Well, the demand and travel pattern will be different after the planned service change. The new 555 is going to draw some riders away from the 501/590. The 96 B-Line will add service to 104th and draw riders away from the 320. So will there be any pass-up along the route is yet to be seen. The current performance for the 337 is quite bad. In fact, when ranking all non-night bus routes according to cost/boarding, the 337 comes out to be the 5th worst route in the region.
Well, here's the list for the top 30 routes in term of worst performance:
Code:
Route $/Ride Fate
----- ------ ----
C99 11.15 discontinued, portion without replacement
606 7.70
C94 7.32 new route from 2009
C88 6.76
337 5.69
C84 5.29
C87 5.09
595 5.09 portion discontinued
C48 5.05 portion discontinued without replacement
C89 4.81
603 4.46
351 4.46 service allocation within route
C22 4.37 discontinued, portion without replacement
C49 4.31 portion discontinued without replacement
190 4.17 service cut and reallocated to 160
177 4.17 discontinued, portion without replacement
C43 4.10 service cut
791 4.07 ridership gain from service cut for 177
C9 4.03 route created from downsizing 112
C25 3.98 service cut
C70 3.96
C26 3.90 service cut
405 3.85 service reallocation within route
C64 3.77
C41 3.76 service allocation within route
189 3.71 discontinued
608 3.66
640 3.65 service reallocation within route
C90 3.64 discontinued without replacement
352 3.62
You see that they've made changes to every NoF and Richmond route on that list except the C94, which is still relatively new. The optimization actually going down up to the 100th route on the list, and less than 10 NoF routes were left unchanged. Would you think they'll left the 337 as-is when they start doing the optimization SoF?
Here are the 5 possible outcomes I can think of:
1. Frequency reduction
2. Conversion of midday and late night service back to shuttle
3. Discontinue express to Surrey Central and terminate at Guildford, after B-Line
4. Take over some of the short-turned 320 and doing local service on 104th.
5. Merge with a rerouted 501
PS. The 177 have
this proposed along its route, yet it will still be discontinued.