Quote:
Originally Posted by s.p.hansen
We've been pulling out of a national retail recession with negatives across the board from the low end to the very high end. There's a bubble in luxury real estate in Manhatten mostly propped up by foreign investment. Other than that, the overall economy is doing ok. I think people are worried about the prospects of interest rates rising but the Fed doesn't really have a 🞵🞵🞵 to their head to do that.
|
This market is marginal at best. This really weird year (Brexit, China correction, bad election, Rock n Roll apocalypse: Prince, David Bowie, Merle Haggard, Lemme HOLY 🞵🞵🞵🞵!!) doesn't smell right. Goldman just predicted a 10% drop in equities over the next quarter. The fed is pinned into a corner and simply can't raise rates. That fact that they are still so artificially low speaks volumes to this economy. My Spidey Sense says we are on the verge of a correction. Not 2008, just maybe a longer grind it out style stagflation episode.
We are equipped to weather the storm better than most other cities, not being tied to energy and not really in bubble glut of inventory of some but Intel just laid off 1k workers in Lehi and there is more in the horn as the recent phony stock peak relaxes. This vibe is palpable in the development set right now. Sorry to bring grumpy beans to the table.