Quote:
Originally Posted by BlackDog204
The conservative may not have collapsed, but they have lost 10 percentage points, from when they were at their peak around the time Trudeau announced his resignation. Around that time, I believe they were projected to win over 200 seats, so it is a mini collapse.
As for the NDP and Singh, it almost appears that his passion is gone, and it's debatable that he secretly was hoping the Conservative lose by any means necessary. He is finally going on the offence, probably as a result of self-preservation of his party. The NDP chose the wrong leader in 2017.
The Bloc collapse is easy to explain. It's far harder to sell the idea of an independent Quebec, if a hostile large neighbour is threatening to annex Canada, especially with the Trump Administration's treatment of any group of people who are not White English speaking Europeans. The average Quebec resident must find the prospect of the United States wiping their culture and language out horrifying.
The Trump Administrations new attack on the Quebec language law, Bill 96, will only help the Liberals more. |
The November/December polls showing the CPC winning 220 seats were always totally unrealistic. PP was the political answer to Trudeau. If Trump never happened, and Trudeau stayed on to fight... yes MAYBE these results would have been close to reality. But that was never going to be the case.
CPC is simply returning to their Scheer/OToole numbers. Around 115-125 seats. This is where they will likely end up. Definitely a fall from grace, and an awful sting. But I would not call it a collapse.
NDP on the other hand...
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