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  #4541  
Old Posted May 29, 2025, 8:48 PM
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Originally Posted by Steely Dan View Post
MSAs by total population in CT's over 20,000 ppsm:

...

Miami: 396,021

...
For future censuses, demographers will need to be more flexible in their use of "land" area as the denominator for this calculation in some locations.
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  #4542  
Old Posted May 29, 2025, 9:09 PM
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Originally Posted by Steely Dan View Post
^ It might also just be random suburban apartment complexes that are their own census tracts.

For example, take CT 4214.02 in Houston.

It has a population density of 52,749 ppsm!!!!!!!!

Holy shit, that's gotta be the most urban place in all of Texas!




Whoops.........

https://www.google.com/maps/@29.7146...oASAFQAw%3D%3D



dense?

sure.

urban?

dear god.
Gulfton. Not a nice area. It was 40 years ago when it was built to accommodate young professionals moving to Houston but it's now predominantly very low income immigrants from Central America who tend to house their entire extended families in a 2 bedroom apartment.
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  #4543  
Old Posted May 29, 2025, 9:20 PM
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Originally Posted by JManc View Post
Gulfton. Not a nice area. It was 40 years ago when it was built to accommodate young professionals moving to Houston but it's now predominantly very low income immigrants from Central America who tend to house their entire extended families in a 2 bedroom apartment.
"In BEAUTIFUL southwest Houston!" That always made/makes me laugh.
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  #4544  
Old Posted May 29, 2025, 9:57 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by subterranean View Post

I find the Portland number a little suspect, but it’s probably just because plenty of census tracts are very close to 20k
Keep in mind that most of the other cities on the list would also have plenty of CT's just below the 20K ppsm threshold too. That's the thing with arbitrary cut-offs: they're arbitrary, but at least everyone is getting cut-off uniformly.

In any event, as the data shows, living in densities above 20K ppsm is fairly rare in the US outside of "the big urban 7". In fact, NYC alone probably has more people in that category than the rest of the nation combined! And the next 6 probably have more than what's left after that. Density in the US is extremely top heavy.
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  #4545  
Old Posted May 29, 2025, 10:00 PM
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Originally Posted by JManc View Post
Gulfton. Not a nice area. It was 40 years ago when it was built to accommodate young professionals moving to Houston but it's now predominantly very low income immigrants from Central America who tend to house their entire extended families in a 2 bedroom apartment.
I doubt this environment was ever truly "nice".

https://maps.app.goo.gl/ide7fxdDJGWuM7Pr8?g_st=ac

Well, at least not to my urbanist eyes.

It's like all of the worst aspects of higher density, combined with absolutely none of its benefits.



But that old TV commercial is pure gold!
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  #4546  
Old Posted May 29, 2025, 10:06 PM
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Originally Posted by Steely Dan View Post
I doubt this environment was ever truly "nice".
Which is why I laughed at the "beautiful southwest Houston" part even when the commercial was new.

BTW, last I heard, that guy was developing properties in Phoenix.
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  #4547  
Old Posted May 29, 2025, 10:14 PM
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Originally Posted by plinko View Post
I suspect that the 20,351 in Phoenix are actually in Tempe but I don’t know how to look it up. Most of the dense poorer neighborhoods in Phoenix (Maryvale) are in the 8,000 range IIRC.
I clicked around on this map:

https://maps.geo.census.gov/ddmv/map.html

There are probably ~4 tracts that are 20k+. One of them is indeed in Tempe, right by ASU, and is probably the densest census tract in the Phoenix area at around 36k ppm. One of the other 20k+ tracts is actually in Maryvale, around Indian School/67th Ave. The denser tracts in that area are now more like 10-15k ppm, and one is just over 20k+. Couldn't find the other two tracts that are 20k+ according to the numbers in this thread, but didn't look too long.
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  #4548  
Old Posted May 29, 2025, 10:50 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steely Dan View Post
I doubt this environment was ever truly "nice".

https://maps.app.goo.gl/ide7fxdDJGWuM7Pr8?g_st=ac

Well, at least not to my urbanist eyes.

It's like all of the worst aspects of higher density, combined with absolutely none of its benefits.



