Quote:
Originally Posted by PPAR
The logic of running an LRT line up the Nose Creek valley strikes me as exactly analogous to the decision Edmonton made with its very first LRT line in the 1970's. They too chose to run their first line into the northeast up an existing rail right of way, in a lightly populated quadrant, in order to meet the new growing suburbs at the cities edge. This saved them money, allowing construction of an underground system in the core. (Of which I am still envious.)
So how did that turn out? Edmonton's LRT sytem was moribund for thirty years
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I don't think your analysis of the Edmonton example in contrast to Calgary is completely by a long shot. The major reason Edmonton's line didn't get ridership for a long time is precisely because they spent a LOT of money putting it underground and thus were only able to afford about 25% of the track Calgary was able to get out there. As a result, the opposite of your conclusion could also be argued IE if the NCLRT is forced into a high cost path, it may not happen for longer, or when it does happen, it might not be built out to the distance required and where the population needing the service actually resides.
I'm not saying I like the nosehill plan, but it seems many people are making judgment called with incomplete information. What we really need to understand are the full numbers and implications. EG, nosecreek alignment $1.5B, centre street alignment $4B, expectations on available cashflow over 20 years for this $1.5B, implication, nosecreek alignment could be built out all the way to North Pointe adding 100K users per day, and centre street alignment could be built out to 20ave adding 10K users per day.
Just to be clear, all of the above numbers are fictitious. My point is just that people are making choices without truly understanding the implications. We can't right off anything without really understanding the implications.