Quote:
Originally Posted by acottawa
Orleans is also probably the easiest to build - city owns the 174 ROW, no debate with the NCC, no disagreement on where the route should go, plus it provides a political incentive for both the federal Tories and provincial Liberals to pony up (each winning Orleans by a smallish margin). It allows Wynne to put up the mission accomplished banner on her promise to fund the "next phase" of Ottawa LRT from the massively oversubscribed 1.4B/y non-GTA transportation fund.
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Massively oversubscribed? There's not much committed from it. Aside from Ottawa's LRT, there's some money for an HSR to London--which won't cost much as the bulk of the capital costs are already committed as part of other projects--parts of the GO RER promise (the confirmed service to Kitchener, the likely service to Niagara, the maybe service to Barrie), a few hundred million to expand Kitchener's LRT, a billion or two to speed up northern highway work... and that's about it.
Now that's not to say the $29B commitment is a magical pill that funds everything. The $15B GTA fund is massively overcommitted. GO RER is sucking up almost everything, and when the DRL is thrown in there's not much for anything else. Wynne is dreaming when she says she can pay for RER, DRL, the Mississauga LRT, Durham BRT, the Hamilton LRT, and the Yonge subway to Steeles with $15B.
It's somewhat ironic that a fund whose raison d'etre is to solve the GTA's gridlock hell ends up with the GTA's needs only partially met and the government having to invent things to spend the non-GTHA fund on (like an HSR to London that no one asked for). But I digress.
The Orleans extension is easy, both technically and politically. Not only that but now that its been promised, it's politically impossible to remove. Orleans is a swing seat, for decades whoever wins it has done by a slim margin. Even in the last federal election when the Conservatives won huge in Ontario and the Liberals flopped to their third place ruin, Galipeau's lead over the Liberal challenger wasn't very big. But in this provincial election, Wynne becomes the LRT candidate, and... poof. She wins Ottawa-Orleans by a massive 10,000 vote margin bigger than the margin by which the PCs won the bulk of their rural strongholds.
But it's definitely least beneficial or useful of the three extension projects.
From the perspective of Orleans residents, LRT won't actually do much. It will only be marginally faster than the BRT link to Blair. And Blair is far enough east that it would make a decent transfer point for Orleans locals. In other words, transferring to/from your local bus at Place D'Orleans instead of Blair, while definitely nice, won't be that much of an improvement other than maybe a minute or two of saved travel time. Phase 1 provides a good deal already to Orleans given how quick it is to get to Blair.
Now, on the other side of the city, having all that funnel into Tunneys is just not fun. Bringing it to Lincoln Fields is a must, Baseline & Bayshore is a plus. When that's done, it will bring the west to roughly the same level that the east already has with Phase 1.
In the south, the O-Train extension to Leitrim & Bowesville is dirt cheap (much cheaper than even the Orleans extension), and it brings a great deal of service improvement to an area of the city that arguably has both the worst transit and least road capacity.