But that old TV commercial is pure gold!
If you were a randy twenty-something professional new to Houston back in 1985, it probably was a very cool place to live. Sure, you had to hop in the IROC to score some mescaline but you got a free video player!
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  #4549  
Old Posted May 30, 2025, 12:26 AM
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Originally Posted by Steely Dan View Post
Keep in mind that most of the other cities on the list would also have plenty of CT's just below the 20K ppsm threshold too. That's the thing with arbitrary cut-offs: they're arbitrary, but at least everyone is getting cut-off uniformly.

In any event, as the data shows, living in densities above 20K ppsm is fairly rare in the US outside of "the big urban 7". In fact, NYC alone probably has more people in that category than the rest of the nation combined! And the next 6 probably have more than what's left after that. Density in the US is extremely top heavy.
That arbitrary line of 20,000 ppsm certainly reinforces basically what we already know. I think 10,000 people per square mile would paint a better picture of the mid-tier cities that obviously can’t compete with NYC, LA, Chicago et al. I bet Portland does a bit better than Austin, for example.
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  #4550  
Old Posted May 30, 2025, 12:36 AM
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Originally Posted by subterranean View Post
I think 10,000 people per square mile would paint a better picture of the mid-tier cities that obviously can’t compete with NYC, LA, Chicago et al. I bet Portland does a bit better than Austin, for example.
ChiSoxRox to the rescue once again!

He also tabulated US MSAs with at least 20K people in census tracts >10K ppsm with 2020 data.


Total MSA population living in CT's over 10,000 ppsm:
  1. New York: 11,694,534
  2. Los Angeles: 6,611,283
  3. Chicago: 2,614,012
  4. San Francisco: 2,073,127
  5. Philadelphia: 1,580,169
  6. Boston: 1,448,764
  7. Miami: 1,398,475
  8. Washington: 1,230,663
  9. San Diego: 816,530
  10. San Jose: 720,560
  11. Seattle: 505,840
  12. Houston: 495,906
  13. Las Vegas: 441,510
  14. Honolulu: 395,854
  15. Dallas: 390,927
  16. Baltimore: 375,152
  17. Riverside: 339,111
  18. Phoenix: 328,143
  19. Denver: 315,809
  20. Providence: 301,925
  21. Minneapolis: 241,894
  22. Milwaukee: 226,941
  23. Portland: 179,612
  24. Bridgeport: 168,397
  25. Buffalo: 153,098
  26. Oxnard: 152,811
  27. Atlanta: 150,542
  28. Sacramento: 149,401
  29. Detroit: 126,508
  30. Salinas: 116,532
  31. Santa Barbara: 104,916
  32. New Haven: 96,281
  33. New Orleans: 95,502
  34. Pittsburgh: 94,694
  35. Hartford: 87,780
  36. Columbus: 86,536
  37. Allentown: 84,293
  38. Cleveland: 78,607
  39. Austin: 76,408
  40. Trenton: 70,272
  41. Orlando: 67,832
  42. Worcester: 66,488
  43. Stockton: 65,403
  44. Fresno: 64,225
  45. Madison: 63,212
  46. Reading: 61,836
  47. Rochester: 60,997
  48. Albany: 57,733
  49. Springfield, MA: 56,107
  50. St. Louis: 53,286
  51. Poughkeepsie: 48,699
  52. Salt Lake City: 47,020
  53. Cincinnati: 46,615
  54. Lancaster: 46,505
  55. Tampa Bay: 43,634
  56. Santa Cruz: 43,412
  57. Richmond: 40,379
  58. Bakersfield: 36,880
  59. Manchester: 36,655
  60. San Antonio: 33,299
  61. Reno: 33,110
  62. Harrisburg: 32,348
  63. Provo: 31,825
  64. Scranton: 31,525
  65. State College: 28,622
  66. Syracuse: 27,262
  67. Modesto: 26,829
  68. Ann Arbor: 26,580
  69. York: 25,122
  70. Boulder: 22,321
  71. Champaign: 22,271
  72. Charlotte: 21,929
  73. Vallejo: 21,593
  74. Atlantic City: 21,194
  75. Lansing: 20,787
  76. Laredo: 20,126


Portland does a lot better than Austin at this threshold.
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  #4551  
Old Posted May 30, 2025, 12:54 AM
subterranean subterranean is offline
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Love it, thanks.
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  #4552  
Old Posted May 30, 2025, 1:15 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JManc View Post
Gulfton. Not a nice area. It was 40 years ago when it was built to accommodate young professionals moving to Houston but it's now predominantly very low income immigrants from Central America who tend to house their entire extended families in a 2 bedroom apartment.
It absolutely was not a nice area 40 years ago. I lived there in 1982. I have stories.
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  #4553  
Old Posted May 30, 2025, 1:33 AM
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Originally Posted by Steely Dan View Post
ChiSoxRox to the rescue once again!

