Quote:
Originally Posted by queetz@home
And as far as I can tell, none of the businesses and institutions there require speed, nor the density for its existing ridership. Making travel time faster for 100k people does not justify $3 billion worth of investment all the way to UBC. Its justified to Canada Line (which should cost significantly less than $3 billion) just so that there would be additional access to more riders from other parts of the region that can go to the Canada Line destinations (and vice versa), as well as some Broadway destinations.
The time for UBC students is far less valuable than property owners, drivers, and transit riders who lives in areas that are poorly served and simply HAVE NO CHOICE but to drive. The UBC students ALREADY have transit that is suitable for them (yet many choose to drive). They don't need to be at the campus ASAP (and if they are late for a test, then they should have learned to budget their time), don't pay as much taxes, already gets subsidized by others from the rest of the region, Province and country, like the "guy from Newton".
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1) In this case speed = ridership. There's a reason why the LRT had moderate ridership expectations. It's barely any faster than BRT and won't capture riders many riders who currently drive.
2) From the get go a UBC line expects to have
150,000 riders daily. More than the Evergreen Line and Millennium line combined. More than the Likely more than all 3 proposed Surrey LRT lines combined. The UBC crowd would likely be somewhere near 80,000 of that.
3) The undergrad student ridership is mostly captive to transit since most can't afford a car and parking at UBC is about $8/d. The majority to be gained are people that drive most places, but probably shouldn't given where the live. That's a potential huge gain for the area. Newton guy may be captive to his car, but UBC guy is probably already transit captive, even if the UPass price goes up.
4) The "guy from newton" also doesn't pay much in terms of taxes anyways. This is a moronic point. It's pretty likely that a community like Newton is a net sink in tax revenue. According to Surrey's stats average income in Newton (in 2008) was $29K. A grand total of
32,273 people in Newton made above $25,000. At UBC (according to Wikipedia) there are
27,937 Staff, Academic Staff and Graduate Students; most of which I would venture make $25,000 or greater. The "guy from Point Grey" probably pays more income taxes than the average income in Newton. Again though, this doesn't matter since we are at least a somewhat socialist society, being a student is legit job (for a while anyways) and transit shouldn't be planning according to capitalist idealism.
5) Per rider, the UBC line is approximately the same cost as the Canada Line.
http://www.surrey.ca/files/2006-Total-Income.pdf