Quote:
Originally Posted by logan5
I would rather say alternate reality than dream. I kept the timeline of each line and cost of each line the same. So for the Expo Line when it was built in the late 80's early 90's, instead of extending past Metrotown, I put the same amount of money it would cost to to build out to Surrey and put towards Skytrain in the West End, through Kits and up Arbutus. Exact same cost to build, except serving far higher population density. Extensions from Marpole to Richmond Centre/YVR would only be 3.5 km's each.
Same idea with the Millennium Line. Same cost, different route - Brentwood to Arbutus.
The Canada Line is completely different. Main St. instead of Cambie, up Davie, down Burrard, then an easy curve to align with Hastings.
For the same cost to build, ridership would surely be higher than 400 000 per day. Likely we would get 550 000 Skytrain passengers per day.
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I think it is a little naive to assume that Skytrain's ridership is that dependent on density. Every day, people ride buses from their homes to Skytrain stations. For example, there are a lot of towers built up around the Surrey City Center area, but the majority of Skytrain riders from Surrey arrive by bus, not foot. Same with Lougheed. Quite a bit of density in the area, but the bus loop handles more transfers than there are people walking home. Even at Metrotown, the station is busy not just because people live there, but because the bus loop is one of the busiest in the system.
There are not many Skytrain stations that do not have a busy bus stop/loop located at them.
And focusing growth in a concentrated area also overlooks another major factor affecting density in the region: cost. If you focused growth basically inside Vancouver city limits, you would be forcing ONLY the MOST expensive properties to redevelop. That creates a limited supply of properties, already expensive, to skyrocket in price, as demand for this small area goes up. Which results in wealthier people buying them, the kind of people that can afford cars and an expensive home.
You then end up with a majority of people still living outside walking distance to these stations. Now instead of being a 10 minute bus ride from the station, the majority of people in the region are a good hour away from a station. So they have to drive. Which means you need to have far more lanes out to the burbs, many of them across the river. You now have to spend billions on new bridges and motorways.
Which in turn can cause a collapse of the city, resulting in noone wanting to live there, and all the jobs moving out to where people live in the Burbs, and we get a disconnected, sprawling city where the rich live downtown and the working class live and work in disparate parts of the city, where no transit system can possibly work. Like LA.
Look at Montreal. A great subway system, but the Metro doesn't reach very far. So the city needs massive investments in Roads and Bridges (and commuter rail) to keep commuters from the burbs coming in. Yes, their Metro is more effective in that it has more riders than ours. But that is not the only statistic worth measuring. Ours has kept us from having to build multiple expressways and bridges throughout the region, keeping our total infrastructure costs down, while helping control the cost of living.
If we didn't build the Canada line to Richmond and instead built a stub line down Main street for the same cost, we for sure would ALSO have had to build a new freeway crossing into Vancouver. No Skybridge in the 90's? We would have had to replace Pattullo 15 years ago and be looking at another crossing and upgrading the Queensburough and Knight and twinning the Alex Fraser.