He also tabulated US MSAs with at least 20K people in census tracts >10K ppsm with 2020 data.


Total MSA population living in CT's over 10,000 ppsm:
  1. New York: 11,694,534
  2. Los Angeles: 6,611,283
  3. Chicago: 2,614,012
  4. San Francisco: 2,073,127
  5. Philadelphia: 1,580,169
  6. Boston: 1,448,764
  7. Miami: 1,398,475
  8. Washington: 1,230,663
  9. San Diego: 816,530
  10. San Jose: 720,560
  11. Seattle: 505,840
  12. Houston: 495,906
  13. Las Vegas: 441,510
  14. Honolulu: 395,854
  15. Dallas: 390,927
  16. Baltimore: 375,152
  17. Riverside: 339,111
  18. Phoenix: 328,143
  19. Denver: 315,809
  20. Providence: 301,925
  21. Minneapolis: 241,894
  22. Milwaukee: 226,941
  23. Portland: 179,612
  24. Bridgeport: 168,397
  25. Buffalo: 153,098
  26. Oxnard: 152,811
  27. Atlanta: 150,542
  28. Sacramento: 149,401
  29. Detroit: 126,508
  30. Salinas: 116,532
  31. Santa Barbara: 104,916
  32. New Haven: 96,281
  33. New Orleans: 95,502
  34. Pittsburgh: 94,694
  35. Hartford: 87,780
  36. Columbus: 86,536
  37. Allentown: 84,293
  38. Cleveland: 78,607
  39. Austin: 76,408
  40. Trenton: 70,272
  41. Orlando: 67,832
  42. Worcester: 66,488
  43. Stockton: 65,403
  44. Fresno: 64,225
  45. Madison: 63,212
  46. Reading: 61,836
  47. Rochester: 60,997
  48. Albany: 57,733
  49. Springfield, MA: 56,107
  50. St. Louis: 53,286
  51. Poughkeepsie: 48,699
  52. Salt Lake City: 47,020
  53. Cincinnati: 46,615
  54. Lancaster: 46,505
  55. Tampa Bay: 43,634
  56. Santa Cruz: 43,412
  57. Richmond: 40,379
  58. Bakersfield: 36,880
  59. Manchester: 36,655
  60. San Antonio: 33,299
  61. Reno: 33,110
  62. Harrisburg: 32,348
  63. Provo: 31,825
  64. Scranton: 31,525
  65. State College: 28,622
  66. Syracuse: 27,262
  67. Modesto: 26,829
  68. Ann Arbor: 26,580
  69. York: 25,122
  70. Boulder: 22,321
  71. Champaign: 22,271
  72. Charlotte: 21,929
  73. Vallejo: 21,593
  74. Atlantic City: 21,194
  75. Lansing: 20,787
  76. Laredo: 20,126


