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Originally Posted by NOWINYOW
That's your opinion.
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Based on reams of experience from elsewhere. But somehow "it's different here" to people who think Ottawa and Canada are at the peak of sound transport policy apparently.
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Originally Posted by NOWINYOW
I'm trying to figure out what's "in it" for AC or WJ to codeshare on this supposed train service.
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Cost first off.. Far cheaper than staffing two pilots plus cabin crew for a puddle jumper and using up airline slots at hubs. In an era of pilot shortages, airlines are doing everything they can to move up average sizes without hurting business.
Slots next. AC would absolutely to stop wasting a dozen slots a day at Pearson on service to Ottawa. If given the chance, they would move every pax to high speed rail rail tomorrow, if they could, and use all those slots on international flights. Pearson's building a mobility hub with provision for intercity rail for exactly this reason. They want to move shorter regional flights to rail.
Westjet and Porter as domestic carriers may be less inclined to shift traffic to rail. But if it comes to pass, they will have to adjust.
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Originally Posted by NOWINYOW
1. VIA is and would continue to be subsidized by taxpayers. Airlines are not.
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We make policy for the benefit of Canadians. Not the airlines. And something really missing in this debate, is carbon emissions. Aviation is particularly bad. Moving short-haul flying to rail is one of the "easy" wins so to speak.
Also to be noted, VIA has been pretty specific that a huge part of the motivation for HFR is that it would be profitable. They wouldn't need subsidies anymore. Every previous study on high speed rail between Toronto-Ottawa-Montreal has said the same thing.
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Originally Posted by NOWINYOW
2. For AC, a codeshare on a train to MTL could have unintended consequences. For example, a codeshare would provide validity to the train service, but there's little to no guarantee people will use the codeshare aspect but instead just book on another airline altogether. AC is supporting a service they get no benefit from in that regard.
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AC isn't driving rail policy. Whether AC supports this or not is all but irrelevant if the government decides to push forward. Once, it is in place, AC can choose to either work with the service or compete with it.
I suspect they'll split the difference, with fewer flights and rail codeshare where appropriate.
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Originally Posted by NOWINYOW
3. While YUL is important to AC, YYZ is their crown jewel. People that might typically flight YOW-YYZ-🞵🞵🞵 might instead opt for train service to YUL (again, no guarantee they'll fly AC once there). What impact might that have on getting "Ottawa bums'" in the seats of YYZ-🞵🞵🞵 flights? How might that affect their hourly YYZ-YOW-YYZ flights? Gran & Grandad flying once a year might not worry about frequency. Those that fly multiple times per week do care.
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If VIA pulls off ≤ 3hr travel time between Toronto and Ottawa, for the prices they suggest they can, you'll see a lot of people who fly "multiple times per week" ditch air service altogether. Is 100% more in travel cost worth the 1-1.5 hrs saved for downtown-to-downtown travel? Especially when you can actually work on the train? I suspect, quite a few people will say "not really".
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Originally Posted by NOWINYOW
4.WJ? What benefit is there at all? I don't believe WJ flies YOW-YUL, so why encourage people to train to YUL, then fly WJ from there? That will only reduce YOW-YYZ flying, meaning less frequency, meaning AC gains dominance at YOW.
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Ummm, reduced YOW-YYZ, wouldn't help AC's dominance at YOW. WJ could actually use the rail service to bolster a possible hub at YOW or YUL. I would argue that WJ could actually do well with a YOW hub.
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Originally Posted by NOWINYOW
The only airlines I could see benefiting from code-sharing with VIA on YUL-YOW are foreign, non Star Alliance airlines that don't already fly into YOW.
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Again, we don't build infrastructure solely on the consideration of airlines. We build all infrastructure for the benefits of citizens and taxpayers who fund said infrastructure.