Quote:
Originally Posted by McBane
This comment depicts Dranoff as some billionaire Arab Sheikh who cares more about ego then maximizing profit (see almost every ridiculous building in Dubai). I'm not so sure about that....
He may want to achieve a certain status for his building but ultimately he's going to do whatever is best for his bottom line. It could be 500+ feet, but it might not be. It depends on whatever money he's able to secure from the banks, which at this current moment is apparently not enough to move forward.
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Banks aren't the issue, banks are always looking to lend to well structured developments because the rates they can charge on loans are pretty decent for this market environment. Banks have a LOT of capital to put to use right now, you may be able to tell from all the cranes around town lol. They probably want this deal done just as bad as CD does. The problem is the equity. The cost of debt is always cheaper than the cost of equity. If the project is $100million, and CD has 70% LTC loan from a bank which costs him 5.50%, he's having trouble raising the $30m in equity from his investors. Maybe the $30m in equity is only yielding 15% for his investors, but for this type of risk profile maybe they're looking for 25% and can find other similarly risked projects to put their money (hence, no one invests). These are all up in the air numbers obviously - I'm not familiar with what the returns should be on ground up condo/hotel development.
Example Capital Stack
$29m: Equity (yields 15% because if the project falls below $100m valuation then equity dries up first)
$1m: PA State Grants (considered as part of the equity, i.e free money from PA...thanks PA!)
$70m: Banks (yield 5.50% because if the project falls to $70m valuation than CD's investors lose everything, but I still get my $70m back)
$100m: Total project cost.