Portland does a lot better than Austin at this threshold.
Percent of MSA population living in CTs over 10,000 ppsm:
  1. New York: 58.23%
  2. Los Angeles: 50.07%
  3. San Francisco: 43.61%
  4. Honolulu: 39.55%
  5. San Jose: 36.08%
  6. Boston: 29.30%
  7. Chicago: 27.65%
  8. Salinas: 26.52%
  9. Philadelphia: 25.30%
  10. San Diego: 24.75%
  11. Santa Barbara: 23.41%
  12. Miami: 22.78%
  13. Washington: 19.60%
  14. Las Vegas: 19.44%
  15. Providence: 18.16%
  16. Trenton: 18.14%
  17. Oxnard: 18.11%
  18. Bridgeport: 17.85%
  19. State College: 17.58%
  20. Santa Cruz: 15.89%
  21. Reading: 14.42%
  22. Milwaukee: 14.30%
  23. Buffalo: 13.55%
  24. Baltimore: 13.24%
  25. Seattle: 12.59%
  26. New Haven: 11.13%
  27. Denver: 10.79%
  28. Champaign: 10.08%
  29. Allentown: 9.74%
  30. Madison: 9.29%
  31. Manchester: 8.67%
  32. Stockton: 8.49%
  33. Lancaster: 8.41%
  34. Springfield, MA: 8.02%
  35. Atlantic City: 7.70%
  36. Laredo: 7.53%
  37. New Orleans: 7.51%
  38. Riverside: 7.37%
  39. Hartford: 7.25%
  40. Poughkeepsie: 7.17%
  41. Portland: 7.16%
  42. Ann Arbor: 7.14%
  43. Worcester: 6.95%
  44. Houston: 6.94%
  45. Phoenix: 6.76%
  46. Boulder: 6.75%
  47. Albany: 6.57%
  48. Minneapolis: 6.55%
  49. Fresno: 6.43%
  50. Reno: 6.33%
  51. Sacramento: 6.17%
  52. Rochester: 5.71%
  53. Scranton: 5.61%
  54. York: 5.50%
  55. Harrisburg: 5.47%
  56. Dallas: 5.12%
  57. Modesto: 4.87%
  58. Vallejo: 4.76%
  59. Provo: 4.74%
  60. Pittsburgh: 4.12%
  61. Syracuse: 4.12%
  62. Bakersfield: 4.06%
  63. Cleveland: 3.84%
  64. Salt Lake City: 3.81%
  65. Lansing: 3.78%
  66. Columbus: 3.69%
  67. Austin: 3.35%
  68. Richmond: 3.10%
  69. Detroit: 2.88%
  70. Atlanta: 2.47%
  71. Orlando: 2.40%
  72. Cincinnati: 2.04%
  73. St. Louis: 1.90%
  74. Tampa Bay: 1.37%
  75. San Antonio: 1.23%
  76. Charlotte: 0.78%
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  #4554  
Old Posted May 31, 2025, 1:40 PM
bobbyv bobbyv is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steely Dan View Post
ChiSoxRox to the rescue once again!

He also tabulated US MSAs with at least 20K people in census tracts >10K ppsm with 2020 data.


Total MSA population living in CT's over 10,000 ppsm:
  1. New York: 11,694,534
  2. Los Angeles: 7,103,205
  3. San Francisco: 3,019,034
  4. Chicago: 2,614,012
  5. Philadelphia: 1,580,169
  6. Boston: 1,448,764
  7. Miami: 1,398,475
  8. Washington: 1,230,663
  9. San Diego: 816,530
  10. Seattle: 505,840
  11. Houston: 495,906
  12. Las Vegas: 441,510
  13. Honolulu: 395,854
  14. Dallas: 390,927
  15. Baltimore: 375,152
  16. Phoenix: 328,143
  17. Denver: 315,809
  18. Providence: 301,925
  19. Minneapolis: 241,894
  20. Milwaukee: 226,941
  21. Portland: 179,612
  22. Bridgeport: 168,397
  23. Buffalo: 153,098
  24. Atlanta: 150,542
  25. Sacramento: 149,401
  26. Detroit: 126,508
  27. Santa Barbara: 104,916
  28. New Haven: 96,281
  29. New Orleans: 95,502
  30. Pittsburgh: 94,694
  31. Hartford: 87,780
  32. Columbus: 86,536
  33. Allentown: 84,293
  34. Cleveland: 78,607
  35. Austin: 76,408
  36. Trenton: 70,272
  37. Orlando: 67,832
  38. Worcester: 66,488
  39. Fresno: 64,225
  40. Madison: 63,212
  41. Reading: 61,836
  42. Rochester: 60,997
  43. Albany: 57,733
  44. Springfield, MA: 56,107
  45. St. Louis: 53,286
  46. Poughkeepsie: 48,699
  47. Salt Lake City: 47,020
  48. Cincinnati: 46,615
  49. Lancaster: 46,505
  50. Tampa Bay: 43,634
  51. Richmond: 40,379
  52. Bakersfield: 36,880
  53. Manchester: 36,655
  54. San Antonio: 33,299
  55. Reno: 33,110
  56. Harrisburg: 32,348
  57. Provo: 31,825
  58. Scranton: 31,525
  59. State College: 28,622
  60. Syracuse: 27,262
  61. Modesto: 26,829
  62. Ann Arbor: 26,580
  63. York: 25,122
  64. Boulder: 22,321
  65. Champaign: 22,271
  66. Charlotte: 21,929
  67. Vallejo: 21,593
  68. Atlantic City: 21,194
  69. Lansing: 20,787
  70. Laredo: 20,126


Portland does a lot better than Austin at this threshold.
Considering greater Los Angeles and San Francisco Bay areas should not be split in to different MSA's I've added up the other areas for both regions to better reflect their true numbers. Notice how the Bay Area leaps ahead of Chicago, and Seattle now makes it in to the top 10. I was going to combine DC and Baltimore but that region does not pass the sniff test in my opinion for being one entity the way greater Los Angeles and the Bay Area are constructed.

