Quote:
Originally Posted by ctobsl
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The number of rooms is determined by the developer, the incentives are for 800 to 1,000. Less than 800 means no incentives and anything over 1,000 does have any additional incentives.
It all comes down to how the developer feels that the rooms will be able to be absorbed.
With the amount of hotel rooms coming online or in the planning process (boutique hotel rooms are a different class and don't count in the same grouping as CCH and general hotel rooms) there is a good chance that this could be 1,200+ rooms and the only change could be APS going from say 700 rooms down to 600 rooms.
Convention Center Hotels are in a world outside of normal hotel planning for rooms. This is because they have a built in market with built in conventions. This is more the case in SLC than many other cities as the CCH is needed for existing conventions and not solely to attract new conventions.
So the developer could build to the existing need, causing additional hotels to be needed when additional conventions book or they can take the hybrid approach. They can build to cover the existing need and a percentage of the planned need. In the case of 1,200 rooms, this would be between 20% and 30% of the planned need beyond the 800-1,000 room CCH incentives.
The hybrid approach allows other developers to help fill the void when the new conventions are booked. This is why in my example above APS only drops 100 rooms while the CCH adds 200 over the 1,000 rooms of the max RFP incentive.
This gives APS the ability to max out their expectation without removing the possible need for another hotel.
With current hotel occupancy nearing an average of 80-90%, the CCH would reduce this to 70-75% (Still in the realm of needing additional hotel rooms). The induced demand of new conventions would bring occupancy back over 80% allowing APS or another hotel to be built, lowering occupancy rates back down to 70-75%. This still leaves some room for another hotel while also allowing room rates to increase at existing properties.
It is for these reasons that I do feel it is likely that we could see close to 2,000 or more hotel rooms added over the next couple of years. This does include the CCH.