Quote:
Originally Posted by UrbanRevival
Per the article, Mr. Downey did pretty plainly state that "they have the money to develop it." Of course, we're not privy to private financial information, but I do get the sense that, because they're trying to make a very good impression, they're not inclined to boldly lie to a major city business publication.
That being said, I don't understand the pessimism with this latest update. Yes, it's not moving as fast as I'm sure most people would like. But there's every reason to believe that the high-end urban condo market in Philly (and especially at the primest of Center City locations) is going to be just as strong during this time next year or in early 2019, as it is now.
And if the delay means producing the most thoughtful design that they can conceive of, then that's something everyone should be on board with.
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Well, as they say, the devil is in the details, and in this case the detail is what does he mean when he says they have money to develop the project. I certainly don't claim to understand what goes into paying for a $300MM project, but I'm pretty sure if they had the money, the dirt would be flying and concrete would be being poured.
It's probably a balancing act; such as maybe they can presently only raise $200MM in total for construction, so they try to see what they can build for that amount, and maybe that amount just doesn't build them something that gives them enough return on their investment, so they
keep looking. And at the same time what are their carrying costs to own this property and presently they are getting no income from their $30M investment, so as more time ticks away they have more real money spent and more money on the books spent and nothing to show for it.
This group seems like straight shooters, but as developers I think by law they speak a slightly different form of English, one where the sky is always sunny and blue, and they always have the best architects for the best site for the best project and on and on, etc. At least that's the language the public hears. If they are having trouble making the numbers work, why can't they just be honest about that? They, all developers, must think the public is as dumb as the people we elect, and maybe we are!
For kicks I went back a year (page 61) and that's just after Southern released the news that the project was being somewhat down sized. And since then the issues regarding the 3 Sansom St. properties has been fully resolved, but not much else seems to have happened. What was said in this article isn't what I would consider an "update", it's just a reporter reaching out in an attempt to find out what's going on. If there's any update its that now we know not to expect anything for another year, and in developer speak I think that actually means one year if each and every detail works out in the best possible way.
What do people think is going to be different in a year (other then the wild card of Amazon)? I realize what I think matters nothing to Southern, but right now demand seems to be strong and money is still cheap, and the sky is blue. How's it going to different and better in a year? That might be a pessimistic outlook, but I would be glad to be wrong. It's not like I'm out there carrying a placard in front 1911 claiming the end is near.
I'm disappointed, but not too surprised. There are several what appear to be very solid projects backed by real live developers that seem to be having problems getting traction. Too many projects trying to drink from the same well? Who knows. I'm just glad PMS isn't doing this project.