Quote:
Originally Posted by deasine
I'm really hoping to see OZ takeover or become a new carrier with some sort of joint agreement with AC on this route...
The VS move is disappointing but not entirely surprising. Especially when DL now operates SEA-YVR, DL will be trying to find every opportunity to feed traffic through this regional route.
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Yeah bummer. Reading the whole VS strategy is exactly what Air Berlin did a few years ago. They pulled all the non-One World strongholds.
VS is really ramping up their DL JV. So looking at their route juggling they are really throwing more capacity at the DL hubs and other DL focus cities and pulling out of non-core long-haul and ultra long-haul routes. Doesn't leave them with many international routes outside the USA. As we saw in the O&D data from 2013, the UK is and will still be a huge market for YVR. This will also help AC and BA, and to a lesser extent TS. Not that they really need it!
As for SEA, yes it is still early, but international traffic only increased 2.95% (~ 10,700 pax only) in July 2014 from July 2013. I still find that really amazing considering their huge increase in capacity - particularly on DL to Asia and Europe as all of these additions would have been fully ramped up by July. What is really REALLY amazing is DL's international numbers (obviously a gain) were almost completely wiped out by the loss of just one route by UA (the SEA-NRT route axed). I'm a total stats geek along with being an avgeek so I love analysing numbers (my CA/Finance background etc). Helps when trying to present "arguments" about why things happen.
As for Asiana, there is (was) a strong possibility that they would add their own YVR-ICN flights but I think post OZ214 their expansion plans have been cut-back. The expectation was as the A388s came onboard this would free up some smaller aircraft to launch routes like ICN-YVR. Whether these would replace the existing AC route or go in as a second flight. Perhaps they will launch YYZ. We will see what happens!