Last edited by bobbyv; May 31, 2025 at 2:02 PM.
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  #4555  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2025, 12:59 AM
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Which is why I laughed at the "beautiful southwest Houston" part even when the commercial was new.

BTW, last I heard, that guy was developing properties in Phoenix.
I'm not familiar with Houston, but I've always heard that the westside of Houston is the upscale side. Is Gulfton just an exception to that rule? Or does the rule only apply to the portion of Houston inside the 610 beltway?

This led me to check the Wikipedia article on Gulfton. It was a pretty extensive article. Pretty impressive in its detail and pretty much an indictment of how this part of Houston got developed and then eventually declined economically.

Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, two leftish pundits, recently came out with a new book called "Abundance," which is in large part a critique of the way Democratic-ruled cities have been managed in the post-1960s era. They cite Houston as a model of how to do things right because housing is easily built and housing costs have stayed reasonable as a result. But Gulfton, to me, is a case study in how cheap housing can have its costs. I guess in Houston's favor, though, is the fact that rents in Gulfton are relatively cheap, which isn't necessarily the case in similar neighborhoods in urban Southern California.
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  #4556  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2025, 1:20 AM
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Gulfton is more SW but yea the nicest parts tend to be west of downtown inside the loop (610) with a few exceptions like Uptown/ Tanglewood, Memorial and Piney Point. Gulfton and much of Westchase are predominantly cheap apartments thrown up overnight to accommodate huge population boom in the 70's before the oil bust.
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  #4557  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2025, 3:11 AM
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Originally Posted by bilbao58 View Post
"In BEAUTIFUL southwest Houston!" That always made/makes me laugh.
When I was a kid, it WAS quite nice, with great neighborhoods throughout. I was in that area recently, though, and what a difference. There are still nice, leafy neighborhoods with middle class residents from all over the world, but the main arterials are lined with low-rent apartment complexes having very high crime rates. When I was in high school, the many apartment complexes were home to young professionals, and were also "the place to go" to find parties on weekend nights. Partiers left their doors open and anyone could walk in uninvited. Those were good times. I don't recall going to the Gulfton area, but Bellaire Blvd and southward were the party complexes, like the Hillcroft area.

Last edited by AviationGuy; Jun 3, 2025 at 1:55 AM.
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  #4558  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2025, 3:12 AM
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Originally Posted by FromSD View Post
Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, two leftish pundits, recently came out with a new book called "Abundance," which is in large part a critique of the way Democratic-ruled cities have been managed in the post-1960s era. They cite Houston as a model of how to do things right…
Surely they must know that Houston hasn’t elected a Republican mayor since 1978.
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  #4559  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2025, 3:19 AM
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Originally Posted by JManc View Post
Gulfton is more SW but yea the nicest parts tend to be west of downtown inside the loop (610) with a few exceptions like Uptown/ Tanglewood, Memorial and Piney Point. Gulfton and much of Westchase are predominantly cheap apartments thrown up overnight to accommodate huge population boom in the 70's before the oil bust.
Just a clarification...Uptown/Tanglewood, Memorial and Piney Point are upscale areas but outside the loop. When I first read your post, it sounded like they were an exception to the nice areas.
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  #4560  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2025, 4:14 AM
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Surely they must know that Houston hasn’t elected a Republican mayor since 1978.
Did you know?

A majority of the at-large elected council-members (3 of the 5) are Republican.
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Houston: 2.4m (+3.9%) + MSA suburbs: 5.4m (+12%) + CSA exurbs: 200k (+5%)
Dallas: 1.3m (+2%) / FtW: 1.0m (+10%) + suburbs: 6.4m (9%) + exurbs: 566k (+9%)
San Antonio: 1.5m (+6%) + MSA suburbs: 1.2m (+10%) + CSA exurbs: 82k (+3%)
Austin: 994k (+3%) + MSA suburbs: 1.6m (+18%)
Texas (whole): 31.29m (+7%) / Texas (balance): 8.6m (+3%)
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