Quote:
Originally Posted by Future Mayor
I honestly wouldn't be surprised if that is the case, on a city vs city basis, and I'm sure that is one of the arguments that the opponents of the PAC are using. There is a set of numbers, that if taken out of context, can support any argument.
I fully expect that there are many more theater seats in SLC (189,899) vs all cities of comparable size. (numbers according to 2011 estimates)
Little Rock Arkansas - 195,315
Mobile Alabama - 194,914
Columbus Georgia - 194,107
Amarillo Texas - 193,675
Glendale California - 193,111
Huntington Beach CA - 192,888
Salt Lake City
Grand Rapid Michigan - 189,815
Tallahasee Florida - 182,965
Huntville Alabama - 182,956
The difference is, NONE of these cities of "comparable size" are the central city of a major metropolitan area. If we take just the Salt Lake City CMSA, which only included Ogden Clearfield (not Provo)it is at 1.78 millions the 28th largest MSA in 2011.
The above are as follows:
Little Rock - 886,992 (47)
Mobile - 599,294 (62)
Columbus Georgia - 466,089 (72)
Amarillo Texas - not in the top 125
Glendale California - not in the top 125
Huntington Beach CA - not in the top 125
Salt Lake City
Grand Rapid Michigan - 1.33 million (35)
Tallahasee Florida - not in the top 125
Huntville Alabama - 579,550 (63)
So next time you talk to this person tell them that they may very well be correct, but that he/she should really look at the number of theater seats in the total metropolitan area. The metro area that is focused around that city as its core, as SLC is to the entire Wasatch Front.
The MSA's immediately above and below SLC are:
Austin-Round Rock 1.83
Raliegh-Durham 1.8
SLC-Ogden 1.78
Milwaukee-Racine 1.76
Nashville-Davidson 1.7
I would venture to guess that all those cities have a 2,500 seat PAC, and more overall seats than Salt Lake City.
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I struggle to understand why the Census Bureau still considers Provo-Orem separately from the Salt Lake City CSA yet includes Ogden-Clearfield. According to Google Maps, Ogden is located 38.7 miles North of Salt Lake City (about a 40 min drive by auto, 51 min by train) vs Provo at 45.5 miles South (50 min by auto, 58 min by train). So, really, we're looking at a difference of 6.8 miles (or 10 min driving, 7 min on Frontrunner). When you look at the transportation corridors that connect these metros to SLC, they are exact mirror images of each other. At the southern end of the Salt Lake Valley, there are 16 lanes of auto traffic connecting SLC to Provo-Orem (8 lanes on I-15, 4 lanes on Redwood Rd, and 4 lanes on the Mtn View Corridor.) Compare this with the northern point of the Salt Lake Valley where there are also 16 lanes of auto traffic connecting SLC to Ogden-Clearfield (6 lanes on I-15, 6 lanes on Hwy 89, and 4 lanes on Legacy Prkwy. Both have commuter rail connections via Frontrunner. Provo-Orem had an MSA population estimate of 526,810 in 2010 compared with Ogden-Clearfield's estimate of 547,184 for the same year.
Are they honestly considering Ogden as part of the SLC CSA simply because its MSA has 20.3k more residents and is located 6.8 miles closer to SLC than Provo? I remember reading somewhere that they consider how dependent a population is on another to determine MSA, CSA, and other such statistical areas in regards to labor/consumer markets and transportation patterns. Clearly, both Ogden and Provo are equally dependent on SLC with identical commuting patterns by both auto and public transit. Whether I drive north or south, I see no visible difference between the two MSA`s and can not fathom why the Census Bureau does not include Provo-Orem in the SLC CSA to make the CSA population 2,271,696 (which would not include Logan`s MSA population of 125,442).