Quote:
Originally Posted by VivaLFuego
There are ALOT of downtown rental units U/C, approved, and in the works....it's not self-evident that they will be easily absorbed, let alone additional projects. And that's not to mention all of the condo units in buildings U/C and recently finished that were purchased by investors who will seek to rent them out.
Hotels on the other hand....that markets still hot, apparently.
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Actually - I disagree. I'll preface by saying that the unknown quantity out there is indeed the shadow market - condos that are being rented by the owners. However, in terms of number of new rental apartment units that are under construction, or under construction and fully-entitled (I'm sure I know 90% of these projects), I think it pales in comparison to what has been removed from the market in recent years due to condo conversion in addition to the current and forecasted demand for rental units over the next few years.... I think demand is stronger than even a lot of the bullish apartment developers realize, and will get stronger still as young professionals will be staying renters longer now that they are no longer giving mortgages away, and affordability conditions are shall we say less than pristine....think about it this way - do you realize what an explosion of demand for apartment units would develop if the home ownership rate in this country (fill in any other geography including downtown chicago you would like here) fell just 200 basis points (which a lot of people, myself included, think quite realistic)? It would be a deluge, a tidal wave, a monsoon, a (allright now I'm just getting silly).....Anyway, I take your point - nothing is self-evident in fact - but I would argue the downtown apartment market has as good or even perhaps better prospects than the hotel market....