Quote:
Originally Posted by MalcolmTucker
Every additional interline makes the system incrementally worse, harder to manage, with less capacity, and future tough choices. That future tough choice might be in 2050 or it might be in 2070, or never if Canada stops growing. If it was my choice there wouldn't be a split at Lincoln Fields, or if you do, have an intended expiry date/tunnel use threshold, after which it fed into an upgraded Carling Line with a dedicated access to downtown .
With transfers you can get to the maximum tunnel capacity in both number of trains and number of passengers. Interlining reduces frequency by just taking time to operate switches, by creating more points of delay that are interrelated. Carrying capacity is constrained by minimum service standards on the spurs as unless there is by some miracle similar demand on the spurs.
As it is I doubt Orleans will balance demand from four spurs west of downtown. There would be short-turns at Train and/or Blair.
To be sure, this isn't a today problem. Probably not even a 25 year problem unless the population grows at an accelerated rate. But it is another instance of Ottawa's transit plan having a deliberate point of failure due to path dependency, instead of acknowledging the issue and starting to plan for a solution, even if it is very far off.
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I understand everybody's point about interlining 4 or 5 routes. This is really pushing it. And also the passenger load imbalance between east and west. But where was this discussion when we were planning things? I brought the issue of passenger load balancing years ago and everybody laughed. The 'experts' told us that it will work. But beyond that, even without interlining, you still need to deal with the passengers that are feeding into the main line. Whether we interline or not, this is still the issue. Or are we more concerned with discouraging people from using the system. That would be a shocking way of looking at things. But we see this view expressed in a round about way, just in the last couple of days. Why do anything at Bayview when few people are going downtown? But our future plans are going to direct people downtown. Well, who cares what we are planning in the future.
So what is the answer? People say we should extend the Trillium Line into Gatineau. Gatineau does not want it. Of course not. We are adding another transfer, after already adding another transfer for Rapibus. This is all unacceptable to the areas being served.
This debate should not only be about those people live along the Confederation Line. What about everybody else? Does what we are planning to build really make sense? I have been arguing that it doesn't if you require two or three transfers to get to the city centre in a city of just over 1 million people. It is a ridiculous proposition. It is also ridiculous to be arguing about transfer times. We need a reliable transit system that is easy and fast to use. And not just for those who live within walking distance of the Confederation Line.
And when we are talking about interlining, we shouldn't worry about 50 years or 70 years from now. Interlining may have a small impact on passenger capacity of the tunnel because of imbalance between routes, however, when this starts to become an issue, where are the plans for the second route?
As it stands, there is no realistic possibility of connecting Gatineau at Bayview, whether interlined or not. Adding another 25% load onto the Confederation Line at Bayview is scary, and those passengers would be destined for downtown if the plan was going to be useful to Gatineau residents and not just some trivial spur line to Terrasse de la Chaudière.
The question all goes back to the abandoned plan of 2006. That surface route into downtown to eliminate the transfer at Bayview would have got people from the south end of the city using the Trillium Line, doubling or tripling ridership and making a southward extension make more sense. Then the debate of interlining of the Confederation Line would be mute. In fact, it would have made use of the Prince of Wales Bridge more practical as well with the possibility of directing Gatineau trains into downtown. Yes, we would have 8 years of pain with buses intermingled with LRT on downtown streets but we forget that there was a plan to remove at least 25% of the buses off of Albert and Slater with all the express buses to the southeast and Barrhaven cancelled. We may say that it is faster by tunnel with a transfer at Bayview but the average Joe doesn't look at it this way. He sees that he has to get off of one train, walk to another platform and wait for another train, which as it stands does not run on a reliable schedule then hopefully connect with a local bus at the other end without a long wait. And believe me, a 15 minute wait for your local bus is an eternity when you are tired and hungry after a long day at the office. The whole time watching cars rushing by when you are not moving at all.