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Originally Posted by xd_1771
Lie. You would be saving a significant amount of money in the long term due to significantly lower operating costs and little need to buy new trains, and the ability to use existing maintenance depots. I have pointed out on the other page how an LRT might actually end up costing more for everybody involved in funding.
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You would definitely need to buy new trains. Your proposed project has the Guildford line as an isolated route, separate from the Expo line. So to run any train on there, it would need to be taken out of service on the Expo line. That means reduced frequency on other lines, where it currently needs to be increased, just to keep your project costs down.
You are talking about a 10km route, you are going to need more than just a couple trains to run it. Otherwise you just have low frequencies; frequencies that can be easily achieved with a much cheaper to build LRT. If you say you need at least 35 LRT trains, why don't you need at least 20 Skytrain trains?
It sounds like you are just building a lot of infrastructure for frequency and capacity you will never need for such a small route, compared to others.
And just because something over the period of 20 years seems cheaper, doesn't mean that is what should be done. Sometimes coming up with the larger cash (or the cost of borrowing it) is a larger hardship than the long term savings. And Skytrain is not without operating costs, as stations need to be patrolled on a regular basis by security, staff, and police, and electricity isn't free. There have to be other factors that validate the long term spending.
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Originally Posted by xd_1771
Guildford may be on the edge of the city but you are not lying directly at the edge of the metro. There is plenty of expansion space as well. There's plenty of space to develop, such as around the new 4-laned 96th avenue - most of which is currently rural residential, but can be redeveloped. In addition at the east end is Port Kells, a major industrial hub for the SOF. Slightly east is Walnut Grove, another big residential area.
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Here is a good riddle for you:
Q: If you get on the bus at 96th ave and 164 St, what's the difference between taking the bus to the Skytrain station at Guildford Town Center or to King George station?
A: about 2 minutes and $500 million.
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Originally Posted by xd_1771
You are severely underestimating the role of 104th then. 104th is Surrey's primary connection to virtually everywhere to the east. It is the road that connects to the major Trans Canada Highway, from where you can reach Langley (200th St), Cloverdale (via Hwy 15), Maple Ridge/Pitt Meadows, or if you do so wish Abbostford. I believe it was earlier mentioned that a significant portion of 104th traffic comes from the highway. A dedicated lane on the Highway is even being given up to exit onto 104th.
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You are basing your importance of 104 ave on its importance to the motorist. It is only important at the present time, to people in cars. And not just people in cars, but people in cars coming from and going to places other than Surrey.
If Skytrain went to Langley, then people from there would STOP USING 104 ave (or at least not as much). They would have Skytrain, and not be so automobile dependent.
You can also use many other parallel routes much more effectively. Fraser highway is much faster for travel between Whalley and Cloverdale. 96 (was and will be when its done) is good for access to Port Kells. 88 is decent across town. 100 and 108 basically do exactly what 104 does. And the soon to be SFPR will be the grand daddy of them all.
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Originally Posted by xd_1771
A Highway 15 N/S bus route could intently serve the areas of Cloverdale & Clayton Heights very well if one wishes to link these centres with whatever is beyond. The same goes for a BRT line that takes you via Newton. You would be saving just as much time as a striaght through Fraser Highway route; the route, as pointed out in another thread, would not be any longer. In addition, you are serving city centres that actually need expanded transit right now and the most.
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I really don't know what you are getting at with a highway 15 bus. Only one little sliver of Cloverdale is anywhere near highway 15. And once you pass Fraser Highway you have a whole lot of nothing. Where would this bus go? Even going to Guildford, taking the Fraser hwy 99% of the day is faster.
For example, lets say we have an express bus from the Cloverdale Fair grounds (which is further west than East Clayton) on 64th to potential Skytrain stations. For the sake of comparison, we'll say it's the best day possible and the bus makes no stops.
To Guildford: at least 15 minutes (17 if you go down 168 to pass more homes)
To Newton: at least 14 minutes (straight down 64th)
To King George: at least 16 minutes (down Fraser hwy)
To 168 St: 6 minutes.
It's a bit simplistic, but see what I mean?
Skytrain to Guildford or Newton does not improve the bus ride length for residents east of 152nd street, over what exists today.
How about this for a test. Catch a bus (that doesn't stop for simplicity again) at 84ave & 152st.
Guildford: 8 minutes (actually 11 minutes on an existing direct bus)
King George Station: 7 minutes (10 minutes on an existing direct bus)
King George and 88 ave: 7 minutes.
Fraser Hwy & 152: 2 minutes (same on existing bus).
Again, going to Newton or Guildford offers no real savings over what exists right now, and that is true for almost anyone south of 96 ave, which happens to be most of Surrey.
Skytrain to Guildford is good for Guildford, not necessarily good for Surrey.
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Originally Posted by xd_1771
Guildford TC is the largest mall in the SOF... it is among the largest in BC. It is the closest and biggest option for the majority of the city of Surrey, and it is being expanded further. There are many other nearby amenities worth going to in Guildford such as a large movie theatre. Making this easily accessible to the city of Surrey can and will prove very popular. There's a reason many people in the lower mainland will travel long distances to access a mall such as Metrotown.
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But Skytrain brings people in from the East and West of Metrotown. It is located basically at the center of the Skytrain network. Guildford, under your idea, is not. Guildford is at the end. Meaning Metrotown is closer to almost every one else on Skytrain. Why would people go to Guildford, for any reason, when they can stop at Metrotown or even City Center?
Malls are cool places to hang out and all, but they don't drive transit ridership. People commuting between homes and work does.
I can see the Skytrain, like jhausner said, extending from King George, looping up to Guildford, then back down 152 to Fraser Highway, stopping at 168 st until it is extended to Langley in the next phase in the future. But that seems like an expensive detour that might not be worth it.
But extending Skytrain to Guildford with
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Originally Posted by xd_1771
I can agree that Skytrain can very effectively show its speed on long distances but the way we tout Skytrain it is still more of an urban form of transportation. Are there really any places going to that are worth serving other than residents?
Keep in mind Langley is also spread out into distinct centres. Some 25,000 or more now live in the area of Walnut Grove and the most accessible option to them is Guildford. That's a quarter of the township population. Many of the new developments in Langley are situated on the north side, in which case rapid transit via either Fraser Highway or Highway 1 through Guildford would have no time difference.
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Ok, so you want to forsake 75% of Langley residents, Langley City, and Cloverdale, so that the 25% of Langley Residents in Walnut Grove can shave 3 or 4 minutes off their commute? They are still going to have a 20 minute bus ride, stopping at Guildford and taking the train to Whalley will only save them a couple minutes at best. It is hard to justify such a small savings for such a small number of people at such a huge cost.
If you are in Langley, 88 or further south, busing to a point on the Fraser Highway to catch Skytrain (if it went to Langley) would be a huge time savings over busing all the way to Guildford. Not to mention Tranlink would need fewer buses on shorter routes to offer better, no transfer rides to Skytrain.
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Originally Posted by xd_1771
Once the RapidBus comes in I can see why a lot of people in Langley will move to this as their primary rapid transit connection with the City of Surrey and the rest of the Metro. A lot of people drive Fraser Highway or ride transit on the Fraser Highway (502) to skip Highway 1 traffic. With the upcoming improvements, that will no longer be the case.
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No!
People ride the 502 because it passes closer to their house. The 501 is ONLY good if you start your trip near the 200 st Corridor. If you start further west, like in Cloverdale/Clayton (which town center wise are the same thing for sake of argument) then you take the 502. Going in a giant semi circle makes no sense at all when you can do it in one straight line. Plus a transfer-less ride will be shorter on the 502.