Quote:
Originally Posted by dleung
North Vancouver, New Westminster and Richmond, are all more urban than both Metrotown and NYCC.
The closest thing metro Vancouver has to 905-style suburbs is Surrey or Coquitlam.
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Ya, but they're pre-war centres, analogous to, say, Yonge & Eglinton. What makes Metrotown and NYCC so incredible is that they are post-war. Its (relatively) easy to intensify something that already has urban bones, much harder to create new urban bones out of suburbia.
In the next 10-15 years we're going to see a huge explosion of urbanization of post-war areas in Toronto. The Ontario Greenbelt & Places to Grow Act policies that restrict suburban development are already starting to force density. The planned expansion of Greenbelt protection (now set to move through quickly given Liberal majority) to cover large swaths of land around Niagara, KWC, Barrie, and Peterborough will seal the deal. So far its really only southern York Region, and to a lesser extent Mississauga, that has done any significant urbanizing. We're going to see that spread into northern York Region, Durham, Brampton, and Halton in the not too distant future. Brampton in particular has huge potential given that it already has a pre-war urban downtown to build from, that will soon be the junction of LRT to Mississauga, BRT to York Region, and GO RER to central Toronto, Pearson Airport, and KWC.
GO RER will fundamentally transform the GTA like nothing before, allowing fast express travel across the whole region and deep into surrounding Southern Ontario--as far out as Barrie, Kitchener, and Niagara Falls (possibly Peterborough & Brantford as well in future phases), linking up directly with several of the major urban nodes, and connecting to all the rest via subway & LRT connections.
Vancouver is in a similar situation as the harsh geographic constraints of mountains & oceans also limit land available for suburbia. I know less about Greater Vancouver but I imagine there's going to be lots of urbanization there too. On the other hand, Montreal, Calgary, Ottawa, and Edmonton have a much harder battle ahead of them due to the abundance of greenfield land available for development at their edges. If they can get to 50% intensification growth it will be damn impressive, whereas Vancouver & Toronto will likely be as high as 70%-80% within a decade or two.