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Originally Posted by Dominion301
However, that 2.5 hour trip time might not be realistic given they'd be contingent on Via gaining exclusive use of the Toronto-Peterborough CP subdivision that is still in use.
@TrueNorth, you also raise a lot of excellent points too. A lot of 'what ifs' have to come to fruition first before any of this is possible. Budget 2018 pretty much announced funding for more 'HFR studies' but nothing beyond that at this point. Those studies alone will take a least a couple of year to complete. I still say anything remotely close to 2.5 hours is at least a decade away. https://globalnews.ca/news/4302234/high-speed-rail-canada-stalls-one-tenth-funding-spent/
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Again. This is not High Speed Rail. And that is the entire point of HFR. It's specifically not to build high speed rail, which has also been a losing proposition in Canada, as soon as bill comes in. High Frequency Rail is exactly what the name says. It's what would be normal passenger rail service in most of the developed world, where trains operate at hourly to semi-hourly service at speeds between 100-125 mph.
This is what makes the proposal so attractive. It's not all that different than building a long GO Train or even CP/CN line. And none of those take 10 years of studies to pull off.
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Originally Posted by Dominion301
The other thing to consider is if the hyperloop concept ever gets off the ground, that dooms both the short-haul plane and the train (at least between major cities)!
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Hyperloop is a troll that Elon Musk put forward to cancel the California High Speed Rail project, which might hurt sales in Tesla's home and largest market. That people still think this is economically feasible is beyond me.
Most of us who are actual engineers consider it a joke. Even Elon doesn't put any of his own money into Hyperloop. And he puts in money into lots of crazy ideas. That should tell you a lot.
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Originally Posted by Dominion301
Even if Porter built a mini Q400 (A220) regional hub some day, adding a couple of million pax a year, the traffic could easily be handled with the current runway capacity.
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Porter built a hub at YTZ because that was the only way to protect themselves from predatory competition by AC and WS. YOW offers no such protection. If they opened a hub here, AC or WS would follow and undercut them until they quit or were bankrupt.
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Originally Posted by Dominion301
Same with the terminal. Aircraft movements are lower now than a few years ago. The difference is the average aircraft size is much bigger. ....Reconfigurations like the security and food court revamps within the building's existing footprint, will add a lot of terminal capacity.
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This is a good trend. And I'm happy those changes are coming along.
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Originally Posted by mxg308
I'm not sure the that the Ottawa Airport Authority should just give up because of HFR although I wouldn't put it past them. Despite being close to YUL and YYZ, YOW could differentiate itself by pitching itself as a low cost alternative to LCCs.
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Note. I've never said they should give up. I said they should wait to see what develops, so they can plan a more appropriate strategy. HFR will move some passengers to Montreal. But will enable YOW to also pull some passengers from YUL. Focusing on LCCs is the way to go, as you've correctly pointed out.
YOW should be ready to jump in and plan for regular bus transfers to Fallowfield and Tremblay for those LCC pax who may be arriving from Montreal or Eastern Ontario by train.
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Originally Posted by mxg308
I realize that Canada is much smaller than the US but if BOS, LGA, JFK, EWR, PHL, IAD, DCA, BDL and BWI can all thrive in relative close proximity, I can't see why YOW can't carve out its own niche?
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The Bos-Wash corridor has 52 million people in it and is responsible for 20% of US GDP. There's nothing even close to comparable in our case.
And that's before we talk about the fact that the Americans invest in their commercial aviation sector, and don't treat it like a cash cow with airport rents, high fuel taxes, etc.
Our context is closer to the Barcelona-Madrid corridor. Both those cities are quite contextually similar to Montreal and Toronto in distance apart, population size, GDP, etc. We'd be Zaragoza in this context.
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Originally Posted by mxg308
Whether that's attracting an LCC, Porter or some future airline. I also believe the Amtrak does code shares as well in that northeast corridor as well. It's time to dream a bit bigger for Ottawa and stop thinking of ourselves as suburbs to Montreal and Toronto. How else are we going to grow industry? I'm sure Ciena, Shopify or Nokia would be thrilled if they could get access to a few more direct flights out of Ottawa.
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Ironically, the best way to grow Ottawa would actually be to make it more of a suburb of Montreal with High Speed Rail, that makes commuting to and doing business in Montreal dead easy. If we had that, more companies might actually consider locating in Ottawa. This is something people really don't get. High speed rail increases your effective mobility radius. Where you could cover 100km in an hour by car, you can now 200 km by train. That gives a business a large pool of potential employees and customers.
If we had HSR to Montreal and Toronto, a lot more businesses would actually see Ottawa as a legitimate alternative to both those cities. And in the case of Montreal, HSR would basically turn Ottawa and Montreal into one giant urban region. The growth that would bring would actually drive more direct flights to new destinations, especially transborder.
I wish people in this city actually understood how development and all forms of public transport and infrastructure are inter-linked. These aren't zero sum situations where Montreal or Toronto has to lose out for Ottawa to grow.