Quote:
Originally Posted by Kisai
Three things cause delays for the Amtrak Cascades (and usually one of these is hit with every trip)
1) Fraser River Bridge crossing, also the longest delay
2) It's not double-tracked, so the train has to sit on the siding while freight or the Amtrak Cascades train heading in the other direction passes by
3) Track Hazards. I can't name a single trip that's been absolutely flawless, but consider the geography of BC with rock/landslides, wildlife and high wind/rain and you quickly realize the only way to get "high speed" rail of any sort along the Vancouver-Seattle-Portland is to grade-separate or protect the existing rails with a lot more walls/tunnels.
There's also #4:
Amtrak acts as commuter rail south of the border. So if they cut the commuter stops out on the VAC-SEA-PDX it would also be faster.
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#3 reminds me of the difference in speed that Japanese trains have. The express trains are considerable faster. The 5-stop Nozomi can do the Tokyo - Osaka run in 2:22. The 8-stop Hikari can do it in 2:53. The All-Stops Kodama does the run in 4:04. That's quite the difference.
Although part of the reason for this difference is because running at high speed exaggerates any stopping delays, what I find more interesting is the breakdown of express to non-express.
Between 6:00 and 8:03:
15 Nozomi (5 stops) 2:22
4 Hikari (8 stops) 2:53
2 Kodama ( 16 stops ) 4:04
For the VAC - SEA run we definitely wouldn't see as huge of an improvement, as the speeds are half of what the Shinkansen does, but I think that really illustrates that higher speed trains are mostly designed to be large urban center connectors... something that I don't think a lot of people understand about high speed rail. The vast majority of ridership will be between Vancouver, Seattle and Portland, with a smattering from Bellingham, Everett and Tacoma.
Great Chart from
http://seattletransitblog.com/2014/07/26/amtrak-cascades-express/:
#1 - SEA – PDX
#2 - VAC – SEA
#3 - TAC – PDX
To put it in perspective, revenue from VAC - SEA ridership is 5.4x greater all the intermediate stops in between, despite there being a clear time-savings by starting from Bellingham.
SEA-PDX traffic is more than 2.5x VAC – SEA, if you're including Tacoma. But there are also twice as many trains going back and forth. It would be awesome to have a noon train between VAC and SEA.