Quote:
Originally Posted by Klazu
Also, if Hepner finally has to go in the next election, does that kill the LRT plans or is there a bigger support for it than just her? I am a bit out of touch with the Surrey politics on this...
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Unfortunately it's pretty widespread - the three big parties in the last election all ran on pro-LRT platforms.
Whether those parties are returning in the same form this year (and whether there will be any party that pushes for SkyTrain over LRT), we have yet to know.
Quote:
Originally Posted by w34lth
LRT just got approved.
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In terms of the final technology choice, although the Mayors' Council themselves have selected and are pushing for LRT, nothing's really "approved" at this time.
This is because we still haven't seen an LRT business case, which is a final pre-requisite for Phase II funding from the provincial and federal governments. It's been delayed several times now - the last deadline I heard of is the end of this month, but I was expecting it to be out by March 31st because that was the deadline set by P3 Canada for the P3 funding application sent by Surrey & TransLink (clearly P3 funding for this is out the window).
There is a considerable chance that the final LRT business case being put together right now will come out unworkable, because the Phase 2 analysis that IBI group did found that both the full LRT proposal and the "L Line" only (which was even worse) had poor benefit:cost ratios and a negative business case. Why do you think TransLink is still working on a SkyTrain alternative business case, even though the Mayors have always specified LRT in their vision and there was supposed to be no more need to study SkyTrain? I think they realize as well as we do that the final LRT business case is going to come out unworkable.
Trudeau has also said many times that the federal government
will not "meddle" in transit technology decisions (whether in Vancouver or anywhere else in Canada). So the technology will certainly not be dictated/decided by the feds, although it's too early to say whether they will pull funding if LRT turns out to have an unworkable business case. The province is more likely to bring down the hammer on LRT if the final business case is unworkable - they're already showing agnosticism on the SoF rapid transit technology, and Todd Stone previously said that a positive business case was a requirement - I'm sure Peter Fassbender shares the same view.