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Originally Posted by Aylmer
Following the REM looks good on a map, but would require a prodigious amount of residential expropriation and disruption of brand-new infrastructure.
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I agree it wouldn't be easy, and it may not be their route of choice (we are all just hypothesizing based on existing evidence). Using the Park Sub does have the advantage that most of the infrastructure can be shared by both trains to/from the east and the west, with the trains branching at the junction with the Trois-Rivières Sub (just south of the A440). The tunnel could also be shared with EXO. Yes it would become very busy, but other countries run very frequent service on main lines.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aylmer
But of course, as you point out, just about any approach will require disruption, so it's a question of choosing your poison.
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Agreed. They have crunched the numbers and we are only theorizing as to what they might be.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aylmer
I have no doubt that consolidating the CN and CP tracks would be a challenging negotiation, but I think it is much easier to negotiate with two entities over which the federal government has enormous legislative authority, as opposed to negotiating expropriations with hundreds or thousands of individual land owners with much more to lose.
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I'm not convinced. The lobbying power and finances for litigation of two of Canada's largest companies is a formidable foe. Individual land owners don't have that power. Also, don't forget that the government gave Alto
Special expropriation rules to make it easier to get the land they need, so it may be easier to grab hundreds of R1 parcels than it is to force multinational corporations to do their will.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aylmer
I also don't think that it would actually be a bad deal for the railways either. They themselves have willingly negotiated coproduction agreements for directional running around Perry Sound and the Fraser Canyon in the 2000s, and the arrangement has been profitable for both parties.
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The bidirectional running agreement benefits both railways by increasing capacity and both railways get to keep their own ROW. Should either railway change their mind, they can pull out of the agreement and go back to normal. With this, they would be sharing one ROW and there wouldn't be any easy way for either one to back out of the agreement.
A better example would be the attempt for CN and CP to share a ROW through the Ottawa Valley by combining the best parts of their existing (at the time) ROWs into one. Unfortunately the agreement fell apart shortly after it was signed. Shortly after, both railways tore up their ROWs, and this was for a branch line, not both railway's mainlines.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aylmer
The number of trains going in and out of the Côte St Luc yards is not high, and can be handled quite easily by two one-way tracks. There's even significant advantage to them if the government pays for brand new infrastructure (especially the ageing bridges and overpasses) in exchange for them agreeing to coproduction.
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The two parallel ROWs aren't only used by trains "in and out of the Côte St Luc yards" but also used by every train going to eastern Canada. With the government wanting to increase trade with Europe, reducing the freight capacity to eastern ports would go against that and would be a bad look.
I had thought building a bypass for CPKC on the south shore would have been a good solution (they could then use the Saint-Laurent railway bridge to get onto the island of Montreal) but I gather CPKC wasn't interested. There may also not have been appetite for the government to give infrastructure for one railway even if it was in exchange for a more valuable ROW (for which CPKC may have wanted additional compensation). CN may also have balked at the idea, and would have wanted a gift from the government as well.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aylmer
As far as hard-ball negotiations go, this is far from the most challenging; there's space for the desired tracks, little grounds for community opposition, two parties that are used to working together elsewhere, and many carrots and sticks available to incentivize them to play ball. Even so, it will require infrastructure, fine negotiation, and hard work. But I worry that if the people in charge have so little confidence in their ability to thread this needle, I hold little hope for their ability to thread the thousand smaller needles necessary for a more complicated routing through Laval.
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It may not be fair, but small land owners don't have the means to fight an expropriation in court. Even if they did, there isn't much of an argument that they could make that the courts wouldn't just say a larger cheque would make up for (and the lawyer costs would likely be higher than that cheque). A railway's ROW is fundamental to its operation. Removing a section in the middle and telling them to share a ROW with their competitor instead for perpetuity adds significant risk.
- Could it be done? Yes
- Would they want to? No
Once again, this is not the same as a bidirectional running agreement where either railway could tear up the agreement at anytime and both could go back to their old way of operating. This would need to be permanent.