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Originally Posted by Spr0ckets
But isn't this what everyone wanted (circa about a year, or year and a half ago......re: immigration and less students/immigrants coming in)?
Except nobody seemed to be aware at the time that this might be one of the consequences.
Regardless of year-over-year ridership increase (which is more a snapshot for the moment, rather than an indication of the trend to the future that is the issue for translink's forecasted shortfall), an overall declining population growth numbers - with most of the decline happening in demographics that would likely ride transit more, doesn't bode well for Translink's prospects in this regard.
Maybe the current extension to the skytrain line will mitigate some of that by adding more riders from farther out, but it's hard to see it being by much.
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The rhetoric is our population is set to decline. This is absolutely false.
https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-ref...entary-immigration-levels-2025-2027.html
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The 2025-27 Levels Plan projects a decrease in overall permanent resident admissions to 395,000 in 2025, 380,000 in 2026 and 365,000 in 2027.
In keeping with these reductions, targets for new temporary resident arrivals are set at 673,650 in 2025, 516,600 in 2026, and 543,600 in 2027.
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We are still to see growth between 800k to 1 mil over the next few years. This excludes asylum seekers along with those overstaying their visas and refusing deportation orders.
The elephant in the room is we bring in too many people to do gig economy work and therefore need to rely on vehicles. Many of these people work in the core and live in the periphery. Many newcomers are forced to rely on vehicular transportation at the onset of their arrival. You also have the stigmatization of public transportation with one particular demographic.
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