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Originally Posted by YOWetal
Lots of good points for Toronto to Montreal. I think the demand on that route is really a fraction of even Philadelphia to DC. Montreal and Quebec are in their own world. But right now unless I misread their announcment we are talking about Montreal to Ottawa with a later someday phase expanding Ottawa to Toronto and presumedly Quebec to Montreal at the same time.
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Not sure why you're baselining everything to the Northeast Corridor comparison. There's less populated places where HSR works too. This is like the folks who think HSR shouldn't be built anywhere but China. But with some American twist. If it's half as successful as Madrid-Barcelona or Rome-Milan, two corridors roughly comparable on distance and population, we'll have done alright.
Also, they are not sequencing construction fully sequentially. The whole line is getting built at the same time. What they are sequencing is the start of construction of each segment. Their CEO has explained this in interviews. Ottawa-Montreal starts in 2029. He's hoping that another segment starts 2 yrs later and then another other 2 yrs after that. Given that he thinks construction takes at least 7 yrs per segment that means in year 5 the whole line will be under construction. And in 2040, theatrically the whole line should be done.