? Hastings is too far away currently from transit for intensive development.

The casualty of the extraneous NIMBYism is that the residential development that would ideally be located close to the job centres. They're instead being moved to the more development-friendly suburbs, forcing people to take longer commutes....
We have one main job centre which is Downtown and one sub job centre down Broadway. I believe massive Broadway residential development (likely to happen but going slow) allows for housing supply for both as people can take the skytrain or bike/drive/walk over the bridges.

As for Hastings, the bus service down it is pretty good and I think you underestimate how many people still drive. Also there is a lot of commercial on hastings, especially hastings and commercial (yes its even in the name!).

I think we could develop the downtown east side quite a bit allowing for people to bike/walk to the downtown job centre easily enough if we took a hardline stance with the social housing lobby.


The Broadway development is going to be incredibly interesting. Broadway accounts for a significant number of jobs in Vancouver. Will be interesting to see if they allow massive office towers the way they do downtown as we are having a commercial shortage currently. If they do the Broadway stations would be a good place to put them as downtown is already packed. I see Broadway development taking up our construction capacity for the next 10-20 years as we build job space and housing along it depending on what the Broadway plan says. I see Cambie, Main, Oak, and Granville and Broadway intersections becoming mini downtowns. I was quite surprised when I saw how much office space is along Broadway, look below:


Last edited by misher; Nov 28, 2018 at 12:37 AM.
     
     
  #287  
Old Posted Nov 30, 2018, 6:41 AM
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We have one main job centre which is Downtown and one sub job centre down Broadway. I believe massive Broadway residential development (likely to happen but going slow) allows for housing supply for both as people can take the skytrain or bike/drive/walk over the bridges.

As for Hastings, the bus service down it is pretty good and I think you underestimate how many people still drive. Also there is a lot of commercial on hastings, especially hastings and commercial (yes its even in the name!).

I think we could develop the downtown east side quite a bit allowing for people to bike/walk to the downtown job centre easily enough if we took a hardline stance with the social housing lobby.


The Broadway development is going to be incredibly interesting. Broadway accounts for a significant number of jobs in Vancouver. Will be interesting to see if they allow massive office towers the way they do downtown as we are having a commercial shortage currently. If they do the Broadway stations would be a good place to put them as downtown is already packed. I see Broadway development taking up our construction capacity for the next 10-20 years as we build job space and housing along it depending on what the Broadway plan says. I see Cambie, Main, Oak, and Granville and Broadway intersections becoming mini downtowns. I was quite surprised when I saw how much office space is along Broadway, look below:

Hastings lacks the capacity for comprehensive (Broadway-like) development without Skytrain. Medium density is being built there- but as I said, medium density should be the norm.

And yes, I do know people drive. A lot- Hastings is a pretty big arterial for traffic from Hwy 1 into Downtown, along with 1st Av.

My worry with developing the DTES to any serious degree (and probably a lot of other people) would be that it'd just move the ghetto. It formed partially because of evictions in the area relating to Expo 86, after all.


I agree, Broadway would take up our capacity for the next decade after it is built- but I'd think there would be a lot more development around, say Cambie. (and SE and NE False Creek for right now)

There's development there right now, but it's limited to Oakridge (or is max ~12 stories in, for example, the RCMP lands), and the lack of stations and capacity due to its cheap construction (and the fact that it has to be replaced eventually) hampers development outside Oakridge and Marine Drive there too. Oakridge should have been more ambitious-development-wise, and extend further out along the Skytrain, to 33 Ave and Langara.


I'm thinking 40 years ahead. Vancouver should be where the development is focused, not avoided.

I know you've been suspended, so I'll wait before a response.+
     
     
  #288  
Old Posted Nov 30, 2018, 5:18 PM
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15-20 storey buildings are being proposed along East Hastings.

DTES has very comprehensive and strict plans / by-laws that prevent "moving the ghetto".
     
     
  #289  
Old Posted Nov 30, 2018, 8:18 PM
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The mid density along Hastings has made it one of the best streets in Vancouver.

Hastings Sunrise, leading into The Heights is a brilliant stretch of older building housing unique business and shops. It needs to stay that way, IMO.
     
     
  #290  
Old Posted Nov 30, 2018, 8:32 PM
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The mid density along Hastings has made it one of the best streets in Vancouver.

Hastings Sunrise, leading into The Heights is a brilliant stretch of older building housing unique business and shops. It needs to stay that way, IMO.
The Heights themselves, too. That said, I can't blame anybody for thinking 1-2 storeys' worth of mom n' pops on what's basically Eastern Broadway is a waste of space.
     
     
  #291  
Old Posted Nov 30, 2018, 9:25 PM
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Well, after this election you can expect taller buildings along this stretch for more rental housing, subsidized rental, and social housing. This is some of the cheapest land in Van that can get you to build affordable rental buildings.

Policy is already in place for buildings taller than 6-storeys.
     
     
  #292  
Old Posted Dec 13, 2018, 2:05 AM
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Interestingly CoV Greens have voted against the provincial increase to the school tax for homes worth more than $3 million in 2019. Not that it would influence the planned increase but I wonder how the optics will pan out for them in the next election wrt affordability

https://www.straight.com/news/1176681/va...bc-ndps-extra-school-tax-3-million-homes
     
     
  #293  
Old Posted Dec 13, 2018, 4:22 PM
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Interestingly CoV Greens have voted against the provincial increase to the school tax for homes worth more than $3 million in 2019. Not that it would influence the planned increase but I wonder how the optics will pan out for them in the next election wrt affordability

https://www.straight.com/news/1176681/va...bc-ndps-extra-school-tax-3-million-homes
CoV Greens (just Carr previously, not sure on the newbies) are as NIMBY as it gets. Anybody who doesn't see that hasn't been paying attention. Not very Green to oppose density, but Carr does it all the time (for the west side in particular). Maybe with 3 on council they'll get called out more.
     
     
  #294  
Old Posted Dec 13, 2018, 6:20 PM
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CoV Greens (just Carr previously, not sure on the newbies) are as NIMBY as it gets. Anybody who doesn't see that hasn't been paying attention. Not very Green to oppose density, but Carr does it all the time (for the west side in particular). Maybe with 3 on council they'll get called out more.
Being environmental does not mean you are left wing ^^ to my knowledge the green have never pushed for higher house taxes.
     
     
  #295  
Old Posted Dec 13, 2018, 6:41 PM
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Being environmental does not mean you are left wing ^^ to my knowledge the green have never pushed for higher house taxes.
No but dense cities are environmentally friendly. Probably among the top things we can do.
     
     
  #296  
Old Posted Dec 13, 2018, 9:23 PM
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No but dense cities are environmentally friendly. Probably among the top things we can do.
That’s why I think the Greens get so many votes. The left and right both like to breath in clean air. I think we have few climate change deniers unlike the states. The only argument is in how we go about things.
     
     
  #297  
Old Posted Nov 1, 2019, 8:18 PM
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Some criticism of how things at Vancouver city hall haven't changed since the election.
https://biv.com/article/2019/11/city-vancouvers-new-council-logs-year-living-lazily

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The City of Vancouver’s new council logs a year of living lazily
Instead, municipally this has been the Year of Living Lazily.

There has been no signature initiative: no strategy for the local economy to raise the woeful average income, no magic potion to more widely and wisely develop housing those woeful incomes could afford, no focus on a much-needed arts or culture or tech development plan.No one has been shown the door at city hall. Indeed, more have come through it to work. Nothing discernible has been cut, nothing discernible has happened – except, of course, higher taxes.

Residential and business owners were socked with rate increases more than triple inflation, and there are clear signs of double-digit increases (yes, double-digit) in the year ahead if the reign doesn’t rein in.

In his first year as mayor, Kennedy Stewart appears to have reverted to his previous pedantic life as an academic who writes frequent proposals for government grants. With his hand on the pen, he and council have written and written again and written once more to higher levels of government in Victoria and Ottawa to ask for help and more help and more help again.

He has focused on (federal) drug reforms, on getting the (federal-provincial) subway to the University of British Columbia and on an expansion of (federal-provincial) social and below-market housing.

Letters posted and received. So far, crickets.
     
     
  #298  
Old Posted Nov 1, 2019, 8:24 PM
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Some criticism of how things at Vancouver city hall haven't changed since the election.
Ah yes, the musings of Kirk LaPointe, the NPA candidate for mayor who lost by 10,000 votes to Gregor Robertson in the 2014 election.
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  #299  
Old Posted Nov 1, 2019, 8:35 PM
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Hmm, I didn't vote for Kennedy but I would say he's doing a decent job so far.

The business community at large doesn't seem to have a big problem with him so far either.

All in all I'd say he hasn't been perfect but he's been a pleasant surprise so far.
     
     
  #300  
Old Posted Nov 1, 2019, 8:42 PM
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Hmm, I didn't vote for Kennedy but I would say he's doing a decent job so far.

The business community at large doesn't seem to have a big problem with him so far either.

All in all I'd say he hasn't been perfect but he's been a pleasant surprise so far.
He's Gregor 2.0, without the PR. Honestly I'm not sure what he's doing, unless it's "working hard behind the scenes".

The council is a bit of a basket case though, some real nuts on both sides of the political spectrum.

With all of that said, it's pretty much business as usual, a continuation of where were were at. Their first budget had a significant tax hike though, they can't keep doing that.
     
     
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